The Big Nebrowski

Who's gonna be their QBV QBV? Is that a typo or are you interested in IEEE 802.1 performance of their LAN?? ========================= Ourlads has QB Bart Houston at the top of the Badger depth chart. "ourlads", what kinda word is dat? So, is Houston the guy that beat us last year or is a new? I can nvr remember the names of all the damn QBVs they got up their.

To me, it's all about their defense. It's been elite the last few years. But now that they've lost Aranda and Wilcox back to back (and promoted a position coach to DC)I'm curious to see if there's drop off.Its all about their front 7 to me. Gives them the right to be early favorites. The do lose a sneaky bit of talent on offense. Ramczyk- An all American, Clement, Ogunbowale- Who killed us last year and was the type of back that gave us fits. Do return Fumagalli and Hornibrook(Not really scared of him though.) Yeah, that's the thing. The Badgers lose a ton of talent on offense--pretty much their whole O-line. And on D, which was their strength last year, they have a new coordinator. Okay, sure we have a new DC as well. But for us it's an upgrade. For Wisconsin it's an unknown: First time DC who has exactly one year of position coaching under his belt. One year! Wisconsin beat us by 6 points last October up in Camp Randall. This year it will be different. I think we'll beat them when they come to Lincoln. I'd put NU at the #3 spot in that Power Ranking, with Wisconsin just behind us. /jmho I think they only lose the LT Ramczyk, but many of their big runs came on his side. As was mentioned earlier, they lose their starting OLBs, both all conference picks. They do return a majority of their front 7 though. They lose a four year starter/all conference pick at CB and starting FS. Yes Nebraska had them on the ropes in their house and lost largely on Ogunbowale's ability 2nd/3rd and long situations imho. Also the QB completing a handful of more passes would've helped. Imho of course. Wasn't TA's comp. like 32% @ Wiscy last year?. Yeah, if he could pass we win that game.

To me, it's all about their defense. It's been elite the last few years. But now that they've lost Aranda and Wilcox back to back (and promoted a position coach to DC)I'm curious to see if there's drop off.Its all about their front 7 to me. Gives them the right to be early favorites. The do lose a sneaky bit of talent on offense. Ramczyk- An all American, Clement, Ogunbowale- Who killed us last year and was the type of back that gave us fits. Do return Fumagalli and Hornibrook(Not really scared of him though.) Yeah, that's the thing. The Badgers lose a ton of talent on offense--pretty much their whole O-line. And on D, which was their strength last year, they have a new coordinator. Okay, sure we have a new DC as well. But for us it's an upgrade. For Wisconsin it's an unknown: First time DC who has exactly one year of position coaching under his belt. One year! Wisconsin beat us by 6 points last October up in Camp Randall. This year it will be different. I think we'll beat them when they come to Lincoln. I'd put NU at the #3 spot in that Power Ranking, with Wisconsin just behind us. /jmho Bucks, Lions, and Wolvs are the clear top 3, so if we're better than Wiscy then we're 4. But NW will prlly have a QB advatage over us and their D's pretty salty, they were trending up last year. If played tomorrow they'd prlly be the fav. Anyway, couldn't Wiscy find a good DC, wassup w that?

Who's gonna be their QB?

I think if one of our QBs really pans out it will make a world of difference in helping us compete with the top dawgs in the conference.

like 4 feesh?

Good for Vince, he won the draft lottery last year, does it get any better to be an up and comer for the Pats? I don't think so. If he continues to work hard, he could have a long, successful career there as Beli apparently sees something in him, well, Pats have been trying to fill the very large hole Wolfolk left. Dennard won the lottery too w Pats and ring his rookie year. Too bad he messed that opportunity up. Go Vince, go Pats, long live TOM BRADY, THE PIGSKIN GOD!

All good points. I already cut power to the AC.

we need more speed everywhere, I don't care where it comes from.Dont you live down south? nupe. my peeps want me to move to 'gay paris' though, the way things are goin'. is that in the south? and, as a matter of principle, I am conducting an ongoing boycott of the state of al-abama as a whole...

