No, government intervention hasn't worked in any country in the world to stop this virus (except for North Korea, reportedly). That said, the Big Ten was disingenuous in even suggesting a season was possible last week when nothing of note has changed in the past six days. It's a big fear of the unknown issue. It is a sorry way to go through life if fear of the unknown consumes a person as there are many unknowns in everyday life.
Great post. The reality is that the virus was already spreading to many countries in the world when the US was first learning about this, and it had reached a point where it would be very difficult to stop. In the US we did not have sufficient PPE equipment when the virus first surged in the spring, and the goal from Fauci and other leading medical experts was to "flatten the curve" in order to ensure there were enough hospital beds and ventilators to go around. Well, we have flattened the curve, and despite seeing some spikes in California, Texas and Florida, there have been very few situations nationwide where we did not have sufficient beds or ventilators. So unless the strategic goal of keeping the curve flattened and putting out flare ups has changed, there is NO reason the BIG should have taken the action they did.
If we play out the thought process of the BIG leadership, will the virus still be around for winter sports? Yes. Will the virus still be in existence in the spring? Yes, even with a vaccine, the virus will not be eradicated, just as the flu is never fully eradicated. Will the virus still be around in the fall, 2021? Most likely yes. At what point do we stop living in fear of catching the virus? A vaccine may help mitigate some of the symptoms of the virus, but its not going to completely eliminate ones chances of catching it. And, many will be hesitant to take a vaccine that is being rushed to market. Thus, the logic of even a SMALL amount of medical risk from the virus will be hear to stay for a good amount of time, and I cannot see how the BIG can change its justification for allowing winter or spring sports if they are so concerned with fall sports now.
The correct decision from the BIG would have been to let the players and coaches make their own personal choices about playing. You are completley correct that life is about taking risks, whether its getting in a car to go on the highway, getting on an airplane, or playing football where players risk injury to their limbs or brain every time they take the field. If enough players or coaches would elect not to play and they cannot field a team, then that team would simply sit out this season, but it would be THEIR choice. For those who are high risk or scared to death about catching the virus and live in fear day in and day out, they also have a choice to completely live in quarantine and not leave their homes. I am just curious where this will end. Approximately 600,000 Americans have died from the regular flu over the past decade and we have not shut down sports and the rest of society to prevent those deaths. Will we start doing that for the regular flu moving forward?