College Baseball Bracketology

[seaofred92]

http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/projected-field-64-april-12/#yKOxBR9kmoPqoK0r.97

Not much changed in the field for the other Power Five conferences. Oregon State and North Carolina remain the No. 1 and No. 2 national seeds, respectively. Nebraska joins the field as the fourth Big Ten squad, with Michigan now the projected Big Ten champion. Out of the ACC, Virginia, with its No. 7 RPI and lighter second-half conference slate, is now projected as a regional host.
Read more at http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/projected-field-64-april-12/#38HJJIpSmzOMKt2j.99

Lubbock, TX Regional:

1) (5) Texas Tech

2) Arkansas

3) Nebraska

4) New Mexico State

 

[VectorVictor]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

 

[hskrfan4life]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

Get North of 40 wins and win the Big Ten, think we could host but definitely have to take care of business this weekend.

 

[ColoradoHusk]

As long as NU keeps on winning, the RPI will stay in a good spot. It would be great if NU won the regular season conference title, and made noise in the conference tournament. If that happens, NU will be in good shape for the NCAA tournament and could be in the hunt to host a regional on the first weekend.

 

[caveman99]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

IIRC 36 in the regular season was what got them in 2-3 years ago. This season seems to be similar RPI-wise to that year. I think your assessment on hosting is pretty spot on, though I think 37-38 wins going into the B1G tourney might be alright for the regional as long as they do ok in the tourney.

 

[VectorVictor]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

IIRC 36 in the regular season was what got them in 2-3 years ago. This season seems to be similar RPI-wise to that year. I think your assessment on hosting is pretty spot on, though I think 37-38 wins going into the B1G tourney might be alright for the regional as long as they do ok in the tourney.

I believe you are correct re: a couple of years ago. And you may be right about 38 wins to host a regional--the threshold may be slightly lower for DoNU to host a regional compared to most schools since we actually have people turn out in attendance and are one of the few revenue neutral/positive schools in the NCAA when it comes to Baseball.

But yeah, Super Regional talk is on hold unless we start going on some incredible run. It's not impossible, but highly unlikely. Having home field for the entirety of the NCAA Tourney though...

 

[hskrfan4life]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

IIRC 36 in the regular season was what got them in 2-3 years ago. This season seems to be similar RPI-wise to that year. I think your assessment on hosting is pretty spot on, though I think 37-38 wins going into the B1G tourney might be alright for the regional as long as they do ok in the tourney.

I believe you are correct re: a couple of years ago. And you may be right about 38 wins to host a regional--the threshold may be slightly lower for DoNU to host a regional compared to most schools since we actually have people turn out in attendance and are one of the few revenue neutral/positive schools in the NCAA when it comes to Baseball.

But yeah, Super Regional talk is on hold unless we start going on some incredible run. It's not impossible, but highly unlikely. Having home field for the entirety of the NCAA Tourney though...

21 games left. No series isn't unwinnable at this point. Just need to avoid a crappy weekend against a team we should beat 2-out-of-3 times.

 

[ColoradoHusk]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

IIRC 36 in the regular season was what got them in 2-3 years ago. This season seems to be similar RPI-wise to that year. I think your assessment on hosting is pretty spot on, though I think 37-38 wins going into the B1G tourney might be alright for the regional as long as they do ok in the tourney.

I believe you are correct re: a couple of years ago. And you may be right about 38 wins to host a regional--the threshold may be slightly lower for DoNU to host a regional compared to most schools since we actually have people turn out in attendance and are one of the few revenue neutral/positive schools in the NCAA when it comes to Baseball.

But yeah, Super Regional talk is on hold unless we start going on some incredible run. It's not impossible, but highly unlikely. Having home field for the entirety of the NCAA Tourney though...

21 games left. No series isn't unwinnable at this point. Just need to avoid a crappy weekend against a team we should beat 2-out-of-3 times.

The RPI rankings also give more weight to road games vs. home games. NU needs to keep winning home games against lower ranked teams, in order to keep that RPI up.

 

[VectorVictor]

So Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, and Nebraska, with Indiana supposedly being on the bubble? That's a lot better than I had us in another thread, TBH.

Considering we beat two of those teams in series already and have one more of them to play (Minnesota) we may actually get a decent push from our B1G schedule after all. I'm thinking 36 wins (moved down from 38) before the B1G Tourney punches our ticket to the NCAA Tournament for sure (probably puts us at 2nd or 3rd in the B1G). More than 40 and we're looking at a Regional.

Super Regional is a ship that is but a spec in the horizon now, with a minuscule chance for us to catch it--we'd likely have to win the B1G season, Win or Place in the B1G tourney, and only drop one or two more games the entire season--not very likely.

IIRC 36 in the regular season was what got them in 2-3 years ago. This season seems to be similar RPI-wise to that year. I think your assessment on hosting is pretty spot on, though I think 37-38 wins going into the B1G tourney might be alright for the regional as long as they do ok in the tourney.

I believe you are correct re: a couple of years ago. And you may be right about 38 wins to host a regional--the threshold may be slightly lower for DoNU to host a regional compared to most schools since we actually have people turn out in attendance and are one of the few revenue neutral/positive schools in the NCAA when it comes to Baseball.

But yeah, Super Regional talk is on hold unless we start going on some incredible run. It's not impossible, but highly unlikely. Having home field for the entirety of the NCAA Tourney though...

21 games left. No series isn't unwinnable at this point. Just need to avoid a crappy weekend against a team we should beat 2-out-of-3 times.

Right, but 21 games left gives us three losses at most to make 38 wins for a regional (pre-B1G tourney). That's a tall order with Minny, Iowa, and Michigan State still on the slate. For at least one of these series (based on history), we'll go in the tank.

Granted, the rest of our games and series are wholly winnable, but I wouldn't be shocked to come back and see us go 5-4/4-5 against those three.