I think he has terrible vision. Which in turn leads to indecisiveness. Just my opinion. I think the measurables are there. I think the talent is there. Vision is hard to quantify sometimes at the high school level when youre just that much better than everyone or are running behind a line that is just dominant. Look at some of Alabamas rbs. Great lines, just hit the hole and go. The special backs hit that hole then make the second and third levels miss.
I don't think he has terrible vision. I think - especially early in the year - he was always trying to bounce it outside. Improved quite a bit on that as the year went on.
His running in the Iowa game was awful. It was like he was seeking out the tackler.
I was at the game which isn't the best place to see plays develop and the replays suck. And I haven't rewatched it.
But six of his nine carries were up the middle against a pretty good run defense. That's not giving him a lot of chance to do anything.
So Newby's six carries are at the 11:35, 12:05, 23:40, 56:50, 59:55, 1:01:50, 1:30:30, 1:34:20 and 1:41:35 marks of the following video. I guess you'll have to explain to me which runs he was "awful" on. I don't see any where he didn't get basically what he could have gotten on the given play.
Ok, I went through those runs, and he may not have been "awful", but he really wasn't very good. Here is what I saw on each run.
#1--not great blocking, but Newby still runs up against the back of the blocker. Shows a lack of patience,
#2--good run, at getting what was there, but he missed a cut to the right where he could have make a very good gain.
#3--decent run as he bounces it outside, but he allows the safety to make a 1-on-1 tackle in the open field. I know that the Iowa safety is really good, but sometimes the RB has to make a guy miss. Newby's strength is supposed to be in the open field, but he didn't show it there.
#4--This is the play that was stuck in my mind when I said Newby had an "awful" game. There were a couple of lanes where Newby should have planted the right foot and gone upfield. This play had holes to get 5-7 yards. Newby tries to bounce it outside, comes to a stop at the 10, and allows the safety to make another 1-on-1 tackle. I was on Twitter during the game, and I saw a lot of "Newby again turns a 5-yard gain into a 2 yard gain" Tweets.
#5--Play wasn't very well blocked, but Newby wasn't very decisive
#6--This was a VERY GOOD run. He had an open hole at the beginning, and then made a strong, decisive cut to go upfield and make a good gain.
#7--Ran straight forward into the pile. Wasn't much there overall though.
#8--Not much there on the play
#9--Got what he could on the play, when there wasn't much there.
So, I was probably a little harsh in saying that he was "awful" against Iowa. Run #4 was the play that I always think about when I picture Newby. There were times where the o-line didn't make a hole against a good run defense. Newby made a couple good plays, but he also could have gotten more out of plays if he breaks a tackle or is more decisive in his running.
I know that Newby is facing good defensive talent in the Big 10, but if he is supposed to be an elite RB, he needs to get better breaking tackles, making decisive cuts, and making defenders miss in the open field.