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deedsker

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Posts posted by deedsker

  1. 20 hours ago, suh_fan93 said:

     

    Holy moly, I hadn't seen this. I feel like this should be bigger news, but haven't heard a peep. Dude has been getting Purdue rolling and was just in the B1G title game. Purdue probably headed back into the basement of the West/B1G. Good luck at Louisville. Hope you find the next Teddy B, Lamar Jackson, or Michael Bush and

     

    **checks notes**

     

    Brian Brohm...

     

    Sus Fry GIF - Sus Fry Futurama GIFs

     

    Maybe they will be fine.

    • Fire 1
  2. On 12/5/2022 at 1:23 PM, Mavric said:

     

    Michigan didn't start with much ground.  Most of what KSU has started out as Central Michigan territory.  Then Eastern, Western and State have some.

     

    You can see the weekly maps here.

    Fun fact:

    If you do the 2016 to current map, they don't actually tract FCS level and below. So the NDSU taking Iowa's territory isn't changed until they lost to Arizona this year (2022). In that time NDSU lost to FCS opponents and it should actually go like this:

     

    {Date}: Owner (losses to) -> Opponent (new owner)

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Oct 15, 2016: North Dakota St -> South Dakota State

    Oct 29, 2016: South Dakota St -> Illinois State

    Nov 26, 2016: Illinois St -> Central Arkansas

    Dec 3, 2016: Central Arkansas -> Eastern Washington

    Dec 17, 2016: Eastern Washington -> Youngstown State (Bo Pelini's Team)

    Jan 7, 2017: Youngstown State -> James Madison (FCS Champions)

    Jan 6, 2018: James Madison -> North Dakota St (FCS Champions)

    Feb 27, 2021: North Dakota St (Undefeated in 2018 and 2019) -> Southern Illinois 

    Mar 20, 2021: Southern Illinois -> South Dakota State 

    May 16, 2021: South Dakota State -> Sam Houston State (FCS Champions) 

    Dec 11, 2021: Sam Houston State -> Montana State 

    Jan 8, 2022: Montana State -> North Dakota State

    Sep 17, 2022:  North Dakota St -> Arizona (Who the map says gets it!)

     

    All that to say the map shows the correct owner now, but is actually wrong in the intermediary. :lol:

    • Plus1 1
  3. 1 hour ago, PattyG said:

    Haven't heard a peep about our WR coach, makes me assume it's an NFL guys. Ik Frisman Jackson previously worked with him @ Baylor and Carolina, but he's with the Steelers now and i'm unsure how much he'd want to drop back to the college ranks. Have y'all heard of any potential candidates?  

    Matt Canada is taking a bludgeoning this year at OC and the offensive staff may be on their way out. Not sure what connections he has to hang around in the NFL or if a trip back to college is in the works until another/better offer comes.

  4. 1 hour ago, Micheal said:

    https://sports.yahoo.com/new-colorado-coach-deion-sanders-tells-current-buffaloes-players-to-enter-transfer-portal-055202151.html

     

    Never heard of a coach telling everyone to transfer before. I don't think he will be able to get an entire new roster in one off season. 

    So they took out a loan to buy Sanders because they don't have the money. Don't they know they still have to buy the players too? Hope their gamble pays off.

  5. 12 minutes ago, Lorewarn said:

     

     

    Come on. His resume is outstanding. Three one score losses against a better-than-their-record Arkansas, #22 UCF and #18 Tulane (in the last game of the season where Fickell was surely distracted with contract negotiations). That's a really good season, don't let him going 44-7 in the previous four years work against him. 

     

    Elite position coach and coordinator who worked under two elite head coaches and then has been almost only elite with his first real head opportunity at a G5.

    Honestly, haven’t paid attention to Cincy since week 1. I thought Fickell was doing just fine at Cincy and only now did some digging. I am not saying he isn’t a good coach, but looking at this year more closely , it does make me more skeptical of him. 
     

    The lasting memories I have of him is his trip to Lincoln where after Braxton got hurt, he didn’t have any answer to the question, how do I preserve this win with superior talent outside of QB. That and Joe Bausermann’s passing chart. That pic still gets used to this season.

  6. 4 hours ago, brophog said:

     

    It's hard to compare Rhule to Fickell based on resume.

     

    In Fickell's corner you have more sustained success, but Rhule never stayed long enough to show that. In Rhule's corner he did it at two programs, but Fickell has yet to try it at a second program. Personally, I don't think an NFL or an Interim job is a great indicator given other evidence because they are very different situations.

    But what is Fickell’s resume. Sustained success? Maybe it’s just a good 1+ class with mostly kids from Ohio. Sauce, Bryant, Ridder, Pierce, Cook, and Sanders all come in and lift the team to heights. First year after a departure of the first class(es) and he goes 9-3.


