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KJ.

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Posts posted by KJ.

  1. I could see Ankrah, Evans, Enunwa, spencer Long, Rodriguez, Sirles and Qvale all maybe ending up on Nfl rosters. Ankrah, Evans Enunwa and Long all by draft. Taylor is a question mark. His speed is undeniable. How does that foot heal up and where will he play are two questions, but his speed alone would make him interesting.

    You got one correct and probably missed the one that has the most potential.

  2. If you think this staff is willing to do that to a kid just to win football games I feel sorry for you.

    Kinda like how we trotted Martinez out there against Minnesota after he was a month into an 8 month injury?

    Not even close to a good comparison. We are talking about Zach's brain, not his 2nd and 3rd toes.

    What about playing Cody Green through a concussion?

     

    Of course he's not going to play a guy who is ~0% like Darlington is now. But what about when he recovers to the point that he's 40% and doctors are saying "Yeah, probably should wait a little longer on this one" but Bo looks past that because it benefits him? What empirical evidence do you have suggesting Bo wouldn't play him then?

  3. Fascinating stuff from Brandon. I like the work he does. From all the teams, there is a pretty clear positive correlation between TO margin and winning percentage. Teams who turn the ball over and don't force turnovers lose more games. Teams who force more turnovers than they lose win more games.

     

    But that's not the case for Nebraska. And while we can conclude that it's impressive and terrifying at the same time, the research shouldn't stop there. How has Nebraska won in spite of itself should be highly considered.

     

     

    Are you hinting at an upcoming nerdgasm math thread

    I see some ANOVAs and sum of non-squared errors in HuskerBoard's future.

  4. I expect Bo to be gone regardless at the end of the season. What do you guys think our silent ginger assassin was brought in to do?

    Because Osborne didn't want to be the AD anymore :dunno

    Wrong. Dont you know Osborne was secretly fired so that Eichorst can be brought in as a temp for the sole purpose of firing Bo, and run off in a few years back to Wiscy when Alvarez retires?

     

    God, you need to check your sources better, man.

     

    I realize the purpose of your post. However the simple fact that Ozzy called his retirement announcement on practically the most important religious holiday for a person of Jewish beliefs (Perlman is Jewish) and the fact that Ozzy had zero input on his replacement. We both can agree that Perlman wants Bo gone. Perlman brought in a guy to get the job done. It really is not that big of a stretch.

    Nailed it.

    • Fire 1
  5. Is there another Saban or Meyer out there, big cat?

    If you're asking if there are other coaches that will eventually win a national title within a few years at their school, then yes. Yes there are.

     

    Not sure where you're going with that though, as I was just pointing out that your criticism of the type of statistic used in the list is stupid.

  6. Please re-do the list to indicate how many years as a head coach, not just at the program of choice. That MIGHT actually make for some good discussion, because this list doesn't.

    Not so sure about that, big cat. There's something to be said for Urban's ability to inherit a shitshow 6-6 team and start out 43-0 or whatever it is.

     

    Of course the time it takes coaches to "learn on the job" is important so looking at the list with respect to total years as a HC is important. But it's still a damn important perspective to look at how long it takes at a specific school.

  7. Game theory says go for it. How far can a high school kid punt anyway? By punting you're probably giving up a ~50% chance of ending the game for a net gain of 30 yards? Not worth it. Especially since you averaged more than 2 yards per play on your first 3 plays.

  8.  

    You all may have seen this already but Dave Ramsey breaks down the math of Obamacare and explains how it doesn't work. Well worth your 10 minutes

    Yikes. For a guy that says "mathematically" about 43 times and claims insurance pricing to be on the level of an 8th grade math class, he's completely clueless. It's sad that this buffoon spouts out oversimplified and inaccurate details on insurance/social security and some people run with it thinking "the math doesn't work!".

  9. if this is a real line dude you need to jump on Pelini not getting fired. There is a 0% chance he is fired this year regardless of how the rest of the year plays out. Even if we lose out (which wont happen) he will be back next year for his decided fate. That's some easy money there.

    tumblr_mcx7y1c5hz1qe58lyo1_500.gif

  10. Some buddies of mine decided to drive up for the game after telling me they weren't going to. Consequently I need to ditch the ticket I got. Ticket is a single ticket for section 6, row 2, seat 29. It's a great seat, but nothing beats watching a game with friends.

     

    Looking to get face value for the ticket $128.00

    I wasn't aware that we altered face value based on the quality of the seat. Is that really face or is that what you want for it?

     

    That's really face value, here's a picture of the ticket http://imgur.com/scQz5kE

    Totally forgot this was a road game. Thanks for the clarification. Too much for me, though.

  11. Some buddies of mine decided to drive up for the game after telling me they weren't going to. Consequently I need to ditch the ticket I got. Ticket is a single ticket for section 6, row 2, seat 29. It's a great seat, but nothing beats watching a game with friends.

