CFHusker

14 hours ago, hskrfan4life said:

You know what would be funny? If they used him as an RB in the NFL

When a Giant exec (do not know name or title) was being interviewed, he stated Wandale playing running back at Nebraska was important.  He said it showed his versatility and they liked that.  So his time at Neb had a positive impact on him being a 2nd round pick.  Sorry wish I had a link to share. 

3 hours ago, JJ Husker said:

Recruiting that talent, yes.

But it still requires some luck and things out of the coaches control. I would say quite a bit of luck was involved in that particular quarterback going to Pitt. TBH, I don’t know if Whipple recruited him or not. Guessing he didn’t?

I think coach Whipple coached Pickett for 3 yrs.  

Check out this article:   https://www.theprogressnews.com/heisman-notebook-kenny-pickett-on-mark-whipple-dan-marino-and-more/article_369397f3-1898-55bb-a4d1-969ebc916cc7.html

Not saying it will happen at Neb (hope so) but Coach Whipple gets a lot of credit for Pickett's success, from Pickett.  

on The Beat with JoJo.  JoJo and Kolarevic both commented on him moving to JoJo's position for next season.  Really doubt he transfers.  He wants to at next level and transferred to Neb to prove he could play in the Big Ten.  Leaving after one season would be a complete quit for him.  

My dream scenario is hiring Urban Meyer or Bob Stoops.  Keep Frost as an Associate Head Coach/QB Coach/Co OC.  Move Coach V to an analyst position.   Sure this will never happen.  But it is really close to being good.  Hate to nuke it all again.

On 2/5/2021 at 10:31 PM, Mavric said:

 

 

Merriam-Webster

Good copy past work

21 minutes ago, Mavric said:

 

That is not the only definition of an outlier.

hmmmm do tell

On 2/3/2021 at 6:13 PM, Mavric said:

 

Um .... I'm not sure you understand what an "outlier" is.

Actually I have a very good understanding.  If looking at YPC your population is carries.  Tossing out a full game of carries is not tossing out an outlier, it is tossing out a large chunk of the population, good, bad and in between.  That would be a terrible statistical error.  If you were looking at yards per game and you had one game where he rushed for 2 yds, and you found out it was due to a torn ACL, then you would right to throw out that game.  But I cannot see what statistical sense it would make to throw out his best game of production even if your population was yds per game.  What would the anomaly be to make that data a possible error?  

The reason to toss an outlier is to avoid bad measurement or some sort of data error.  Were any of Mills runs measured wrong?  Was the data miscalculated?  Did the defense lay down which produced greater production?  Nope each run is a pure accurate data point of his production and would not be an outlier.      

Now however I do agree that  production data can be misleading.  Ex.  the yr Neb destroyed Fresno St at Fresno.  It was big play after big play that scored points.  But no consistent production.  While the yardage and the score board looked awesome, watching the game, it was obvious there were issues.  Mills eye test did not give the happy feel of his calculated production.  

So I know stats very very well.  But you can tell English and writing not so much

49 minutes ago, Husker in WI said:

 

Right, no outliers here. 

Those are games  Avg yards per carry should include all carries and all games.  It is an objective stat vs. subjective.  In your chart above 11 out of 16 games he had 4ish yds or better per carry.  If I had to explain Mills to a buddy who had never watched him play, I would consider him about a 4 yds per carry guy.  Which is good.  He is a tough SOB, that played hurt often.  The o line play needs a RB like Ameer that can bounce lateral quick to get to a crease.  Or an Ozigbo that could pressure the los before commiting to a crease.  Mills is a straight shot run you over RB and the O line isnt quite good enough to maximize Mills.  I hope he finds success in the NFL, but I see him doing better maybe in Canada.

8 minutes ago, Husker in WI said:

Thanks for the research on Mills inside the 5 - that is better than I expected for sure. But I would disagree about it being consistent. I like my 4.7 average to not be dependent on one game against Rutgers. He averaged 3.5 across the other 5 games he played - consistent 3.5 with potential for an explosion isn't great. Obviously everyone has good and bad games, but a drop of 1.2 per carry based on one game is a pretty big outlier. And the year before was similar, more outliers (2) because of more games played (12).

