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Lonestar_Husker

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Posts posted by Lonestar_Husker

  1. This is the most satisfying half of Nebraska Football that I have witnessed in a very long time. It includes several examples of the kind of mistake that would usually bury this team mentally. The defense is playing hard. Winning some and losing some. They are forcing those turnovers. I guess "just making Ohio State punt" is overrated. Who knew?

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  2. 3 hours ago, Moiraine said:

     

     

    I actually like that about him and think it’s a good sign. I think some dual threats who prefer to take off whenever it’s available are more likely to miss open receivers.

    Me too. That's why I think that his stubbornness to stick with the play under extreme duress, with everything swirling around him, will pay big dividends the next several years. I believe Nebraska hit home runs with Maurice Washington and Adrian Martinez. Mo is pretty fiery and exceptionally talented and Adrian is just so calm, cool and calculating. They are true freshmen playing with poise beyond their experience. 

  3. Adrian looks to run the play as called until it is too late, sometimes. I have seen him pass up sure 8-15 yd gains running to try and run the play as called. I think this stubborn way of playing will pay dividends as the game slows down and he gets to all the possible reads faster. Eventually, he'll make the decision to take off quicker, too. For this reason, I picked Ozigbo with 1000+ and Adrian Martinez will come up short.

     

    Next year, Mo and Martinez both get 1000.

  4. 3 minutes ago, MichiganDad3 said:

    I was very impressed on the effort when everything was steamrolling against us. The team passed a big test today. Should Frost take them for ice cream with sprinkles? :)

    No way! There is still a lot to accomplish this season. This is the first step. It was bigger than I thought it would be, but I feel Nebraska is on it's way up, finally. 

  5. The announcer mentioned the 1 holding call that was accepted in the last 21 games and made a point about there only being 2 called. He said when the research staff found the stat, they had someone else verify it. Laurenitis then waxed philosophical as to a team's reputation being such that they don't ever get holding calls. As an LB, he said he saw holding on virtually every play, but to have drawn so few, then he trailed off. 

     

     

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  6. Well, hypothetically speaking(:horns2let me hear your body talk, your body talk) I would prefer one that is as late in December (Let's get into physical, physical) as possible. Also, a warm weather locale for the players to enjoy. The Redbox/Foster Farms bowlio (you know what I meeeaann?) would be perfect. It's usually played after most schools go on Winter Break on a Thursday night.? So, that would make it easy to view. 

     

    Again, all apologies for the excessive disjointment on this post, but I fear the rest of my day is screwed. Dammit Scotty! Don't you have some Dilithium Crystals to align or something?

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  7. 10 minutes ago, Xmas32 said:

     

    I both agree and disagree with some points here.  On huge events like the Super Bowl you are 100% correct that the goal is to funnel as much money through the book and collect the 10% juice.  Sportsbooks are now starting to take more proactive stances on games where they think they know the right side and are willing to lay a line that draws in lopsided action and are willing to play the percentages that they'll come out ahead.  Books also know more often than not which side is going to be the public side and will skew the juice/line that way to make people pay a premium.  You are also correct that the initial linesmakers are worth their weight in gold.  I'm not sure if this is still the case as they've exited the US market but the book at Pinnacle used to be the gold standard and had the sharpest line/juice anywhere and I heard that lots of other books would simply copy Pinny's line moves. 

     

    Here's a fun article that talks a bit about the line making process.

     

    https://www.sportsinsights.com/betting-tools/sportsbook-profit-margins/

     

    As for the NU line, I agree with Severe that it probably ends up around -3.  It would take a mountain of one sided money/key injury to move it past that key number.

    I don't gamble on others potential performance, so I don't really know current sports book trends. That is news to me that sportsbooks are basically wagering themselves, now. I'll play Blackjack if my brother drags me to a casino, that's about it. I will wager on my own performance, though. I appreciate your perspective and learning something. :cheers

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