Tanner Lee 2017 Stats O/U
- Thread starter St. Herbie
- Start date
84HuskerLaw
All-Conference
There is considerable reason to believe that completion percentage at or above 60% and of course, the more you throw it, the higher the chances of interceptions. I would think one could expect atleast 12. One a game is not bad assuming the offense is being productive otherwise and we are scoring more than 35 a game (hopefully we are nearer to 40 per game and we will need that number to win 10 or more in my view.
The number of TD passes is likely to be lower than one might expect for a high performance passing team, in my view, because our receiving group has yet to demonstrate 'big play' - 'take it to the house' capability and the propensity of Riley/Langs to like to run it in from inside the ten. I know many feel we throw too often near the goal line but, for a passing oriented offense, the coaches prefer to score from around 20 yards out if they can or to run atleast once or twice if we have a first and ten inside the ten. I think our passing capability will make it tougher for defenses to gang up on the run inside the ten particularly. Our smaller, quicker receivers will be real threats from inside the 25 but maybe less so inside the ten. Tight ends are real weapons in the red zone and or end zone and Riley would like to use them but we are yet to really know how well our TEs will actually produce in the receiving area after Cethan left.
In summary, it would seem to me that one might predict more total yards and a fairly high completion rate but perhaps slightly fewer TDs and INTs. That is, we might gain a lot of yards but actually have more rushing TDs in 2017 than in 2016. We will have more running success than many seem to believe, UNLESS we find ourselves with too many fumbles or realy struggle with too many little or no gain runs or tackles behind the line of scrimmage.
Another thought I have is that INTs tend to happen because: 1. the QB locks in on a given receiver and the defense recognizes this or the QB has a 'favorite' or go-to receiver far too often. Or 2. the O line struggles to pass protect and the QB is indecisive or fails to 'feel' the pressure and hangs on to the ball too long and then either forces a throw into coverage or has throws impacted by deflections or QB hurries or hits at the time he throws. Or 3. The QB is just simply not a very good passer in genera (happy feet, poor throwing motion, bad throwing motion, weak arm strength, etcl.
I think we've seen and reports are that Lee and POB both have been showing good arm strength, good 'reads' and comfort and confidence in the pocket, ability to find the open the receiver and lacking in terms of 'favorite receiver targets, etc). The QBs seem to know the offense and we will have multiple receivers in the pattern as well as RBs and TEs and others in the vacinity to be release or receiver of last resort options that the defense will have great deal of trouble preventing from making the catch and gaining some positive yards. Those plays add to the compeltion stats and yardage totals while reducing INTs and TDs.
The number of TD passes is likely to be lower than one might expect for a high performance passing team, in my view, because our receiving group has yet to demonstrate 'big play' - 'take it to the house' capability and the propensity of Riley/Langs to like to run it in from inside the ten. I know many feel we throw too often near the goal line but, for a passing oriented offense, the coaches prefer to score from around 20 yards out if they can or to run atleast once or twice if we have a first and ten inside the ten. I think our passing capability will make it tougher for defenses to gang up on the run inside the ten particularly. Our smaller, quicker receivers will be real threats from inside the 25 but maybe less so inside the ten. Tight ends are real weapons in the red zone and or end zone and Riley would like to use them but we are yet to really know how well our TEs will actually produce in the receiving area after Cethan left.
In summary, it would seem to me that one might predict more total yards and a fairly high completion rate but perhaps slightly fewer TDs and INTs. That is, we might gain a lot of yards but actually have more rushing TDs in 2017 than in 2016. We will have more running success than many seem to believe, UNLESS we find ourselves with too many fumbles or realy struggle with too many little or no gain runs or tackles behind the line of scrimmage.
Another thought I have is that INTs tend to happen because: 1. the QB locks in on a given receiver and the defense recognizes this or the QB has a 'favorite' or go-to receiver far too often. Or 2. the O line struggles to pass protect and the QB is indecisive or fails to 'feel' the pressure and hangs on to the ball too long and then either forces a throw into coverage or has throws impacted by deflections or QB hurries or hits at the time he throws. Or 3. The QB is just simply not a very good passer in genera (happy feet, poor throwing motion, bad throwing motion, weak arm strength, etcl.
I think we've seen and reports are that Lee and POB both have been showing good arm strength, good 'reads' and comfort and confidence in the pocket, ability to find the open the receiver and lacking in terms of 'favorite receiver targets, etc). The QBs seem to know the offense and we will have multiple receivers in the pattern as well as RBs and TEs and others in the vacinity to be release or receiver of last resort options that the defense will have great deal of trouble preventing from making the catch and gaining some positive yards. Those plays add to the compeltion stats and yardage totals while reducing INTs and TDs.
Making Chimichangas
Banned
75 Tommy Armstrong Jr., QB NEB 151 294 51.4 2180 7.4 72 14 8 6 123.9
http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/passingYards/qualified/false/count/41
Well Tommy Armstrong, even with his less than accurate, hit or miss, passing, still threw for 2,180 yards last season.
So we get an accurate QB who knows where the ball needs to go and can deliver it with accuracy, total yards, yards per attempt, touchdowns...all that should go up.
And maybe I'm blind with optimism, but with all those increases going up, INTs should go down.
Overall, I'd take the over on all those numbers in the OP sans the interceptions.
http://www.espn.com/college-football/statistics/player/_/stat/passing/sort/passingYards/qualified/false/count/41
Well Tommy Armstrong, even with his less than accurate, hit or miss, passing, still threw for 2,180 yards last season.
So we get an accurate QB who knows where the ball needs to go and can deliver it with accuracy, total yards, yards per attempt, touchdowns...all that should go up.
And maybe I'm blind with optimism, but with all those increases going up, INTs should go down.
Overall, I'd take the over on all those numbers in the OP sans the interceptions.
broganreynik
Starter
Over! Over! Over! Under!
Easily.
Easily.
bugeater17
Starter
Guy Chamberlin
Heisman Trophy Winner
Dude, do you think I could compile 4,500 posts without indulging in off-season speculation?
I'm not disrespecting your thread. Just saying any of us could come up with numbers for Tanner Lee, and they'd likely prove as accurate as an "expert" trying to run some analytics.
Guy Chamberlin
Heisman Trophy Winner
Whoops. I see the problem. I thought you were responding to some analytics already compiled by ESPN.
My bad.
My bad.
GSG
Assistant Coach
GSG
Assistant Coach
If Lee has the kind of numbers this "expert" thinks he will have NU should be winning 10 games.
SuperBigFan69
Head Coach
Riley is going to ride or die with Lee...He is not going to put his new toy on the shelf. It would be foolish for him to not use him and his arm as much as possible.
All we have put on film under Riley and Bo was a simple scheme to beat us. Stuff the box and dare us to pass. IF Lee can make teams pay quickly, repeatedly and against teams with winning records, we win the West. It's really that simple. Once teams actually have to defend us on the ground and through the air, it opens up 100% of the play book. Not the 64% we have seen the past 10 (almost) years IMO. SIDE NOTE-we might actually use special teams this year......
If the OL doesn't step up, Lee will get beaten like Zach Taylor. I hope he is as tough. I think Cav was put on notice at media days and will coach like his a$$ is on fire and his head is catching. Same with Davis. Some RB needs to step up and be that guy. We have a 3rd year without a 1000 yard rusher, 2 coaches would't make the bowl game if we get one.....