    FPI 

    UCF L (28)

    Tulane L (30)

    Arkansas L (39)

    SMU W (61)

    ECU W (64)

    Navy W (78)

    Indiana W (82)

    Tulsa W (86)

    USF W (103)

    Temple W (110)

    Miami (OH) W (111)

     

    Kennesaw State W (FCS) Sargain-177


    Just for reference Mickey went 3-5 against:


    Minnesota L (19)

    Illinois L (20)

    Oklahoma L (24)

    Wisconsin L (27)

    Purdue L (35)

    Iowa W (36)

    Indiana W (82)

    Rutgers W (101)

     

    Which Frost did with the same team:

    Georgia Southern L (91)

    Northwestern L (99)

     

    North Dakota W (FCS) Sargain-128

     

    Did he just grab some really good talent nobody saw early at Cincy or did he develop players like no other? This last year is kind of a red flag that maybe Fickell isn’t the sure fire coach he is being made out to be. 

     

     

    • Plus1 1
  7. You also hear Alberts say that not hiring Mickey was due to "mitigating risk", which could be applied to Fickell as well. He may be the better premier coach, but he doesn't have the track record to get a team off the ground. Alberts needs this to be the most likely hire to not continually go 3-9 to 5-7. Fickell may be able to get a preseason West leader in Wisconsin to 10-2 or 12-0, but he might not get a 4-8 Nebraska out of the losing territory. 

     

    Fair or not, Fickell received a previously 12-1 tOSU as an interim, in a tough spot, and went 6-7. 

    • Plus1 6
    • Fire 2
  8. Doesn't help that we start with a conference game. We don't get a chance to work out any bugs and plug gaps before the live shots are fired. Minnesota will also have some turnover (Ibrahim who has been their workhorse, Morgan gone at QB, but Athan has taken the reigns and appears to be decent, Spann-Ford TE and Autumn-Bell WR will finally leak out the rest of the talent that made them good in 2019), but I don't expect them to fall off a cliff. Colorado, La Tech, and N Illinois are all pretty sad this year that should help us get some grip.

     

    Michigan, Michigan St., Maryland isn't the worst cross division pull. Mel Tucker has pulled a lot of flack after losing Kenneth Walker and their team seems to be in disarray. Maryland will be better and with Taulia back, they probably are a better team than us. Michigan's roster this year was preseason being called better even after losing Hutchinson and they delivered. Even if Corum leaves we aren't beating them.

     

    Being 3-2 and likely having our weakness already exposed doesn't put much faith into going to Illinois before getting the bye week to regroup. I would expect a 3-3 or if we are lucky 4-2 group heading into the gut of our schedule to determine whether we make a bowl game year one under Rhule. Biggest questions are who sticks around for Rhule, who can be brought in from other schools, and who leaves with the coaching staff being let go now. Seeing if Thompson can give it another go will be the first big piece and finding out if Rhule can squeeze some juice out of some of the o-line pieces we thought we had recruiting wise that haven't necessarily panned out on the field.

     

    Our defense was young and if he continues his track record at other programs with a different defensive coordinator we could grab the couple of games needed to make a bowl. If we lose the house, it probably is another rough year and a wait and see for year 2.

    • Plus1 1
  9. 1 hour ago, The Whale said:

     

    Yes, they were close games. Good games. But brother - be realistic. Winning seven games IN A ROW against us is the definition of OWNING.

     

    GBR!

    Not so fun facts:

     

    During that timeframe we are:

    4-4 vs. Illinois

    3-5 vs. Minnesota

    3-5 vs. Purdue

    3-5 vs. Northwestern

    0-7 vs. Wisconsin

    0-6 vs. Ohio State

    0-3 vs. Michigan

    0-2 vs. Oklahoma

    0-2 vs. Colorado

    0-1 vs. Georgia Southern

    0-1 vs. Troy

    0-1 vs. BYU

    0-1 vs. Miami (FL)

     

    Current Losing Streaks:

    9 Wisconsin

    7 Ohio State

    6 Texas

    4 Minnesota

    4 Florida State

    4 Texas Tech

    3 Illinois

    3 Michigan

    3 Oklahoma

    3 USC (never beat in 5 games)

    • Oh Yeah! 1
  10. On 11/7/2022 at 9:47 AM, deedsker said:

    Illinois has been through the most to get to a division win with 2 losses. Stuff happens, Purdue has the best shot as division winner with 3 losses, if they can get past Illinois.

     

    Purdue (W) @ Illinois is the most impactful to the division. 

    -Purdue keeps the choas alive

    Illinois (W) @ Nebraska play important parts in tiebreakers, placing.

