Guy Chamberlin
Heisman Trophy Winner
It’s not really the # of passes vs runs as it the pass vs run YRDS and the number of first downs and time of possession and plays per TD drive and the yards per point scored. If you rush for over 300 yards per game, you will win atleast 75% of your games. At 400 ypg the win % jumps to 90% plus.
Your red zone scoring goes up too!
Your defense gets better too.
Stop the run first, is the first rule of defense. Make the opponent one dimensional (pass) then hit the QB until he doesn’t get up anymore.
AND Celebrate the wins!
Glad you posted this. But you need to walk through it.
It has never been a secret that teams who rush for 200 or 300 yards win a large percentage of those games. That's a stone-cold fact in both college and the NFL. And nobody is ignoring that fact.
That's why "stop the run first" is the first rule of defense, just like you mention.
That's why teams who scheme against the run -- or bring better faster athletes than the guys you ran over the last game -- can shut down the running game.
So now you can't "stick with what's working!" because it's not working in that situation. You will need to pass. It helps if you believe that passing is a valuable tool, rather than a sign of weakness or panic.
Successful teams can beat other teams either running or passing, depending on what the defense shows. See the history of Nebraska vs. Wisconsin. Actually, just watch any team more successful than Nebraska. If you want a common thread, it's the offensive line.