***Official Weather Thread***
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EbylHusker
Banned
GM_Tood
All-American
Tornado Watch
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0207.html
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0207.html
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 207 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 115 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014 TORNADO WATCH 207 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IAC001-003-009-027-029-047-049-071-077-085-093-121-129-133-137- 145-155-159-165-173-175-193-040000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0207.140603T1815Z-140604T0000Z/ IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON CARROLL CASS CRAWFORD DALLAS FREMONT GUTHRIE HARRISON IDA MADISON MILLS MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD SHELBY TAYLOR UNION WOODBURY MOC003-005-063-075-087-147-227-040000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0207.140603T1815Z-140604T0000Z/ MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREW ATCHISON DEKALB GENTRY HOLT NODAWAY WORTH NEC001-003-009-011-017-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-041-043- 047-051-053-055-059-061-067-071-077-079-081-089-093-095-097-099- 107-109-115-119-121-125-127-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-147-149- 151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-183-185- 040000- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0207.140603T1815Z-140604T0000Z/ NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ANTELOPE BLAINE BOONE BROWN BUFFALO BURT BUTLER CASS CEDAR CLAY COLFAX CUMING CUSTER DAKOTA DAWSON DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN GAGE GARFIELD GREELEY HALL HAMILTON HOLT HOWARD JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY KNOX LANCASTER LOUP MADISON MERRICK NANCE NEMAHA NUCKOLLS OTOE PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON ROCK SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON THAYER THURSTON VALLEY WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER WHEELER YORK ATTN...WFO...DMX...GID...LBF...OAX...FSD...EAX...EbylHusker
Banned
So right now the latest runs are showing big storm developments down through central and northern Nebraska around 5 PM. These sweep east and southeast through the state. Powerful storms also develop over NW Iowa and track southeast as well. Many of these storms appear to stay discrete for a decent period of time (that's when strong tornado formation is most likely).
CAPE values of 1500-3000+ are forecast. Forecasted shear values are extremly high during the time of storm formation and propagation in those areas. The helicity values are also supposed to be high. In short, all the ingredients for extremely strong storms and potentially strong tornadoes are forecast to be there. Now that daytime convective heating has started, I'd say we've got a good chance of seeing some serious sh#t go down. GI, Lincoln, Omaha, etc will be under the gun (basically most of central and eastern Nebraska). Most of Iowa will be, too.
The current storm in NE has reported 100 mph winds and golf ball sized hail. We'll see more of that. A lot more. A derecho wouldn't be surprising up in the northeast of Nebraska or NW of Iowa.
CAPE values of 1500-3000+ are forecast. Forecasted shear values are extremly high during the time of storm formation and propagation in those areas. The helicity values are also supposed to be high. In short, all the ingredients for extremely strong storms and potentially strong tornadoes are forecast to be there. Now that daytime convective heating has started, I'd say we've got a good chance of seeing some serious sh#t go down. GI, Lincoln, Omaha, etc will be under the gun (basically most of central and eastern Nebraska). Most of Iowa will be, too.
The current storm in NE has reported 100 mph winds and golf ball sized hail. We'll see more of that. A lot more. A derecho wouldn't be surprising up in the northeast of Nebraska or NW of Iowa.
RedRedJarvisRedwine
All-American
Tornados look like Apostrophies!!!! Go figure, both are quite douchey!
icedavis
Five-Star Recruit
Dun, dun, dunnnnn. Dominator3 sighting around Omaha. That thing gets crazier looking with every new iteration.
And to think, I just "closed the book" per se on my past meteorology life. This statement right here opens it up again. As a sidenote: Sounds like you have some high level of knowledge (degree even?), looking for a copy of Holton's Dynamics book? It's the 4th edition though and currently it makes about as awful of a paperweight/doorstop as it does compelling read. I might be a bit biased though due to how ridiculous my dynamics class was.
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Walleye Hunting Husker
Four-Star Recruit
Just looked up where the storm is moving and it looks like my neck of the woods (Northwest Iowa) is going to get hit pretty hard around 7.
Walleye Hunting Husker
Four-Star Recruit
RedRedJarvisRedwine
All-American
Bowling ball sized bowling balls at the bowling alley!
