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Consider this. The BCS can only take a maximum of two teams from one conference. There are 5 BCS bowls including the title game. So let's do some figuring shall we. 5 bowls X 2 teams each = 10 total BCS teams SEC - 2 teams (we can almost assume LSU and Ala. will be these two teams) Big 12 - it is very likely that 2 Big 12 teams are taken seeing that OSU is still undefeated and that OU only has one loss Pac 12 - Also very likely for the BCS to take 2 teams (Oregon and Stanford) So far that's 6 teams, 4 left The ACC, Big Ten & Big East all will at least have one representative team in a BCS bowl (their conference champion), which leaves 1 team left. We can assume outside of the Big East Champion, the BE won't have any other programs in a BCS bowl. This leaves the question, who takes that final spot? Most likely it's a bidding contest between the 2nd place ACC team, the 2nd place Big Ten team, Houston (yes, I said Houston) or Boise State. Fortunately Boise State did lose to TCU. They have a very low SOS and they're at the disadvantage of not being in a BCS conference (which is extremely important to BCS voters). Houston would probably need to lose to SMU or Tulsa for them not to be picked. If Houston loses, it'll probably come down to the ACC's #2 and the Big Ten's #2. Whoever is 2nd in the ACC (Clemson or VT) will have at least 2 losses, including a very late one from losing their conference championship game, which would drop them in the polls while moving Nebraska up. Also remember, Clemson still has South Carolina on their schedule (which could be a loss and therefore they could potentially have 3 losses at this point). Even further, the BCS has a bias towards the Big Ten. So who is the Big Ten's #2? Michigan State right? Maybe not. Such a late loss in their season may push them below Nebraska, especially because Nebraska beat MSU and MSU would have 3 losses while Nebraska would only have 2. Even further, these BCS voters will take into account traveling fan base and TV interest. Nebraska would be very high for both of these factors, not only because of their name brand, but also because of their large national fan base. Therefore if Nebraska wins out, they still may have a decent chance in making a BCS bowl... If Houston loses.
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