huskerfan500 said:
Barney Cotton said he wants 2/3 of the roster from NE, I know have it would be great to have that but with the football talent in the state I don't think it is the best thing, am I right or
I did some quick numbers on this and it isn't entirely off the wall:
If we assume 21 scholarships a year, and 25 walk-ons per year.
Add in attrittion of 4 scholarhips players per year and 12 walk ons. That equation gives us a 150 person roster over a 5 year period.
If we assume that 23 out of 25 walk-ons are from Nebraska and
assume that 6 our of 21 scholarships are from Nebraska we end up with 63% of each incoming class being from Nebraska. That is IF we assume that none of the walk-ons move to scholarship to take roster spaces for non-NE players who leave the program.
If we assume the scholarhip ratio is 8 NE players per year, we see get 67%. The actual number of kids from NE who deserve scholarships is probably between 5-7 (about what Osborne used to offer). .
But we get those percentages w/o calculating the effect of attrition: If we assume an attrition of 4 scholarship players per year (could be higher, but some walk-ons might move to scholarship), assume an attrition of 12 walk-ons per year). Because the walk-ons will leave at a higher rate than scholarship players, and because they are made up of more NE kids, that will push the percentages lower.
- If we assume 6 scholarship kids per year from NE that puts us near 57% of the roster being NE. If we assume 8 scholarship kids per year from NE that puts us at 63%.
So with those assumptions we are below 2/3, but if we assume 2-3 kids a year move from walk-on to scholarship and that they are likely NE kids, we get pretty close to 2/3 number. It's probably a little high, but tt's actually not bad for an off-hand comment about the roster.