Is the author correct? Yes. Does the author know why those people are constantly making the mistakes? Don't know he didn't say anything about it. I know why...but I'm not telling lol. Thanks for not telling, it helps build suspense. Nobody's contending, much, going for 2s LATE, you don't have to be Albert Analytics Einstein to figure that out, and especially if the Big Boss Man Upstairs signs off on it. But if you botch 'em earlier in the show, you're even more f'd than if you had just gone ahead and kicked the PAT.

Yer right, they should have gone for 2 there as Gostkowski apparently had stubbed his lil toe getting out of bed this a.m., that sh#t hurts. It's amazing how he soldiered on thru the game though, I give him alotta credit for that.Why was this not on the injury report? #Cheaters #NotMyWorldChampionsThe Brady Bunch rides again, woohooo! With Brady, all things are possible! In Brady We Trust!

Yer right, they should have gone for 2 there as Gostkowski apparently had stubbed his lil toe getting out of bed this a.m., that sh#t hurts, kicking foot, of course. It's amazing how he soldiered on thru the game though, I give him alotta credit for that.

and that NFL kickers are automatic up to 60 yards out 100% FG accuracy among kickers this post season, oh wait, GBay missed one, that brings it down to 98%, dang, they suck.

In the entire post season this year, there were 41 FG attempts with 40 made, that's ~98%. GBay missed the only one. Gost DID miss the PAT tonite, which is rare.

we need more speed everywhere, I don't care where it comes from.

Still much more risk running said play: snap goes over QB's head, QB fumbles snap, QB wiffs on the play, QB is stuffed, QB throws pick and they take it the other way for 2, etc., etc. Snap goes over holder's head, holder fumbles the snap, holder leaves laces pointing towards kicker, kicker mishits(whiffs) ball, kick is blocked and returned for two, etc, etc Just playing devil's advocate but if you are looking at everything that can go wrong no offense would throw a pass either. Uhm, they pass all the time for 2, often that dadgum fade thing in the corner, a play that I generally can't stand. With the new rule, PAT's in the NFL are @ ~96%, down from ~99%. You take the point, you keep your job, everybody's happy. and 2 point conversions this year were at 55% so if you stretch that over 100 extra point tries you get 110 points going for 2 every time and 96 going for 1. That's 2 extra touchdowns and PATsFirst of all, OR went for 4 agin us and got 1--that's 25% and they basically habded us the W. Second, I don't think you can extrapolate as such because their data is based on a small sample size where teams are going for 2 only sparingly, in the correct situations. If teams start doing it all the time instead of the PAT, in all likelihood, that % goes down significantly to ~30% or so. Hey, if some O guy can figure out an unstoppable play(s) for 2, by all means, do it. Well that was one game (small sample size as you call it) and actually that 55% number was on 105 attempts by 29 of the 32 NFL teams. So by league average over 100 attempts it's more fruitful to go for 2 plain and simple. And what makes you think going for 2 more would be less successful? If anything it would be more successful with a good offense because it's a bigger part of your gameplan. If this season isn't a big enough sample size for you, since 2001 the NFL has gone 48% on over 1000 2 point attempts yielding a .96 point per try rate, the exact same as kicking an extra point since the rule chamge again, your numbers only measure sporadic attempts over a long period of time. If they try to do it all the time, maybe they get the 48% some games and the 52% will drive you crazy, but remember, defense wins championships, just ask the Broncos, and defenses will figure out how to shut the stuff down such that your're only hittin @ 25% or so. That's the way I think it would go. It'd be more trouble than it's worth, practicing all that stuff for diminishing returns.What you think would happen is wrong though, teams attempted 2 pointers more this season than in the past and converted them at a higher rate than the 10 year average. Explain that Your basing your opinion on old addages and anecdotal evidence and while that isn't always bad, in this case it doesn't really tell you anything. Mercury in retrograde? Well, what I suppose has happened is this year there were more games that had more situations that dictated the logical use of the 2 pt conversion attempt and the offenses were a bit ahead of the curve as defenses don't spend much time preparing for that stuff since the attempts are so relatively rare. That's different than if both offenses and defenses are systematically preparing for the systematic use of the 2 pt attempt which has still not happened in the NFL for reasons already explained ad nauseum.

