We couldn't beat Pac-12 bottom dweller Colorado two years running. The conference also has USC, Oregon, Stanford, Arizona, Arizona State, Washington, Washington State and Utah, and I can't imagine we'd be favored in any of those games. Maybe we'd be a push against Arizona State, Cal or UCLA this year. I think Oregon State could take us.
In 2019 the Big 10 was 1—5 vs. the Pac 12. Pac 12 wins the head to head battle every year.
I think we take a little too much comfort that the Big 10 is a tougher conference, or plays a different brand of football that vexes newbie coaches.