Missouri
Rushing:
3.16 Yards per Carry against Illinois (Illini defense gives up average of 3.85 per carry)
4.11 Yards per Carry against Bowling Green (Bowling Green defense gives up average of 5.36 per carry)
2.29 Yards per Carry against Nevada (Nevada defense gives up average of 3.78 per carry)
So, Missouri's offense is achieving 73% of the rushing offense that other teams produce against the same opponents.
Passing:
9.3 Yards per attempt against Illinois (Illini defense gives up average of 7.6 per attempt)
5.2 Yards per attempt against Bowling Green (Bowling Green defense gives up average of 6.5 per attempt)
10.4 Yards per attempt against Nevada (Nevada defense gives up average of 11.6 per attempt)
So, Missouri's offense is acheiving 97% of the passing offense that other teams produce against the same opponents.
*In general, these are skewed slightly against Missouri because Boise State throttled BG's defense.
*No stats available for Furman.
Nebraska
Rushing:
8.09 Yards per carry against Florida Atlantic (defensive average of 6.58 per carry)
4.86 Yards per carry against Arkansas State (defensive average of 3.23 per carry)
5.75 Yards per carry against Virginia Tech (defensive average of 4.49)
3.91 Yards per carry against Louisiana-Lafayette (defensive average of 4.00)
So, Nebraska's offense is acheiving 125% of the rushing offense that other teams produce against the same opponents.
Passing:
9.2 Yards per attempt against Florida Atlantic (defensive average of 8.6 per attempt)
8.7 Yards per attempt against Arkansas State (defensive average of 7.3 per attempt)
4.5 Yards per attempt against Virginia Tech (defensive average of 5.4 per attempt)
11.5 Yards per attempt against Louisiana-Lafayette (defensive average of 7.9 per attempt)
So, Nebraska's offense is acheiving 114% of the passing offense that other teams produce against the same opponents.
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Nebraska's defense gives up 113 rushing yards per game, so if we assume Missouri continues their rushing trend, they will rush for 83 yards.
Nebraska's defense gives up 170 passing yards per game, so if we assume Missouri continues their passing trend, they will pass for 165 yards.
Missouri's defense gives up 134 rushing yards per game, so if we assume Nebraska continues their rushing trend, they will rush for 167 yards.
Missouri's defense gives up 218 passing yards per game, so if we assume Nebraska continues their rushing trend, they will pass for 249 yards.
Missouri total offense: 248 yards
Nebraska total offense: 416 yards
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Missouri total points scored: 147
Missouri total yards: 1812
So, Missouri scores 1 point for every 12 yards of offense they acheive, or .08 points per yard.
Nebraska total points scored: 157
Nebraska total yards: 1760
So, Nebraska scores 1 point for every 11 yards of offense they acheive, or .09 points per yard.
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By taking the expected yards each team will acheive and multiplying it by their points/yard average, we could get a "statistically predicted" score:
Missouri: 20
Nebraska: 37
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Take it for whatever you want. There's plenty of variables that are completely ignored in that analysis, but it's still the most basic statiscal comparison we can do that eliminates the schedule factor.