ECisGod

1 hour ago, Omaha-Husker said:

Creighton's NET is 11. Nebraska's is 41. Simplest way to describe the discrepancy. Don't bother with the polls they don't mean much for March Madness.

 

For further reason as to why they look different with similar records is that the B1G isn't very good and if I remember right we only got Purdue, Illinois, Wiscy, and MSU once so really about as weak of a conference SOS as you can get. Creighton is also tied for the most road wins in the Power 6 which the computers love, something basically every pundit said for weeks was holding Nebraska's resume back.

Polls never mean anything in basketball.

The B1G is the second best conference in most computer rankings (behind the Big 12).  They don't have any truly horrible teams - Michigan is the worst in the NET at 120.  There are 4 teams in the NET top 25 & ten in the top 80.

Big East is 4th, but are really pulled down by DePaul being at 320 & Georgetown at 198.  The other 9 teams are all in the top 65.

8 hours ago, Hayseed said:

If we win out, are we a 6 or 7 seed? Someone explain why Creighton with the same record is a 3 or 4 seed? Are they a legacy like Pinto and Flounder of the Delta house and get an easy start?

Thedy didn't get blown out by Iowa, Maryland, Wisconsin & Creighton.  Huskers are playing really well right now, but the Huskers have some blowout losses earlier in the season.  Creighton is 12-8 in quads 1-2, Huskers are 7-8.

Great atmosphere in The Vault last night.

Now they need to back up the win at Indiana with a win at OSU.

Nebraska is a 6.5 point favorite with an over/under of 146.5.  ESPN BPI gives them a 75.8% chance to win.

Rice is out, Keita is available for emergences, Ulis is suspended.

GBR!

41 minutes ago, Lorewarn said:

Man I would so put a flight on the credit card if we got seeded in Omaha.

I already take the Thursday/Friday of the first round off & live in Omaha. I've already said that if they make the tournament & get assigned to Omaha I'm getting tickets.

I usually sit in a bar all day drinking beer & watching hoops, but I'd be willing to miss most of the games to see the Huskers live in the NCAA tournament.

31 minutes ago, GSG said:

 

Feels dirty to be rooting for KSUx but it is what it is

We also need to cheer for Minnesota to not beat us, but not fall below 75 because they are at 72 right now.  They have games at Illinois home vs Penn St & Indiana  and at Northwestern after playing Nebraska Sunday.

ESPN has Nebraska as a 10 seed in Omaha playing Florida in today's update.

CBS has them a 10 seed in Salt Lake playing BYU in today's update.

1 hour ago, NebraskaHarry said:

Probably cause they also beat Purdue I'm assuming.

I might be wrong.  It looks like Northwestern split with Purdue, so we have a better winning percentage (100% > 50%).  I thought they had only played Purdue once like us and had beaten Illinois so they would win the tiebreaker at that step.

2 hours ago, NebraskaHarry said:

If they could win out the regular season, IF! I feel pretty confident they would crack into the top 4 of the conference tourney. 

If they win out & most of the other remaining games go as expected they probably finish 3rd.

The only teams they would lose a head-to-head tiebreaker are Illinois, Iowa, Maryland & Northwestern.  They would win the tiebreaker with everyone else because they either swept the series or tied the season series and the win over Purdue becomes the second tiebreaker (assuming Purdue wins the conference).  They would also win a three-way tie with Michigan State & Northwestern.  I'm not sure how any other multi-team tiebreakers would turn out.

2 minutes ago, BigRedBuster said:

 

Also up to 34 at Bart Torvik, 41 at ESPN's BPI & 29 in the BPI SOR.

Torvik has them as a 10 seed with an 80.9% chance to get a bid.

12 minutes ago, JJ Husker said:

God forbid they get a call right. Had to reverse it to the wrong call.

That made them 0-3 on out of bounds calls.

That's what happens when Kelly Pfeifer is one of the referees. 

43 minutes ago, Moiraine said:

This is reminding me of the away game against Rutgers (I believe).  We were up by a lot and threw it away. 

 

Edit: Ok maybe it was Minnesota. 

It was actually both

I'm not sure what to say.  I was hoping Nebraska came out strong,  I would never have guessed that they'd be up by 20 at halftime. 

16 minutes ago, whateveritis1224 said:

God Penn State's home court looks like a high school gym. Are they building a new one and playing in their volleyball arena?

It was a choice to play in the smaller arena for one game.

Money must be going on Indiana & over.  Line is now Indiana by 1.5 & the over/under is up to 149.5.

Huskers are 1.5 point favorites with an over/under of 145.5.  ESPN BPI give Nebraska a 50% chance to win.

Rice is out (I think - I haven't heard anything), not sure about Diop, Keita is available for emergencies & Ulis is suspended.

GBR!