 

In his Nebraska career he's basically a 3.7 YPC back (15 games), with a 16% chance of being a 9.3 YPC back (3 games). For the comment about the 3.6 average in 2019 being decent instead of bad - it's a bad average for a college back. And I wasn't clear on it in the post, but I was trying to say individual games were mediocre to bad - 15/44 and 10/26 are really bad. 11/67 is  better than mediocre. So maybe not the most accurate range. The one great game against Wisconsin makes this interesting, his other 2 big games were against 83rd (RU - 2020) and 113th (NIU - 2019) defenses in YPC allowed and I'd be tempted to say he only ran on bad defenses. 

 

This is a lot of negativity which I don't like to do, I appreciate that Mills was a solid back and I liked watching him. But after that Wisconsin game the narrative was "he figured it out, he's a top Big Ten back!" and I just don't think the numbers bear that out. He was generally average at best, with the potential for an occasional huge game. Which does make him in some sense above average, but we need consistency.

 

Games cannot be an outlier whether really good or really bad.   

Last night I re-watched the Rutgers game, for the first time.  Without the stress of winning or losing, Adrian looked really good.  He seems to do some awkward things that other top Qbs do not do.  His straight run to the sideline was really odd.  Sliding short of the first down vs. Purdue.  His fumbles in the Rutgers game were after great runs.

I think it is all mental for him right now.  If the pieces around him can help him relax and take pressure off, he will be very special again.  

I believe he has another son playing high school now. So probably a way to get attention for him.  But I could also see him being bitter about Kades season.   Fans on Twitter were d bagish about the mustache junk.  I could see Kurt not taking that lightly.  

I do not comment a lot but read every day.  This place is awesome with great insight and venting.  

Regarding Mario, do not discount his ability to build a qb room.  His task at Nebraska was unlike others, had zero qbs.  He got a great Freshman but that was it.  AM was then sacked with capt duties as a soft spoken soph.  Way too much to process.  And he has been injured each yr.  it was a mess when he took it over and it still needs a lot of work.  

I’ve known Mario, I’ve have watched a couple games with him.  He is a guru.   Also know a couple qbs he coached and they swear by him.    

You have to consider the hand he was dealt vs just blasting his ability.   He was short stacked.  

32 minutes ago, Toe said:

Parrella's connections to both Nebraska and Riley obviously helped him a lot last time around. If he ever does come back, let it be purely on the merit of how his resume looks at that point in time.

I hope it is Jerry Montgomery current Packers D line coach.  

How does Michigan get a BCS game over Michigan St? This all seems dumb to me. Money is all that matters.

Being from Iowa and seeing Vandenburg play in the Dome for the state championship I wish the best in every game minus Nebraska.

The O lineman said he did not realize he was stomped. That was in the ESPN article. This should squash it. Comparing that to Hayneworth raking his cleat across a guys head when the guys helmet was off is ignorant. Stupid stupid media trying to be heard. Also come on that lineman should have been pounded. The play was over, Suh was on his knees when that dude was continuing to bull over him. He was hooking Suh's arm and holding him down. The only place for Suh to put his hand to get up was on his helmet. That O lineman was holding on not letting him up. I would have been pissed off and angry if I were in Suh's situation. To have people labeling him this hard for what happen in that situation is dumb. Would I have rather he not do it, sure. Do it will damage him so he needs to have more control, for sure. But it lacks intellectual integrity to make think into as big of a deal as it has become. Oh and Slauson looks like a complete moron right now. He is one draft of free agent signing away from being out of the league.

I do not think he is getting enough credit for how much he developed this year. He made big leaps this year and showed he can lead this team. Bright future.

THANK YOU, THANK YOU, THANK YOU!!!!!!!!!

I have no clue if any of the players read this site but if any do this is to them.

I just wanted to say thank you. I have had a blast watching you play this season. If I were a parent I would be proud by the way you have handled this season win or lose. I see a huge upside and believe a National Championship is within reach the next couple of years. This season you have two games left. Win or lose no pressure so just go out and have fun and play fast!!

