Just to be clear, Urban Meyer is a swell coach, but he did walk into existing powerhouses at both Florida and Ohio State. He did an impressive job at Utah, but they weren't exactly a dumpster fire either, and at the time playing against competition we consider well below Big 10 standards.
When actually hired to put out a dumpster fire with the Jacksonville Jaguars, Urban Meyer failed on multiple levels.
There really are no sure things. I know this will come down to a huge paycheck, but we still want the coach that's genuinely hungry.