And I contend that the 2003 season wasn't really that much better than the 2002 season. The record was better. But we only beat two teams that finished with a winning record - only one Power 5 team - and were not competitive in our losses.
It's an interesting question when we look at it with variables other than wins, which can be noisy. First let's look at scoring margin, a very good indicator in an alternating possession game like football.
2003 has a much higher scoring margin, specifically because of scoring defense.
2003 scoring defense: 2nd nationally
2003 scoring margin: 10.3 ppg
2002 scoring defense: 45th nationally
2002 scoring margin: 3.5 ppg
Scoring Margin clearly is in favor of 2003
Comparatively, let's look at another good indicator, yards per play difference.
2003: +.5 YPP
2002: +.4 YPP
Why the big difference in conclusion between scoring margin and yards per play? They should correlate closer than that.
Turnover margin.
2003: +1.8
2002: -2.0
Some of you were also on the Scout boards a long time ago and may remember I used to beat the drum on the
random nature of turnovers, and the reason I don't post that as much anymore is that people really didn't like this idea, and randomness or the lack thereof, is a tough thing to convince people on. I think it's generally more accepted now than say 10 or 15 years ago because statistical analysis is generally more accepted, but it's still a major dividing line.
If you're like me, and I made this same argument way back in the day, you're more likely to see 2002 and 2003 as similar, or more specifically, don't assign as much a causal relation between performance and final win total.
If you fall on the "forced turnovers" side of the fence, your more likely to see 2003 as the better season.