Latest Heisman projections from StiffArmTrophy.com

If I was SUH and made the trip to NY..I'd probably try to sit next to Colt and put him in a headlock while they were showing the highlights..Just for the cameras.

 
HUSKER 37 said:
If I was SUH and made the trip to NY..I'd probably try to sit next to Colt and put him in a headlock while they were showing the highlights..Just for the cameras.
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LOL, imagine the camera panning over the nominees and Suh's giving McCoy a noogie with a smile on his face.

noogie_1.gif


 
I didn't see anyone mention, but last year Tebow had more 1st place votes than Bradford did if I remember correctly and Bradford still won. I am hoping with all my power that the travesty last night is redeemed by a miracle Heisman win from Suh. All's well that ends well.

 
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Nexus said:
HUSKER 37 said:
If I was SUH and made the trip to NY..I'd probably try to sit next to Colt and put him in a headlock while they were showing the highlights..Just for the cameras.
Click to expand...

LOL, imagine the camera panning over the nominees and Suh's giving McCoy a noogie with a smile on his face.

noogie_1.gif
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Laughing at that mental pic......

Seriously though, let's not get our hopes up too high for Suh, because they do point out on the site that most of the early vote is the regional people and people voting for the non-traditional candidates that are hoping they can sway the vote with the early results. They also mention that people who might be voting for questionable picks (McCoy, Tebow) will hold out to the bitter end in order to lesson the amount of flak that they'll take.

I'm praying for an upset, but according to the site's logic, he still would be a long shot to win it. Here's to hoping that this long shot comes in. :thumbs

 
Does anyone know how they do the projected column? Suh leads in votes actually counted, yet Gerhart is projected to be the clear #1.

 
JTrain said:
Does anyone know how they do the projected column? Suh leads in votes actually counted, yet Gerhart is projected to be the clear #1.
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Our Methodology
Really, it's quite simple. There are 924 official voters for the Trophy. 870 of them are sportswriters, and 54 of them are former winners (and one fan vote). Many of those voters will publicly declare their votes - in print, on TV, on the radio, on the net - and if we count enough of them, we'll know who the winner will be.

It takes a little math (which we're happy to do) but mostly, it takes your help - if you hear an official voter go public, post a comment or send us an email.

How it works:

* We count actual votes. We count only the picks from people who claim to be actual voters. (The organization doesn't release a list of voters, so we can't verify.)

* We make two assumptions. 1) That the voter turnout in each region will be equal, and 2) that the undisclosed votes in each region will mirror the publicly disclosed votes,

* Based on those assumptions, we total up the votes in each region and then extrapolate the totals.

* We continually update as more information comes in.

Dude, it looks screwed up. Sometimes, especially early on, the total actual votes don't seem to correlate to the projected totals. Not to worry - that's usually because there's a huge disparity between the regions in the number of ballots we've found. Also, if we don't know what region a voter belongs in (often, network TV guys) we assign a fraction of that vote to each region.

When's the projection good enough? Not sure, but we got it right in 2002 with just under 14% of the voters counted. We also got it right in 2003 with just under 19% of the voters counted. In 2004, we had 25% of the voters counted, and got it right for the third year in a row. (FYI - voter turnout has been pretty consistently right around 85%.)

And yes, we got it right in 2005 yet again.

Early in the data collection process, we expect the numbers to be off somewhat - since people who are promoting underdogs often will talk about their pick early. The more data that arrives, the better the projection gets - so if we're missing a voter, post a comment or send us an email

http://www.stiffarmtrophy.com/2005/11/our_methodology.html
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Just want to say congrats Husker Nation for yet another poll win. We all contributed to that and a hearty pat on the back to all those that voted.

voter publication, region, M Ingram/CJ Spiller/N Suh

Ballot #926 (fan vote) TheHeismanVote.com , FAN, 3/2/1

 
CENTEXHUSKER said:
Assuming its legit...

Suh 20 1st place votes

Gerheart 8 1st place votes

McCoy 7 1st place votes

Ingram 3 1st place votes

Tebow 3 1st place votes
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That's not the problem. The problem is that Gerhart is pretty much everyone's #2, while Suh is either getting first place votes or really no votes.

Gerhart has has 15 #2 & #3 votes. Suh has 8. That's where he'll lose it.

 
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