ESPN FPI Not High on Huskers

I understand we don't have alot returning for ESPN to base off of, but in my opinion, 6 wins is built into the schedule. Rutgers, Illinois, Purdue, Minnesota, Ark State and Northern Illinios should be very winnable games. It would take a very poor effort to lose in most of those games save Illinois and Minnesota. Those 2 squads should be pretty decent defensively so put up a fight they will but we should beat both of those teams without a problem. The rest of the schedule will be murkier to predict, but going 0-6 against the rest of our schedule seems unlikely to me.

 
I believe last year they had Penn State 38th, with a less than 5% chance to win the Big Ten.

Predictions, especially any made this early, aren't worth much. They're off-season discussion fodder, something for 24-hour sports networks to get guys shouting about.

 
I can almost guarantee you these are sports nerd algorithms spitting out metrics devoid of personal bias.

As William Shatner would say: they have no idea what it's like to be....human!

 
Guy Chamberlin said:
I can almost guarantee you these are sports nerd algorithms spitting out metrics devoid of personal bias.

As William Shatner would say: they have no idea what it's like to be....human!
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I am sure it is something they paid a lot of money for some metrics guy to come up with, which I am sure has some merrit, but not much. Sometimes the eyeball test is better. I will be really disappointed if NU doesn't win at least 8 games next year.

 
Mavric said:
Nebraska football fans got a cold slap in the face Wednesday when ESPN revealed its first 2017 "Football Power Index."

The Huskers are listed 58th among the 130 FBS teams, with a projected win-loss record of 5.5-6.5.

ESPN says FPI is a measure of team strength meant to be the best predictor of performance “going forward.’’ Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of various factors in the FPI formula. The ratings and projections change daily.

The first FPI projection has Nebraska losing six of its final seven games — the lone victory in that stretch is over Purdue — and posting a 3-6 Big Ten mark.

ESPN gives Nebraska a 0.0 chance of winning out or winning the conference.
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OWH
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Then obviously we should cancel the season, thanks ESPN.

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knapplc said:
What should ESPN know about the Huskers to make them rank us higher? What they think, from a distance, is that we lost all our top skill players, we've fundamentally changed the defense, we've got several new coaches, and a QB who has never been impressive on a major stage. Why should they rank us higher?
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My thoughts as well.

 
VectorVictor said:
HuskermanMike said:
GSG5545 said:
They just don't know about our secret weapon...
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Is it Tanner Lee's new robotic 4.4 forty time legs?

/s
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This may or may not be a picture of said rumored Tanner Lee's robotic "magic legs"

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Rumor is they're made from a custom-made titanium alloy used on the space shuttle.
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Actually the computer did factor this in and that bumped up our chances of winning the Conference from -0.1 to 0.0

 
Until we decisively beat teams we should, start beating Iowa and Wisky with regularity and quit getting blown out on national tv, this will be the continued "hype" that NU gets and up to this point, based on previous performance its all we have "earned".

Throw in the fact of new DC, pretty much new DC staff, two untested QB's, the vast majority of offensive production lost to graduation, new defensive scheme and its probably a fair assessment as these things, coupled with paragraph 1, on paper, show we could struggle.

 
I think this same algorithm predicted we would go 11-1 last year. I remember all my fellow Vols fans being all hyped up about it.

 
I don't have high expectations this year. The offense went down the toilet after TA couldn't run. We will have a much better passer this year, but IMO, this will be negated by lack of mobility. The defense should be better because Banker was so bad. Special teams should also be better. Will this improve last year's record? I expect about the same results; we beat the weak teams, struggle with competitive teams, and get blown out by elite teams.

 
People put soooooo much on QB mobility. It's a nice trait to have but it is far from make or break for our offense

 
Looking at the schedule, and trying to remove emotion or bias, I can see why they have this predicted. I put us a little better with worst case 7-5 and best case 10-2 for regular season. We have to remember that so many of these numbers generated have Vegas betting behind them. Then the authors twist the numbers to their benefit to get emotional responses from readers. The current Vegas number for Nebraska wins in 2017 (over under) is 8.5. If I were betting, I would have to take under 8.5 this year due to schedule and so many new elements to our team. 8 or more wins, to me, is a success this year- if the development on the field leaves us feeling like the next year will be a step forward.

 
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