Purdue is the wildcard, win that and I see 6 wins, lose that and we need to scramble for a 6th win somewhere. I'll remain optimistic and go the positive path.
Purdue - win
Central Michingan - win
SDSU - win
Cincy - loss
Northwestern - win
Illinois - win
Rutgers - win
Ohio State - loss
Penn State - loss
Iowa - loss
Wisconsin - loss
Minnesota - loss
6-6. Bowl game? I'll stay the optimistic path and say we beat the non power 5 school we play and finish the year 7-6.
If we lose to Purdue, I think we may be able to scavenge a win vs Iowa, but then I could also see us losing to Illinois. Who knows.
Heck, knowing our luck Rutgers new head coach, whoever that will be, will only take him 3 weeks to rebuild that mess in New Jersey and Rutgers will be bowl eligible by the time we play them.