kchusker_chris
All-American
I said gives "a" little hope...meaning we all go into December upbeat. (the "a" is important thereBo is an above-average coach in August/September (18-3) - he wins the winnable non-con games, losing one or two he likely should have (or definately could have) won. Losing to VT twice in hard fought battles, but laying an egg against UCLA last year.
Bo is an average coach in October (12-7) - he drops a game he should win (Iowa St., Texas) and only once in 5 years won a game he probably shouldn't have (Missouri 10'). Pretty ho-hum month for Husker fans.
Bo is an above-average coach in November (16-4) - he usually gets it done and gives the fan a little hope going into post season.
Bo is a very below-average coach in December (2-6: 0-5 last 3 years) - he loses games he's winning, gets blown out of others, and since 2009 Arizona...hasn't really shown up for one yet. December is a rough month for Husker fans.
Bo is a below-average coach against ranked teams (5-14). He fails to step up and win the big games that can turn the program around.
Bo is an above-average coach against unranked teams (46-6). He, and this team, are exactly what you'd expect from a #25 ranked team. We lost most of the games to ranked team...winning a few against the bottom of the ranking. And we lose the same amount to unranked teams.
If you want to statistically lay out every BCS coach and put it purely to wins/losses my guess is he falls somewhere around #10-12. If you look at his entire body of work - there's certainly a pretty good argument that's he's right about where his team is every year....#25.
(cfbstats.com if you are after my numbers)
Which is significantly above average. Top 25% in fact.
As far as your numbers - good research, but I have some disagreements. Well maybe not disagreements, but areas of further clarity.
His numbers in Aug/Sep are fine - the games he's lost in heartbreaking fashion hurt, but the Va Tech games especially, the argument can be made that he had his team performing past expectation.
October numbers are still fine - has lost some he shouldn't, but has won three games "he probably shouldn't have" to use your words (I count these as games where our opponent is ranked higher; Missouri '10, Michigan State '11, Michigan '12).
November numbers are also just fine, and I don't know where the "gives little hope going into the postseason" bit comes from. In 2008 we ended on a 3 game winning streak, in 2009 a 5 game winning streak, in 2010 went 3-4, in 2011 we split Nov games but again in 2012 we won the last six and last four in November.

And as for the 25% thing...statistically you should probably weight the sample. Do you see us even to Southern Miss? Or UAB, Tulane, Idaho, UTSA, Troy, Florida Atlantic, etc? Because those are all in the 125 teams your'e probably considering to get to that number. I'm more concerned with the top of those 125...our peers...the ones that we should be compared to. And in that sense - there are only about 50-60 of them...and I am including Baylor, Kansas, Vanderbuilt, Boise, etc in those (sadly they've become peers) - and we're finishing #25 pretty consistently. That's about middle of the pack within our peer group.
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