Looking at the schedule, I see the very winnable games as BYU, Syracuse, Arizona State, UCLA, Cal and Washington State. Oregon State could be a possibility since it's at home and 'Zona is right in that mix as well. That is 8 potential wins right there. The remaining 4 are Stanford (I'm higher on them than others), @ USC (they'll be looking for revenge, could be a real toughy) @ Oregon (not the most realistic bet to call a win) and the Blackshirts (even if I believed it I would project victory here; I'm outnumbered..haha).
Putting all optimism aside, something in the 7-5 or 8-4 range seems about right. If things go really well, maybe winning 1 or 2 in that last group of 4 pushes it up to the 9 or 10 win range, which is where the Alamo Bowl/Holiday Bowl talk comes in.