devnet said:
They're secondary is replacing both cornerbacks and 2 safeties.
Their linebackers have one good one and 2 average ones. Their dline is average.
Their wide receivers have one good receiver and the others are all average.
They lose their all conference punter.
They lose their starting 1700 yard running back
They lose their monster Tight End
They lose their kickoff kicker (he was the punter)
They lose their Right Guard who started 45 games (he graduated)
So...why the hell is everyone scared? Their defense has HUGE losses and their offense has key cogs missing. I'm not even the least bit worried.
"Scared" is a straw man. "Has watched Bo's teams and knows what to expect" is more accurate. We've had five years of Bo. Have lost to a mediocre team - sometimes blown out by them - every single year. Against mobile QBs Bo's teams have struggled every year, again often being blown out by them.
These points in Nebraska's favor make no sense.
They lost a guy with 46 starts on their offensive line = trouble for them. We lost guys from the D Line with 27 and 41 starts, but this doesn't equal trouble for Nebraska?
They lost their all-conference punter = problems for them. We lost our punter/place kicker but that's not a problem for us.
They lost their monster TE = trouble for them. We lost two of the best TEs we've had in the last 15 years and that's not a problem for us.
They have one good WR and the rest are average. We have one statistically good WR and the rest are statistically average, but that's an advantage for us.
They have one good linebacker and two average ones. We have zero proven linebackers, and only one with any real game experience, but that's an advantage for us.
The biggest thing they lose is Franklin, and that's probably an advantage for us. But the guys they have taking over (Thigpen & James) are both four-star recruits. RB is one of the easiest positions to replace on a football team.
devnet said:
Nebraska offense = better than last year...return almost ALL of their offense.
Nebraska defense = how could it be worse than last year? The secondary should be one of the best in the nation as it was last year.
Nebraska Special Teams = our punter should be great...our placekicker has a few starts and has a great leg
UCLA Offense = not as good as it was...they lost a 1700 RB who scored 13 TD's and a 46 reception clutch tight end who scored 12 TD's. Let's not forget Franklin had over 2000 yards of offense if you count his receptions. When you lost that much on your Offensive production and have a 46 start guard gone...there's going to be some issues.
UCLA Defense = not as good in pass protection as it was, probably just as good in run defense. The logic here is...if they are just as good on run defense as they were last year, Nebraska will still move the ball quite well. If they're worse in pass protection, Nebraska will pass all over them.
UCLA Special Teams = new freshman punter (#3 in the nation recruited) and new placekicker to be determined
Again, you have to use the same logic for each team. UCLA's offense won't be as good as last year because they lost pieces, but our defense will be better because we lost pieces. That doesn't make sense, and it's simple homerism.
I'm not against drinking the kool-aid. I just don't want the overreaction to our potential to clash headlong into the overreaction to our shortcomings if/when this team loses.