It isnt as crazy as it sounds. Look at thier schedule.
Nothern Colorado
At La Tech
At UNLV
Charleston Southern
At Idaho
Utah State
At San Jose State
New Mexico State
Fresno State
At Nevada
Boise State
Washington
I wouldnt bet agaisnt them losing anything more than 1 game. Undefeated is a real possibility. Meaning they will in all likelyhood get a BCS bid. CFN does do a reasonable job of predicting the games before the season starts, better than many other 'experts'. AT least the guys there watch the games.
With that schedule though even if they lose one game, I believe they won't be ranked high enough in the BCS standings to get an automatic bid. But you never know, they just might. After seeing this schedule and if they do go undefeated or lose one game and go to a BCS game I will be more sick about them going than I was last year whenever Notre Dame went to a BCS game.