Which States Send the Most Players to the NFL?

B

Bowfin

Banned
...that's a pretty easy question. The ones with the most people in them.

However...

Take a look at a map where they look at how many per capita...



Yep, Texas, Florida, and California lag behind Nebraska and Iowa.

So much for the vaunted "Texas pipeline" that was supposedly severed for every team that left a conference that contained Texas University.

http://thedailyviz.com/2012/04/19/mapping-the-nfl-where-do-its-players-come-from/

 
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I do find this interesting. I personally know at least 5 guys who have played in the NFL and all are from Nebraska. A couple for a very short time but a couple that had long very successful careers. I don't know anyone who has played professional basketball, baseball or hockey.

 
and, why are Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, and Colorado lumped together? Did something change?

 
NUance said:
I'd like to see the per capita for American Samoa.
Click to expand...
30 NFL players from a population of 55k. That's roughly 1 in 1800. The chances of a young Samoan getting into the league are roughly 60 times higher than any other American.

 
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Bowfin said:
...that's a pretty easy question. The ones with the most people in them.

However...

Take a look at a map where they look at how many per capita...



Yep, Texas, Florida, and California lag behind Nebraska and Iowa.

So much for the vaunted "Texas pipeline" that was supposedly severed for every team that left a conference that contained Texas University.

http://thedailyviz.c...yers-come-from/
Click to expand...

Except that this vaunted Texas pipeline also includes hundreds of players that are quality college players that don't make the NFL, when the stats you've posted are only NFL players. There's more to a quality college team than just future NFL players. Takes a high # of quality players to be great, not necessarily just those who go on to play in the NFL.

 
Yeah, I'd like to see this done with a list of the three-deep All-American team. That would get us a better idea of where the great college players come from.

 
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Isn't this a rate based on total population? Just because

Bowfin said:
...that's a pretty easy question. The ones with the most people in them.

However...

Take a look at a map where they look at how many per capita...



Yep, Texas, Florida, and California lag behind Nebraska and Iowa.

So much for the vaunted "Texas pipeline" that was supposedly severed for every team that left a conference that contained Texas University.

http://thedailyviz.c...yers-come-from/
Click to expand...
Saying that Nebraska has more NFL players per capita and then belittling the "Texas pipeline" is kind of a stretch. This is all per capita so while states like Nebraska and Mississippi may have higher resident-to-NFL rates than Texas it really doesn't mean much in the big picture of recruiting. The darker states are also smaller population wise while FL, CA and TX have massive populations skewing the data, per capita is interesting but not really useful for the kind of jump you're trying to make. Just look at the rosters:

Nebraska has the following breakdown:

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Texas:

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Ole Miss:

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So even though MS & NE have more players per capita they're smaller states so that's a smaller talent pool and they must still lean on other states for players. Larger states, like Texas, may have a lower per capita rate but a much larger population meaning more talent... they could very easily field a team entirely of Texans if they really wanted. The Texas pipeline is very real. Per capita rankings are fun to look at but they don't mean much, a better data set might show the home states of all FBS players if we're talking about fielding FBS teams.

 
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A little more fun with rosters and per capita rankings...look at KU. Both Kansas and Texas are the same color but look at the roster.

GVUolAG.png


I'll eat some crow though...the second part of your statement has an implied question: Did Colorado, Missouri and Nebraska see a decline in the number of Texas players on their roster after leaving the Big XII?

When realignment started I thought for sure the answer would be yes but it hasn't happened yet. I looked at the data and Colorado has far more Texans now than it did in 2008. Nebraska saw a decline from a high in 2010 (nearly 20% of the team) but is back down to 2008 type numbers so the answer is no, realignment hasn't stopped Texans from going to Colorado or Nebraska...I didn't really look at Mizzou.

The next step would be to look at the quality of those recruits. Are Colorado and Nebraska getting as many stars out of Texas as they used to? I don't feel like looking that up.

 
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This statistical analysis is dumb especially when it was done over the lunchbreak. It took into account the whole population of the state, including females. Therefore, you would really need to look at the male:female ratio from every state to be more accurate. Also, youre including children and older people in the sample size as well. Maybe you should do do males between the ages of 22-40? Obviously youre going to get more older people in texas and cali due to those places being better for retirement.

 
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