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NU vs UIllinois - z-score comparison plus conf and nat'l rankings thread


beorach

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It's tough to pick on the Illini so I'll just get right to it.  As a reminder, the stats I'm calculating z-scores (and then percentiles listed below) for were from games between conference teams only.  Nebraska's games against Colorado, Troy, and Bethune-Cookman haven't been included.  That goes for all the teams listed in this thread.

 

passing defense

completions per game: 11th percentile (NU) to 56th percentile (Illini)

percentage:                     56 to 31

yards per attempt:          42 to 8

touchdowns per game: 47 to 6

rating:                               51 to 11

yards per game:               8 to 21

 

passing offense

completions per game: 78 to 18

percentage:                     84 to 19

yards per attempt:          64 to 24

touchdowns per game:  44 to 27

rating:                                65 to 18

yards per game:               75 to 16

 

rushing defense

yards per game:              27 to 2

touchdowns per game:   6 to 2

yards per carry:               17 to 3

 

rushing offense

yards per game:              71 to 93

touchdowns per game:  77 to 77

yards per carry:               80 to 99

 

scoring defense

touchdowns per game:  12 to 2

points per game:             9 to 3

 

scoring offense

touchdowns per game:  61 to 49

points per game:             57 to 57

 

total defense

yards per play:               19 to 3

yards per game:             8 to 2

plays per game:             15 to 28

 

total offense

yards per play:                80 to 85

yards per game:             87 to 63

plays per game:              70 to 13

 

turnover margin

fumbles gained per game:          30 to 30

interceptions gained per game: 50 to 78

turnovers gained per game:        37 to 61

fumbles lost per game:                34 to 51

interceptions lost per game:       65 to 13

turnovers lost per game:              51 to 17

turnover margin per game:          41 to 34

 

EDIT: I had my calculated spread here but I forgot we're going to their house (so things didn't change as much as I thought they had).  Pssht, Google was just misleading me so I do want to report I calculated a -10.5 for NU.  If you google Nebraska football, it'll bring up the schedule and show Illinois listed second.  I don't know why.  I think my spread calculation could be improved if I was to look at how teams' stats improved over more recent games instead of taking the whole season into account also.  It's obvious we're playing better football now, for example.

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Here are the B1G rankings by average percentile rating of stats within the categories listed:

 

Pass Defense

 image.png.07ae9c3d779ef78fe4440676700cef06.png

 

Pass Offense

image.png.bd79155dd49a8a2f4392e6c4f4177feb.png

 

Rush Defense

image.png.4fde1d92bc7e9f14d21cf8a512430492.png

 

Rush Offense

image.png.5cb125e7722b1ccca4f517e0ebc8d4dd.png

 

Scoring Defense

image.png.af27001d4f2b3c9daf4fbdae1b644ce2.png

 

Scoring Offense

image.png.be3b966b22f5126eaa10f5ea6c6542a6.png

 

Total Defense

image.png.253e743e4785e487c1156882e4fcf3a5.png

 

Total Offense

image.png.158819bb007de4bb81ee87fa6f9576c0.png

 

Turnover Margin

image.png.ddf057368661b5d7304e4b5b058c23fd.png

 

Strength of Schedule (based on taking the averages of those averages listed above in this post for all the conference teams a team has faced this season)

image.png.87dfbc80a5733f562d2228968a93b29e.png

 

I keep trying to get rid of this extra table and it won't go away so please just disregard...

image.png

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