ECisGod

2 hours ago, Red Five said:

For RPI calcs, you want to avoid playing 300+ ranked teams.  Stetson (#319), Marist (#323), and Delaware St (#351 out of 351, so DFL!) are really weighting down our SOS.  Replace them with teams in the mid 200s and we would move up some spots.

 

But I'm assuming it is really hard to tell how these cupcakes will rank when scheduling.  You don't know if a Marist will be #320 or #220 when you schedule them.

Marist was in the holiday tournament.  Had they beaten UCF, they would have played West Virginia instead.

Illinois score one point in the second quarter & had 10 at the half.  Ouch.

18 hours ago, Mavric said:

 

So stacking our schedule with cupcakes to help the win total out may backfire....

Part of the problem has been injuries to some of the "better" teams they played.  St John's & UCF were good teams until injuries killed their seasons.  They were both losses, but wouldn't looked so ugly.  Minnesota would have been a good win if they hadn't had injuries and suspensions - we did play them when they were at full strength and hopefully the committee will factor that in to their decision.  Had they won the UCF game, they wouldn't have played two patsies.  The down side to those 8 team holiday tournaments is that if you lose the first game, the other two games usually hurt your SOS.  Yes, they played a lot of crappy teams, but so does everyone else in the power conferences.  The problem is that they didn't win any of their early season games against good teams.

24 minutes ago, seaofred92 said:

yeah no not at all. Definitely not attacking anyone. Just hope that people cool their jets a bit here with the "they can't leave us out if we win 23 games!" talk. Because the committee has proven before that they will do exactly that if a team falls short in other areas (which Nebraska clearly does) that matter. 

I think if they get to 23 wins in the regular season they have a good chance.  I know that 20+ of their wins will be useless, but the committee also looks at how they are playing at the end of the season and winning 11 of 12 to end the season including 4 road wins and the only loss being in OT on the road will look pretty good compared to all of the other equally flawed bubble teams.  If they don't get in they should be a high seed in the NIT which most people who follow the team would have been happy with in November.

Edit - only loss to at OSU by 5

37 minutes ago, Minnesota_husker said:

Good call, I was confused because earlier when we were tied they were ahead of us. Must have been because someone else was tied with us?

 

For those who are curious: http://www.bigten.org/sports/m-baskbl/spec-rel/110410aae.html

I'm sure it was alphabetical with M being before N.  Sports sites tend to sort by wins/ losses and then alphabetical because it would be too hard for them to actually look at the tie breakers.

6 minutes ago, Red Five said:

 

This is a pipe dream, but if the B1G is willing to hold a tournament in NYC (the far eastern edge of the footprint), we should get one in Omaha (at the far western edge of the footprint) too.

I agree that Omaha would be a great location for the B1G tournament.  They have said they want a "rotation" with Chicago & Indy as the main sites.

https://www.si.com/college-basketball/one-and-one/2014/06/05/big-ten-basketball-tournament-keeps-chicago-indianapolis-rotation

I'd like to see an 8 year rotation of Omaha, Minneapolis, NYC & DC once each and Chicago & Indy twice each.  Unfortunately I don't have Jim Delany on speed dial.

5 hours ago, Minnesota_husker said:

If we finish 4th we get a double bye. 1-2 wins would be pretty tough because we would most likely be playing a 5 seed(Michigan) and a 1 seed(Purdue).

 

If we lose 1 game, and Michigan loses only 1 game(OSU is only upper team left for them), I believe we lose the tiebreaker because of overall record. We would get a 1st round bye and be the 5 seed. 

We would win the tie breaker because head to head is the 1st tie breaker.

3 hours ago, seaofred92 said:

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/recap?gameId=400986537

 

 

Does anyone know why we have a random week off in the middle of the season? Seems like it would've been easier to spread out our last 4 games a little more if we aren't playing for another week, no?

Not sure this year.  During a normal B1G schedule each team will have two byes.  One will be a mid-week bye and the other will be a weekend bye.  For example a team will play on Sunday and then not until the next Saturday giving them 6 days between games and then have a week where they play on Thursday and then not until Tuesday.  Maybe with the condensed schedule both of our bye weeks are back to back so we get 8 days off.

The B1G needs to coordinate with the ACC and play in the Barclays Center when the ACC is not there when they want to be in NYC instead of Chicago, Indy or DC.  I get that MSG is more prestigious, but it is never going to be available during the second week of "Championship Week" because the Big East has a long term contract.  Barclays will be available because the ACC moves their tournament around like most major conferences.

10 hours ago, Moiraine said:

Who the hell is Nebrask? Let's sue.

 

 

Using the % ESPN gave for each game before the Iowa win, we have a 3% chance of finishing 6-0.

 

I kinda like using the old ones. Because each time we win a game they're going to increase our chances of winning the following games. More fun to see what our chances are according to how good ESPN thought we were last week.

With the new percentages it is up to 4.4%.  Only game we are projected to lose is at Minnesota.

50 minutes ago, seaofred92 said:

 

Did Petteway really trademark his name?

9 hours ago, spurs1990 said:

MUCH earned rest and prep time before another big road game with Minnesota. They are still short handed correct?