    -Was important. 

    Iowa (W) @ Purdue is the most likely game for Purdue to get to 3 or 4 losses.

    -Makes for the most chaos. This squarely introduces the win out, Purdue over Illinois, and get the divisional crown for everybody but Nebraska and Northwestern.

    Purdue @ Indiana is the last rivalry game to get Purdue into the muck of a weird 5-4 tiebreak system that is a mess.

    -If they win, 3-loss is the division champ. Need Iowa to lose to get the division.

    Illinois @ Michigan (W)

    -Michigan won, but not in the fashion we would have expected.

    Was pretty good on my assessment. Games that changed the division that I missed:

    Michigan State (W) @ Illinois

    -Surprise upset that makes the 3 loss certain.

     

    New adds to the list above since if we end at 3 losses, Wisconsin winning out gets the division these would all slot between Iowa/Purdue and Purdue/Indiana:

    Wisconsin @ Iowa (W)

    -Wisconsin has now been eliminated.

    Minnesota @ Wisconsin is more favorited toward Wisconsin. 

    -Doesn't matter because Wisconsin lost to Iowa.

    Wisconsin (W) @ Nebraska 

     

     

    So we went the bat s#!t crazy route...

     

    Iowa beat Northwestern, @ Purdue, Wisconsin, and @ Minnesota in a row to remain at 3 losses which eliminated Wisconsin and Minnesota. With Purdue beating Illinois at the top, it opened the door for Iowa to have the tie-breaker on Purdue.

     

    Nebraska @ Iowa 

    -For the division for Iowa.

    Illinois @ Northwestern

    -If both Iowa and Purdue lose, a Illinois Win gets them the division.

     

    If Iowa, Purdue, and Illinois lose, Iowa holds Tiebreakers over Purdue and Wisconsin/Minnesota winner with head to head tiebreaker (2-0). A Wisconsin win would make them 2nd in the division with Purdue 3rd and a Minnesota win would make Purdue 2nd and Minnesota 3rd.

     

  11. On 10/23/2022 at 1:18 AM, deedsker said:

    Illinois has been through the most to get to a division win with 2 losses. Stuff happens, Purdue has the best shot as division winner with 3 losses, if they can get past Illinois.

     

    Purdue @ Illinois is the most impactful to the division. 

    -Still is. If Illinois wins, it's basically over.

    Illinois (W) @ Nebraska play important parts in tiebreakers, placing.

    -Was important. 

    Iowa (W) @ Purdue is the most likely game for Purdue to get to 3 or 4 losses.

    -Makes for the most chaos. This squarely introduces the win out, Purdue over Illinois, and get the divisional crown for everybody but Nebraska and Northwestern.

    Purdue @ Indiana is the last rivalry game to get Purdue into the muck of a weird 5-4 tiebreak system that is a mess.

    -Still important, but we have chosen the chaos route

    Illinois @ Michigan is a game that if Illinois wins breaks all chances of someone outside of Illinois, Purdue, or Nebraska winning the division.

    -This is still considered a loss. If Illinois somehow gets this one, they still get the division.

    Was pretty good on my assessment. Games that changed the division that I missed:

    Michigan State (W) @ Illinois

    -Surprise upset that makes the 3 loss route almost certain.

     

    New adds to the list above since if we end at 3 losses, Wisconsin winning out gets the division these would all slot between Iowa/Purdue and Purdue/Indiana:

    Wisconsin @ Iowa is a coin toss. This is why Wisconsin doesn't have power ranking odds to win the division.

    Minnesota @ Wisconsin is more favorited toward Wisconsin. 

    Wisconsin @ Nebraska is a likely layup for Wisconsin, but a loss would still ruin them.

     

     

    • Plus1 1
  12. 4 minutes ago, Guy Chamberlin said:

    Who knew that the hottest coach right now is the one who didn't make that list in 2018, a coach who only had a couple years HC experience at UCF under his belt before taking the Tennessee job. 

     

     

    To be fair, his time at UCF was a downward slope (12-1, 10-3, 6-4) that most people would say is riding off the previous staff's players. Who would have guessed year two in Tennessee would be this high. It just points to coaching hires and what a crapshoot it is.

     

    Note this guys grades for 2021 hires. Heupel is last based on his time at UCF.

    https://theathletic.com/2389471/2021/02/16/college-football-coaching-hires-2020-2021-ranking/

    Quote

    Power 5 coaching hire grades

    Vanderbilt (A-): Notre Dame defensive coordinator Clark Lea

    Yes, Vandy of all schools may have won the coaching carousel. Lea had a fantastic tenure with the Irish, producing three straight top-15 scoring defenses. It’s smart to bring in an alum who understands the school’s unique challenges. And if the 38-year-old has success, he’d be less likely to automatically jump to a blue blood like James Franklin did. Perhaps he even becomes Vandy’s Pat Fitzgerald or David Shaw.

