2017 Opponents | 2016 Average Passing Yards Allowed (Rank)
Arkansas State | 215.2 (43rd)
Oregon | 269.1 (112th)
Northern Illinois | 244.8 (79th)
Rutgers | 194.1 (20th)
Illinois | 186.9 (12th)
Wisconsin | 202.6 (26th)
Ohio State | 172.2 (6th)
Purdue | 206.1 (31st)
Northwestern | 263.4 (105th)
Minnesota | 229.6 (63rd)
Penn State | 216.6 (45th)
Iowa | 207.6 (33rd)
For reference, we were right behind Arkansas State and just ahead of Penn State at 44th last year. These are just the raw statistics, however.
In order to have a more accurate prediction for what to expect, you would have to factor in players graduating/leaving/coming in, coaching turnover/staff changes, and so on.
I really have no idea what to expect from Tanner Lee. Simply because it's not completely up to him. He, an unknown, is surrounded by a lot of other important unknowns. It's tricky.
The Oregon game will tell us a lot. They didn't do well last season against the pass, but, as we all know, new year, new staff, new scheme. Autzen will be a tough early test.
At least he gets his toughest defenses (Wisconsin, Ohio State, Iowa) with the Sea of Red behind him. PSU is going to be nasty, but they aren't as strong against the pass.
I think he should be able to carve up some defenses. Hopefully some divisional foes like Northwestern or Minnesota. That should make those pesky matchups a lot less pesky.