I saw this on another board last year. Im pretty sure it wasnt this one, if it is then i apologize for repeating.
How it works is you put how confident you are in each game by the game.. Example:
Nevada - 1.0
Texas - 0.5
That means you are sure we will beat nevada but 50/50 on texas
You go through and do this for every game. If you think we can win it 7 out of 10 times put .7
Once you are done, add them all up and divide by the number of games. So divide by 12 this year.
Once all this is done, the number you get is the number of wins you think the team will win this year.
How it works is you put how confident you are in each game by the game.. Example:
Nevada - 1.0
Texas - 0.5
That means you are sure we will beat nevada but 50/50 on texas
You go through and do this for every game. If you think we can win it 7 out of 10 times put .7
Once you are done, add them all up and divide by the number of games. So divide by 12 this year.
Once all this is done, the number you get is the number of wins you think the team will win this year.