Starling's decision isn't too much different than Suh's decision after his Jr. year. And it worked out ok for him, coming back to Lincoln.
It's
VERY different.
- Suh's money was a mere 11 months away when he made his decision to come back. Starling's will be over 3 years away.
- Suh had a fat insurance policy to guarentee his decision. I don't know but I doubt Starling has one, and if he does it wouldn't be anywhere near the amount Suh's would have guarenteed him if injured. The extremely high premiums would need to be paid for 3 years of risk, not months.
- Suh almost had his degree. Even if Starling comes here and decides to leave in 3 years he'll won't have his degree. The only way to get that degree is to commit for a full 4 years.
- If Suh came back, had a disapointing senior year and fell to the very bottom of the 1st round he was still getting over 7 million guarenteed money. Starling falls out of the first round and he goes from being a guarenteed millionaire to "maybe" signing for a around a million. That's not a lifetime of financial security by any means.
- Suh was a proven college athlete, with a guarenteed starting spot. Starling could be riding the bench for the next couple years.
- Generally HS baseball players are worth more than college baseball players when it comes to draft contracts.
The RISK for Starling is tremendous. Not just monetarily. Suh had very little risk. He was going to be a millionair in 11 months regardless.