Before you can answer this, you must analyze what sort of sanctions Ohio State is looking at. The best possible example is USC.
USC
Alleged Infraction: After a four-year investigation (the longest in NCAA history) a
single player was found to have received a single vehicle of approximately $20,000 value. That same player's family was permitted to live rent-free in a modest San Diego home for a year, for an approximate value of $54,000. The benefits were paid by agents who were intending to seduce that player into leaving USC before graduation in order to declare for the NFL draft. The school was alleged to have a compliance program that was "insufficient" and therefore "should have known" about the aforementioned the player's receipt of extra benefits.
Sanctions:
- Two-year bowl ban
- A loss of 10 scholarships per year for three years
- A 75-man roster limit for three years, to take effect the first year after the last year of scholarship reductions
- A policy in which current juniors and seniors may transfer to any other FBS program without losing a year of eligibility
- The school has been ordered to remove all references to, or images of, said player on its campus or literature, and forever refrain from any association or contact with that player
- Vacating wins from 2005 (including the national championship for the 2004 season)
Ohio State
Alleged Infraction: With no formal NCAA investigation, at least two dozen players over a span of several years are implicated in a scheme in which they received numerous benefits, including multiple cars, jewelry, and tattoos. The players reportedly received the benefits not in exchange for their prospective NFL carriers, but as a result of their status as college athletes. The benefits were also indirectly conferred by the school insofar as the players sold valuable items that had been supplied to them by the school. Most importantly, the head football coach
knew about the infractions for a significant period of time, yet failed to disclose the same to school officials or the NCAA, and in fact lied to both regarding how long he possessed this information.
Sanctions: Thus far, only self-imposed sanctions that consist of a 5-game suspension for the 5 athletes known to be involved in scheme in which valuable items were exchanged for tattoos, and a 5-game suspension for the head coach.
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In my view, the Ohio State situation is far worse that what USC was accused of. The only real positive difference for Ohio State is that they have basically admitted fault and Jim Tressel fell on the sword (after being caught red-handed, of course). I am sure this will dampen the NCAA's sanctions a tad.
Another positive difference for Ohio State might also be the fact that the NCAA's treatment of USC was, by any objective measure, one of the most disproportionate and biased investigations in history. The NCAA was out for blood. Whether this was the product of a Midwestern and SEC bias against the West Coast in general and USC in particular, or simply an opportunity to take down a program that had been the tops of college football for too long, is not entirely clear.