Amir Coffee is back, but Lynch isn't even allowed on campus.

On 1/28/2018 at 6:53 PM, cornheadnation said:

Would be awesome if Daum exercises a grad transfer. He’s a 4th year Jr but I have Absolutely no clue on how close he is to graduating or if he would even consider Nebraska if he went that route. Just think it would be cool to see him get a shot with the Huskers. 

Daum has already said he's not going anywhere as a grad transfer.

realtimerpi.com has the conference ending this way.  I'm not sure how some of the tiebreakers would work out.

I think 21 wins gets us in the conversation, but on the wrong side of the bubble to the extent that nobody really considers us.  22 probably gets us squarely on the bubble and it becomes a toss up.  I think 23 should get us in unless we win out and get hammered in the conference tournament.

1 hour ago, Red Five said:

ESPN's BPI has us winning 3.9 games of the final 7.  % Chance of each win:

 

@ Wisc 36%

@ Minn 37%

Rut 82%

Mary 56%

@ Ill 48%

Ind 73%

PSU 58%

So basically 4-3 winning home games, losing road games.  Would put them at 20-11, 11-7.  That probably wouldn't be enough to get there without a magical run in the conference tournament.  Would make them a solid seed in the NIT.

13 hours ago, Moiraine said:

 

 

1% chance of going 7-0 now! (keeping the same % chances from before).

With updated percentages it is up to 1.24%

1 hour ago, ScottyIce said:

Everyone agreeing 20 wins and we are in?

Probably going to take at least 22 or 23. B1G is down thies year and the Huskers only have one good win (Michigan) and only one chance at another decent win until the conference tournament (Maryland).

11 hours ago, HuskermanMike said:

Ha. I think it was the Wisconsin game, but at halftime, there were 6th graders playing 5 on 5. And a majority of them were standing behind the college three-point line and chucking up threes. A couple of them made it but it really made me wonder what the coach was doing allowing his players to shoot from that far out. 

 

Anyway, I think Rutgers is a tough team to beat at home, but they don't wow you with their talent. Gonna need to go 6-2 and win one or two in the conference tourney to make the big dance. Also, improved play from role players is gonna be necessary for us to be successful.

They have been out there playing at halftime several times and it is three after three every time unless they can get a layup.  I would hope that they don't play that way in real games but are trying to show off for the crowd.

1 hour ago, Minnesota_husker said:

So, you're telling me theres a chance?

There's always a chance. Technically there's a chance the win out. Win the conference tournament and then the NCAA tournament. None are likely but all are possible.

44 minutes ago, Red Five said:

 

This is how I feel.  No chance that we go 8-0 to close out the season. (People who are expecting this are setting themselves up for disappointment, or giving them a reason to call for Miles head.) Hell, I personally think going 6-2 is the best case scenario. (21-10 / 12-6 is a hell of a year IMO.)  Winning on the road is hard, and we'll probably be dogs at Sconnie and Minny. 

 

ESPN's BPI has us winning 4.5 games our of the final 8.  % Chance of each win:

Iowa 67%

@ Wisc 34%

@ Minn 36%

Rut 87%

Mary 51%

@ Ill 44%

Ind 72%

PSU 59%

With those percentages, we have a 0.7% chance of going 8-0. 

All of Jordy's fouls last night were because he stumbled over his own feet (and into the player he fouled).  If he works on footwork from the end of the season until November his fouling should decrease.  Over the years I have seen many big men go from extremely awkward to smooth over the course of a four year career.  I still have hope that Jordy can be one of those.  I'm not holding my breath, but because he does show flashes there is still hope.

41 minutes ago, seaofred92 said:

Cool. What about the rest of the items I listed? Did we go on a patented Miles scoring drought? Did we get outrebounded? Did we shoot under 40% and under 30% from 3? Did we turn the ball over 16 times? Again I’m asking you to actually watch the game and analyze what you’re seeing on the floor. I get that it might be difficult for you so you cherry pick random nuggets to make yourself look cool but if you watched tonight’s game and thought “man Nebraska is a good basketball team” then we should just end this conversation and move on. Because that was 2 very bad basketball teams playing bad basketball tonight. 

What I see is a team that plays really good defense, has a ton of talent, and looks really good if they can play up tempo (like in the 10-0 run in the second half).  The problem is they look really bad if they have to play a half court game.  a big part of that is that they don't have a post presence.  Jordy has a lot of the tools to be one, but his footwork is terrible.  Duby is there for rebounds & blocked shots and everyone knows it.  Borchardt hustles but is too slow to guard B1G post players.  If they had a quality post player, they would get much better looks from 3 and their shooting percentage would go up.  Hopefully Iowa will be just what the doctor ordered.  They want to play fast and rarely play any defense.

7 hours ago, Minnesota_husker said:

Depends if they do the "eye test". The problem with Indiana is if they win some of those games they might over-take us so i want them to build there resume a bit so when we knock them off we take advantage.

Indiana lost to Illinois last night, so that will hurt their chances.

It was ugly, but it was a W.

Line up to Rutgers by 3