Still much more risk running said play: snap goes over QB's head, QB fumbles snap, QB wiffs on the play, QB is stuffed, QB throws pick and they take it the other way for 2, etc., etc. Snap goes over holder's head, holder fumbles the snap, holder leaves laces pointing towards kicker, kicker mishits(whiffs) ball, kick is blocked and returned for two, etc, etc Just playing devil's advocate but if you are looking at everything that can go wrong no offense would throw a pass either. Uhm, they pass all the time for 2, often that dadgum fade thing in the corner, a play that I generally can't stand. With the new rule, PAT's in the NFL are @ ~96%, down from ~99%. You take the point, you keep your job, everybody's happy. and 2 point conversions this year were at 55% so if you stretch that over 100 extra point tries you get 110 points going for 2 every time and 96 going for 1. That's 2 extra touchdowns and PATsFirst of all, OR went for 4 agin us and got 1--that's 25% and they basically habded us the W. Second, I don't think you can extrapolate as such because their data is based on a small sample size where teams are going for 2 only sparingly, in the correct situations. If teams start doing it all the time instead of the PAT, in all likelihood, that % goes down significantly to ~30% or so. Hey, if some O guy can figure out an unstoppable play(s) for 2, by all means, do it. Well that was one game (small sample size as you call it) and actually that 55% number was on 105 attempts by 29 of the 32 NFL teams. So by league average over 100 attempts it's more fruitful to go for 2 plain and simple. And what makes you think going for 2 more would be less successful? If anything it would be more successful with a good offense because it's a bigger part of your gameplan. If this season isn't a big enough sample size for you, since 2001 the NFL has gone 48% on over 1000 2 point attempts yielding a .96 point per try rate, the exact same as kicking an extra point since the rule chamge again, your numbers only measure sporadic attempts over a long period of time. If they try to do it all the time, maybe they get the 48% some games and the other 52% you miss will drive you crazy, but remember, defense wins championships, just ask the Broncos, and defenses will figure out how to shut the stuff down such that your're only hittin @ 25% or so. That's the way I think it would go. It'd be more trouble than it's worth, practicing all that stuff for diminishing returns.

Still much more risk running said play: snap goes over QB's head, QB fumbles snap, QB wiffs on the play, QB is stuffed, QB throws pick and they take it the other way for 2, etc., etc. Snap goes over holder's head, holder fumbles the snap, holder leaves laces pointing towards kicker, kicker mishits(whiffs) ball, kick is blocked and returned for two, etc, etc Just playing devil's advocate but if you are looking at everything that can go wrong no offense would throw a pass either. Uhm, they pass all the time for 2, often that dadgum fade thing in the corner, a play that I generally can't stand. With the new rule, PAT's in the NFL are @ ~96%, down from ~99%. You take the point, you keep your job, everybody's happy. and 2 point conversions this year were at 55% so if you stretch that over 100 extra point tries you get 110 points going for 2 every time and 96 going for 1. That's 2 extra touchdowns and PATsFirst of all, OR went for 4 agin us and got 1--that's 25% and they basically habded us the W. Second, I don't think you can extrapolate as such because their data is based on a small sample size where teams are going for 2 only sparingly, in the correct situations. If teams start doing it all the time instead of the PAT, in all likelihood, that % goes down significantly to ~30% or so. Hey, if some O guy can figure out an unstoppable play(s) for 2, by all means, do it. But Oregon wasn't doing what I suggested above. They made the decision to go for two before leaving the bench. I'm talking about having the QB audible into motion, and look for a favorable match-up. If no match-up, he'd just take the delay penalty and kick a slightly longer PAT. It might only gain you two points a small percentage of the time, but that could be worth a point or so per game. I understand what you are saying but the chances of consistent success are not high enough, and the whole damn thing is pretty complicated, have a pckge of plays, and then ya gotta spend all kinds of time in practice workin' on the sh#t. I just don't see it happening, especially in the NFL where, I repeat, it is literally a game of inches and every single point is precious in mostly 1-3 pt margin victories, and when you are playing the good defenses your 2 pt gimmick b.s. just don't fly, you have to take the sure points when you can.

