The Environment

Archy1221 said:
She probably doesn’t play craps so she probably doesn’t know that her example isn’t helping her cause even though we know what she is trying to get across.

take a straight line time log over the history of the Earth.  Those 500 yr floods she talked about aren’t supposed to happen just once every 500 years like clockwork.  Over time, on average, it’s a 500 year event (or so we say).  There could have been a 2000 years where the flood didn’t happen, but three times over a 500 year span where it did happen.  
 

Same with craps.  The odds of rolling box cars is 2.78% over time.  However, there are plenty of instances were boxcars have been rolled 2 or three times in a row (I hit snake eyes four of five rolls last weekend).  Using craps as her example, she is showing the randomness of relative short term events.  
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She understood this perfectly well, and is indeed trying to illustrate the randomness and chaos of weather prediction, while acknowledging we are in a period of accelerating chaos.

While you can roll boxcars three times in a row and then not, you can't melt a glacier one day and have it restored the next. 

Sorry about your gambling problem. 

 
Guy Chamberlin said:
She understood this perfectly well, and is indeed trying to illustrate the randomness and chaos of weather prediction, while acknowledging we are in a period of accelerating chaos.

While you can roll boxcars three times in a row and then not, you can't melt a glacier one day and have it restored the next. 

Sorry about your gambling problem. 
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Hey...don't crap (get it) on gambling.  

 
Guy Chamberlin said:
She understood this perfectly well, and is indeed trying to illustrate the randomness and chaos of weather prediction, while acknowledging we are in a period of accelerating chaos.

While you can roll boxcars three times in a row and then not, you can't melt a glacier one day and have it restored the next. 

Sorry about your gambling problem. 
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Who has a problem? 

 
Remind me of the last time a wildfire ripped through the Front Range....in late December.   Wasn't there an unprecedented tornado outbreak in Kentucky this month too?   Nevermind the Thwaites Glacier 

 
I'll be curious who will respond to this since I dont think there are many, if any, far left wingers in here. Or is this just a told you so moment by a far right Trumper trying to score a cheap point. 

 
So Russia funded climate activists, a climate they couldn’t care less about, to help create more demand for Russian natural gas?  Color me shocked. Shocked I tells ya.

 
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