Also I am in the heart of Hawkeye Nation, so you I am begging, no pleading you to win on Friday!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I will have to hide in my home until next season if you lose.

Thanks

In life you get beat, sometimes you just need to congratulate the winner and be done with it. This seems to be one of those times. NW is a high class intelligent football team and they earned that win. Fitzgerald was a great player and a good coach. The Huskers played hard to the end. It was a great game to watch. The only thing I feel bad about was I told my son before the game if Neb. won I would take him to Chuckie Cheese. My 5 yr old is being brain washed by Iowa fans and I thought it was a great plan to get him cheering on the huskers. It back fired and now he really "hates" them. GBR

I would guess that Bo is harder on himself than anyone on this message board. I never want to see Bo go. His passion and desire to win will produce results eventually.

That was a great game to watch. I have been impressed with how Martinez is managing the game. I think good things are ahead for this program.

This formation does not seem that hard to defend and is probably the reason they run it more when the defense is tired. Pre snap it is confusing and the defender would need to realize how many possible outcomes. However once the ball is snapped they just have to find the direction, once that is determined it becomes only an option between hand off or keep. Realitstically only the QB or one RB could get the ball. In this case as soon as the ball is snapped Abdullah is no longer an option for a run play. The lb can leave him for a safety. If it is not a quick pitch to Burkhead he is out of the play, if it would be a quick pitch the numbers favor the defense (although I could see Burkhead throwing out of this formation). So the option is only keep or give to Green. On this play Yoshi was down field quick so the pass option was eliminated. The D end needed to step up and take on Long, and disrupts the play. A fresh defense flowing to the ball shuts this down, a tired defense craps themselves and watches the the play develop. By that time the wall and numbers are set and the offense wins. Beck used it perfect on Saturday. Overall it was just phone to see some option football. It truly is the best football to watch when it works, and is the reason I am a Husker fan.

I would disagree. You are right that Abdullah is no longer a run threat, but it is not hard for Beck to turn this into a wheel route & have Martinez fake the option & drop back. If the defense creeps up to play the other RB's & Martinez. It should be pretty open pass to him. Also if you get the safety to bite, you can put 6 on the board, because there are not many players who could catch Abdullah from behind.

I agree with you. I meant in the actual pictures the pass threat was quickly eliminated due to Yoshi going 2nd level right off the snap. I am not a good communicator via written word.

I would think the D end would blow up a screen. I will have to ponder that some more.

I await your decision.

I have decided, no screens.

This formation does not seem that hard to defend and is probably the reason they run it more when the defense is tired. Pre snap it is confusing and the defender would need to realize how many possible outcomes. However once the ball is snapped they just have to find the direction, once that is determined it becomes only an option between hand off or keep. Realitstically only the QB or one RB could get the ball. In this case as soon as the ball is snapped Abdullah is no longer an option for a run play. The lb can leave him for a safety. If it is not a quick pitch to Burkhead he is out of the play, if it would be a quick pitch the numbers favor the defense (although I could see Burkhead throwing out of this formation). So the option is only keep or give to Green. On this play Yoshi was down field quick so the pass option was eliminated. The D end needed to step up and take on Long, and disrupts the play. A fresh defense flowing to the ball shuts this down, a tired defense craps themselves and watches the the play develop. By that time the wall and numbers are set and the offense wins. Beck used it perfect on Saturday. Overall it was just phone to see some option football. It truly is the best football to watch when it works, and is the reason I am a Husker fan.

 

There are other options after the snap. If your linemen stay close to the LoS, passing is an option. You could have either two options for a screen to the opposite side of the field, or set up a one-man screen with the other RB out in front blocking. If they bite on the play moving to one side of the field, the other side should have enough space to get at least a first down if the play develops quickly enough.

I think the pass play will be off a toss to Burkhead with the option to run or pass. If the corner comes up to attack the run, TD. Interesting thought on the screens. Screens take time to set up. Options leave one defender free and forced to choose an option. I would think the D end would blow up a screen. I will have to ponder that some more.