Still much more risk running said play: snap goes over QB's head, QB fumbles snap, QB wiffs on the play, QB is stuffed, QB throws pick and they take it the other way for 2, etc., etc. Snap goes over holder's head, holder fumbles the snap, holder leaves laces pointing towards kicker, kicker mishits(whiffs) ball, kick is blocked and returned for two, etc, etc Just playing devil's advocate but if you are looking at everything that can go wrong no offense would throw a pass either. Uhm, they pass all the time for 2, often that dadgum fade thing in the corner, a play that I generally can't stand. With the new rule, PAT's in the NFL are @ ~96%, down from ~99%. You take the point, you keep your job, everybody's happy. and 2 point conversions this year were at 55% so if you stretch that over 100 extra point tries you get 110 points going for 2 every time and 96 going for 1. That's 2 extra touchdowns and PATsFirst of all, OR went for 4 agin us and got 1--that's 25% and they basically handed us the W. Second, I don't think you can extrapolate as such because their data is based on a small sample size where teams are going for 2 only sparingly, in the correct situations. If teams start doing it all the time instead of the PAT, in all likelihood, that % goes down significantly to ~30% or so. Also, in the real world, scoring opportunities don't happen in a consistent flow like appear on hypothetically data sheets. One game you might go 2/4, next game, 1/3, next 2/6, next game 2/5, etc. Whereas, with PATs, your're getting all or nearly all the the PATs every game. Some of those pro kickers bat @ 100%/year. Hey, if some O guy can figure out an unstoppable play(s) for 2, by all means, do it.

I heard about that guy. Well, it's h.s. And for one, alotta h.s. teams don't have squat for a kicker. Anyway, I haven't seen his style take off anywhere and I doubt it will. Fun for h.s. kids and fans though. It's like that wacky O they were doing out there for awhile, the "A-11" or something, guys spread in clusters all over the place. A fad.

I heard about that guy. Well, it's h.s. And for one, alotta h.s. teams don't have squat for a kicker. Anyway, I haven't seen his style take off anywhere and I doubt it will. Fun for h.s. kids and fans though.

Still much more risk running said play: snap goes over QB's head, QB fumbles snap, QB wiffs on the play, QB is stuffed, QB throws pick and they take it the other way for 2, etc., etc. Snap goes over holder's head, holder fumbles the snap, holder leaves laces pointing towards kicker, kicker mishits(whiffs) ball, kick is blocked and returned for two, etc, etc Just playing devil's advocate but if you are looking at everything that can go wrong no offense would throw a pass either. Uhm, they pass all the time for 2, often that dadgum fade thing in the corner, a play that I generally can't stand. With the new rule, PAT's in the NFL are @ ~96%, down from ~99%. You take the point, you keep your job, everybody's happy.

Kno' wut? I like yer style thar, 32! You can do wtever you dadgum cajunz please, 32, and I'll sign off ornit!

LOLOL! You, mr. huKSer, are BRILLIANT! You have an analyticsa chip in your brain, right, ADMIT IT!

I know, it's crazy, right? Here's how it prlly goes down: Beli, the D guy, breaks down the other team's D, finding tendencies and weaknesses, perhaps w an assist from analytics. THEN, he forms a "pow wow" with the OC and Brady and discusses the best way to attack the other team's D, which, low and behold, involves his input as to potential play selection. Weird, right? THEN, in the game he is in the loop when Brady and crew are on the field and if he sees something the defense is doing he QUICK, makes his thoughts known as to what play(s) may work there and then--he may even take executive action and call the dadgum play hisself. And dadgummit if he ain't real good at that. I know, right? ERGO, vicariously, Beli could be considered and prlly IS an "offensive genius". It's kinda like when an ex QB is coaching safeties or something. Football's weird like that. Hope that clears things up. (p.s. Beli + chick = Belichick)