     

    Looking to get face value for the ticket $128.00

    I wasn't aware that we altered face value based on the quality of the seat. Is that really face or is that what you want for it?

  12. We were in the same spot last year heading into November and managed to rip off win after win after win after win all the way to the Big Ten Championship game.

     

    There is nothing right now saying that that goal of winning the Big Ten is impossible. We MUST win out. We did last season, and we can do it this season.

    Thomas Bayes disagrees with just about everything you have said.

  13. Here's some approximate figures on how we did defending different Minnesota personnel. For convienience, they are organized in descending order of how frequently it was actually used by Minnesota.

     

    11 personnel: 18 plays, 135 yards

    22: 14 plays, 77 yards

    12: 9 plays, 69 yards

    21: 9 plays, 29 yards

    10: 8 plays, 41 yards

    20: 5 plays, 48 yards

    32: 5 plays, 11 yards

    31: 1 play, 2 yards

    wtf: 1 play, 20 yards

     

    Total: 70 plays, 432 yards

     

    While it might be easy to say 11 personnel was our weakness, I don't think that's what killed us today. 20 had a much higher YPP average, and 10 kept us surprised and off balance nicely. I'm guessing since the staff was primarily concerned about 11, so the surprise of 10 or 20 worked to their advantage.

  14. How bad do we want a more definitive answer to this question?

     

    I could do it, but the data collection and analyses involved are time consuming and tedious. So if there isn't enough of an interest, I won't waste my time. If there is, I'll go ahead and get it done.

     

    I don't know if these are the stats you were thinking of. But these are the stats I gathered and compiled.

     

    The first thing I looked at is the overall win loss records for each conference combined.

     

    1. SEC 64 - 36

    2. ACC 58 - 34

    3. BIG 53 - 28

    4. Pac12 53 - 29

    5. MAC 42 - 54

    6. Big 12 39 - 25

    7. MWC 38 - 43

    8. Con. USA 38 - 54

    9. AAC 31 - 32

    10. Sunbelt 26 - 29

     

    I then calculated the win percentage.

     

    1. Big 10 65.43%

    2. Pac 12 64.53%

    3. SEC 64%

    4. ACC 63.04%

    5. Big 12 60.94%

    6. AAC 49%

    7. Sunbelt 47.27%

    8. MWC 46.91%

    9. MAC 43.75%

    10. Independent 42.86%

    11. Conf. USA 41.30%

     

    I then went and calculated the ooc opponents win loss records. Also the percentage of those ooc games were FCS opponents.

     

    1. MAC 176 - 135

    2. Independent 173 - 145

    3. Conf. USA 165 - 136

    4. AAC 148 - 118

    5. ACC 133 - 145

    6. SEC 130 - 124

    7. Pac 12 127 - 110

    8. MWC 122 - 111

    9. BIG 118 - 149

    10. Sunbelt 117 - 115

    11. Big 12 99 - 124

     

    Also the percentages of those ooc games that were FCS opponents

     

    1. Sunbelt 47.62% with 10 games FCS

    2. Pac 12 27.03% with 10 games FCS

    3. Big 12 26.67% with 8 games FCS

    4. ACC 25.58% with 11 games FCS

    5. MWC 24.39% with 10 games FCS

    6. MAC 23.08% with 12 games FCS

    7. BIG 21.74% with 10 games FCS

    8. AAC 20.51% with 8 games FCS

    9. SEC 19.51% with 8 games FCS

    10. Independent 12.24% with 6 FCS

    11. Conf. USA 11.32% with 6 FCS

     

    I noticed 3 things out of this doing this.

    1. SEC doesn't have the best win loss percentage despite playing more games so far. With each loss not affecting the stats as much.

    2. SEC is thought of playing a lot of FCS schools. Even though these stats shows results through games 10/24 SEC is near the bottom of FCS games played. They do still have some left but shouldn't move them much further up the chart than maybe midway.

    3. I have way to much time on my hands.

     

    All of the information I used to gather this info. Came from ESPN. Out of curiosity I have started on 2012's results but havn't completed them as of yet.

     

    That wasn't exactly what I was looking for, but good work!

     

    There seems to be a lot of talk that the SEC moves down less when they lose and moves up more when they win than teams from other conferences. So the variables that I would need would be:

     

    1) Any matchup involving a team who was either ranked or receiving votes for each the AP and Coaches Poll

    2) The conference of the team

    3) The conference of the opponent

    4) Whether the team won or lost

    5) Whether the team they played was ranked above or below them

    6) The change in rank

     

    From there, because all but the 6th variable is qualitative, ANOVAs can be ran to determine if the SEC does benefit in the polls from their perceived strength.

    I'd love to see the output of those ANOVAs and get the definitive answer, if you wouldn't mind sparing 6-7 hours to get that tedious and mind-draining work done, Nate.

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