26 minutes ago, brontosaurus said:

I feel like if we finish the last 3 road games a combined 1-2 or better we can lock into the tournament. Losing all of those road games would require an extremely convincing conference tourney run to make it in. Dropping to Indiana, Ohio State, and Michigan and then an early exit in the Big Ten tourney will make it too easy for the committee to say "This team is 1-10 on the road, they didn't earn it"

They definitely need to win at least one road game & not lose either home game.  Winning two would be better.  Winning all three would all but guarantee them a spot.  If they can win 2 road games + a B1G tournament game they should be golden.

3 minutes ago, BigRedBuster said:

I believe they are too.  I think the hardest ones will be @Indiana and then @OSU.  Beating Indiana would be huge.  Hopefully, the Purdue game isn't an indication that OSU all of a sudden has life with the coaching change.

 

It will also be interesting to see what, if any, affect having more time off between games has these last few weeks.

ESPN has the Indiana game a toss up (NU 49.9% chance to win).  They think the toughest game is at OSU (36.8%).

I agree on OSU, hopefully it was a one off game against Purdue, not a sign that they figured something out.

According to ESPN their chances to win each game are:

Indiana - 49.9%

Minnesota - 74.9%

OSU - 36.8%

Rutgers - 80.1%

Michigan - 57.2%

ESPN currently has the Huskers as a 10 seed in Charlotte vs Utah State.  One of the last four byes.

NCAA Bracketology: 2024 March Madness men's field predictions (espn.com)

CBS has them as one of the last four in playing Utah for the right to play Kentucky in Brooklyn.

2024 NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions - Bracketology - College Basketball - CBSSports.com

Bracket Matrix has them as a 10 seed & on 96/98 brackets.  Highest seed is 9, lowest is 11.

The Bracket Project's Bracket Matrix - 2024

Computer rankings are NET 48, Ken Pom 40, Bart Torvik 39 (also a 10 seed with a76.8% chance to make the tournament), BPI 49 & SOR 36.

1 hour ago, BigRedBuster said:

 

They must have us winning all of the last 5 games.

They do - all five are winnable.

11 hours ago, admo said:

So you miss the point?  About being 11th seed and the challenges?  I also mentioned it's easier at 10 and 12.  I would retype but I don't want to.

 

There is a lot of bad seeding that traditionally happens.  I hope you agree.

It's not necessarily bad seeding, there are always upsets.  Most years the difference between a 5 seed and a 12 seed (and all the seeds in between) is pretty small.  There are a lot of bubble teams that played really well at the end of the season to get into the tournament & some mid-seeded teams that played poorly at the end of the season, but really well early so they got a higher seed.  Look at Wisconsin.  On Sunday when the NCAA announced their current top 16 seeds they were a 4 seed but have lost 5 of 6 and have looked really bad doing it.  There is almost no way they don't make the tournament, but I wouldn't pick them in the first round unless they figure their crap out in the next couple of weeks.

In the NCAA tournament, it's always who gets hot at the right time.  If a team gets hot in March, seeding doesn't matter.

12 hours ago, BigRedBuster said:

Welp…so much them to be an easier road game.  
 

 

Hopefully OSU was just fired up to play their first game for a new coach & will go back to their regular ways by next week.

9 hours ago, admo said:

Stay the course and we are in. 

 

I think we would all love to win in round one, and then have hope to play well in round 2.

 

After looking at the projected tourney bracket, it looks like we would be better off being #12 or #13 seed.   

 

They currently have us at #11.

 

That path seems more challenging as the #11 seed. 

 

And more challenging than if we were #12 or #10 seed.

 

For example...

 

The 11th seed plays the 6th seed.  Winner plays 3rd seed.

The 12th seed plays the 5th seed.  Winner plays 4th seed.

The 13th seeds plays the 4th seed.  Winner plays 5th seed.

 

Right now, the Huskers are projected #11th seed and would play against #6 seed Texas Tech, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida Atlantic. 

 

And then if you win you play the #3 seed - 

Baylor, Alabama, Iowa State, Auburn

 

If Huskers were #12th seed, they would play against the #5 seed - 

BYU, San Diego State, Dayton, Clemson.

 

If you win then you play against the #4 seed - 

Creighton, Wisconsin, Illinois, Duke

 

My point is, the #11 seed is a difficult path.

 

I mean, even if the Huskers got the #10th seed, they play the projected #7 seed - Utah State, Oklahoma, Colorado State, Michigan State

 

Any matchup as #11 looks awfully hard IMHO.

No at-large team will ever be a 13 seed.  Those are always conference champions from small conferences.

1 hour ago, commando said:

huskers have exploded this half.   up 17 with 11 minutes left now.

It helps when Penn State doesn't hit double figures in the second half until 7:34 to go in the game. 

Diop not going through warm ups, so I'm guessing he's not playing.