    Illinois (B+): New York Giants assistant Bret Bielema

    Illinois has a long history of bad coaching hires, but this is a good one. Bielema, who won three straight Big Ten titles at Wisconsin from 2010 to 2012, will be back in his comfort zone competing against Big Ten West programs like Wisconsin, Iowa and Northwestern. In fact, that division is the sport’s last remaining bastion of old-school power football. It’s hard to justify an A, though, given how miserably his last head-coaching gig at Arkansas ended.

    Texas (B+): Alabama offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian

    If I were judging this hire based solely on Sarkisian’s previous head-coaching tenures at Washington and USC, I’d give it a C. But I don’t think that’s the coach Texas is getting. The 46-year-old is in a much better place personally, after years of addiction recovery, and professionally; his two-year stint calling plays at Alabama could not have been more impressive. But of course, overseeing the richest program in the sport is a whole different challenge.

    Auburn (B-): Boise State head coach Bryan Harsin

    There’s no doubt Harsin had a successful seven-year tenure at his alma mater, going 69-19, and an eventual step up to the Power 5 was inevitable. But SEC meat-grinder Auburn feels like a bit of an odd fit. That’s not to say he can’t install Boise’s winning culture on The Plains, but can he recruit at a high enough level to regularly beat the Alabamas and LSUs? His only comparable experience was two seasons at Texas.

    South Carolina (B-): Oklahoma assistant Shane Beamer

    The 43-year-old has been preparing for this moment for some time, having worked for his father, Frank, but also, and perhaps most importantly, under Steve Spurrier when he got South Carolina’s program off the ground a decade ago. The initial staff he has put together, though, is a tad underwhelming, and Beamer and crew are about to undertake a massive rebuilding job. We’ll see if he’s up to it.

    Arizona (C+): Patriots assistant Jedd Fisch

    Arizona didn’t have a lot of takers for the job, but it’s not entirely clear what the case was for Fisch, a relentless climber who has changed jobs 10 times in the past 13 years. But he’s an up-and-comer whom Arizona got on the cheap ($2.6 million a year) by Power 5 standards, and he’s made a couple of impressive staff moves already, landing renowned DC Don Brown and bringing back Wildcats star Tedy Bruschi as a senior advisor.

    Tennessee (C): UCF head coach Josh Heupel

    It’s never a good sign when the fan base of the school a coach left is not exactly heartbroken to see him go. Heupel had a great first season taking over for Scott Frost but regressed each year since. Now he’s walking into a dumpster fire of a program he’ll need to build from the ground up. The good news: He has a long track record of producing star QBs and prolific offenses, neither of which Vols fans have experienced in some time.

     

    • Plus1 1
  13. 35 minutes ago, Husker in WI said:

    Current FEI Rankings for non-conference opponents:

    Nebraska                  Michigan

    Colorado - 121        East Carolina - 47

    NIU - 103                  UNLV - 106

    La. Tech - 114         Bowling Green - 111

     

    Pretty similar, but they do have a legitimately decent opponent and we don't. You can argue Colorado should have been the best team on either schedule when these were put on the calendars, but right now we have the easier non-conference schedule.

     

    Still lost to Colorado twice, three and four years ago. Thanks Frost!

    • Plus1 1
  14. Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and Northwestern all have 3 losses and only Northwestern hasn't lost to Illinois. They all have to play two of the others in the list which means that they need to sweep the rest of their games to get into the division conversation. This leaves Illinois with a huge advantage over the rest with only one loss. Purdue and Nebraska are in the wings, but Purdue can take down Illinois and have the tie breaker over Nebraska and Illinois and in the driver seat at two losses with only games against Iowa, Maryland , and Indiana outside that. Nebraska also needs to win out to likely have a good chance at the division with Purdue dropping to Illinois and another game to get them behind since they won head to head. 

     

    Illinois has been through the most to get to a division win with 2 losses. Stuff happens, Purdue has the best shot as division winner with 3 losses, if they can get past Illinois.

     

    Purdue @ Illinois is the most impactful to the division.

    Illinois @ Nebraska play important parts in tiebreakers, placing.

    Iowa @ Purdue is the most likely game for Purdue to get to 3 or 4 losses.

    Purdue @ Indiana is the last rivalry game to get Purdue into the muck of a weird 5-4 tiebreak system that is a mess.

    Illinois @ Michigan is a game that if Illinois wins breaks all chances of someone outside of Illinois, Purdue, or Nebraska winning the division.

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