Courtesy Flush

We’re going to love this young man! 

I really like this guy. This is an exciting get!

We got Greene and Blaise G. That’s freaking awesome! Add in the other LBs and I think we have a pretty amazing class! This kid would have been a nice addition, but we got our cake and we got to eat it too. GBR! Most importantly these kids didn’t waiver the way KJ did. They want to be a apart of this program and that is exciting! 

I was hoping he’d be N, but I’m excited about other recruits too and we’re running out of spots. Sign those letters gents!

13 hours ago, huskered17 said:

Nebraska had 40 yrs of greatness using the walkon program, under Bob D and Tom. Some great players came out of them. 

Let's hope we get it rolling again. This kid just might be the next good one. Scott sees something in him.

One question, will he be able to practice with the team, being on a track scholarship ?

 

GBR!!!  

I’ve always wondered if Danny Woodhead had walked on how well he would have done. He was so great at Chadron State, and I think he would have done awesome and earned a scholarship in no time. Granted, Billy Callahan May have had other ideas. I’m sure there are parts of the story I don’t know.

I am still in shock. This is amazing. Best Christmas in years. 

This picture looks so strange to me. Specifically the head to shoulder ratio of the gentleman circled in red. Maybe it’s time to switch to water...

1 hour ago, Mavric said:

 

We know Frost doesn’t like the media involving his family either, so I’m guessing (hoping) this isn’t anyone related to our program. 

31 minutes ago, HuskerzFanatik said:

Getting a serious saved by the bell vibe from that background 

100% Miami Vice. - “Hey Tubbs! Where’s Crockett?”

On 12/2/2019 at 7:25 PM, Igetbored216 said:

Yeah, it's hard to tell how McCaffrey is at passing. He's had some real bad passes, so he will need to work on that in the off season. He's definitely a great option QB. 

 

I am still interested to know whether Martinez is injured. He hasn't looked right running or passing the ball for a while now. The good news is that the QB position has some depth now. I just hope whoever gets beat in the spring/fall for the number one spot sticks around. I can't remember the last season Nebraska has made it through the season without the starting QB getting injured. 

QBR isn’t based on passing stats alone. That’s what makes this a good measure of comparison. It incorporates all of a quarterback's contributions to winning, including how he impacts the game on passes, rushes, turnovers, and penalties. Since QBR is built from the play level, it accounts for a team's level of success or failure on every play to provide the proper context, then allocates credit to the quarterback and his teammates to produce a clearer measure of quarterback efficiency.
 

On 12/2/2019 at 2:50 PM, Moiraine said:

 

 

The Central Limit Theorem requires the sample to be random and it’s not.

 

What statistic would your confidence interval be on? Where would you get your standard deviation? I don’t think it would be on QBR; QBR is calculated from multiple plays.

As I mentioned above, QBR takes into account the entire performance of the QBs game/series of games. During the games, the plays are rarely the same or in the same order. Defensive sets are rarely the same from play to play. Therefore the process is inherently random. Also, we are looking at a snap shot in time of a players performance through these randomly selected circumstances. All meet the criteria for using CLT.
 

You can obtain a confidence interval based on that QBR as a ranking in the same way you would with the percentage of highest recorded responses on a survey. With that established, a t-test can be conducted as well, and you can also identify standard error from play to play. As you probably know, standard error of a statistic is the estimated standard deviation of a sampled distribution. That’s as close as you get with incomplete samples. 
 

Three principles at play - CLT, Standard Error and Law of large numbers. 

12 minutes ago, DefenderAO said:

Mr. Martinez, with all due respect, your son had a very poor year.  We wish him well, truly, but we need better performances to compete at this level.

I think I peed a little.  This cracked me up. Oh man... too good. 
 

I’ll admit it, I drink about as much Koolaid as @Nebfanatic and typically agree with 95% of what he says about the rest of the team. We just disagree about 2AM. 

2 hours ago, Nebfanatic said:

I'll bet he takes a RS. We have plenty there already

I’ll stand by my out on a limb prediction on this one. I think you’re all going to be pleasantly surprised by Nash in his true freshman year. He’s wicked smart, and obviously a freak physically. He’s going to absorb the coaching like a sponge. 

1 hour ago, BigRedBuster said:

We are not going to see a true freshman starting at left tackle while Benhart is in the bench. Sorry, not happening. 

Not sure who you’re referring to?

1 hour ago, HS_Coach_C said:

 

Nash may be a weight room warrior, but he needs to learn the position better and the competition will be a big step up. Can he help this year? Possibly, but I would bet on the redshirt as well.

Like a thirsty sponge, Coach. Gulp! 

2 hours ago, Nebfanatic said:

No

You lectured another member about not providing statistics in their argument with you about defensive improvement. I agreed with you and even gave you a “+1”. Now you have the audacity to show up on a superior statistics post and just say no? @Nebfanatic, I’m so disappointed in you. Try again, this time with statistics... 

QBR leaders for 2019 according to ESPN -

1. Tagovailoa - 94.4

2. Fields - 93.2

3. Burrow - 92.9

4. Hurts - 92.1 

5. Huntley (Utah) - 88.7

6. Morgan (Minn) - 84.3

71. Martinez - 58.2
 

McCaffery didn’t have enough games to show up on the list, but he did have enough plays (30+) to have 95% confidence that his QBR would have been roughly the same throughout the season. Luke has an 89.2 QBR

As with any set of statistics, there is variability and correlation components that need to be taken into consideration. However; Central Limit Theorem, The Law of Large Numbers and Standard Error suggest that Luke’s sample size is enough for a comparison. Therefore:

1. Tagovailoa - 94.4

2. Fields - 93.2

3. Burrow - 92.9

4. Hurts - 92.1 

5. McCaffery - 89.2

6. Huntley (Utah) - 88.7

7. Morgan (Minn) - 84.3

72. Martinez - 58.2

Based on inferential statistical analysis, Luke won By a landslide this year (5% error allowed). I’ll leave the eye test arguments to everyone else.

I’ll go out on a limb with predictions:

1. Sevion Morrison will play as freshman, and we will forget about Mo Washington because of it.
 

2. Marvin Scott will also show us some huge upside, but will only play in 4 games next year.

3. Will Nixon will be the second option behind Wan’Dale.

4. You’re nuts if you don’t think Nash Hutmacher doesn’t make the rotation in every game, or you’re just not paying attention. He’s been on the optimal weight training regime since he was 14. This will be a huge get for this staff. I’m excited to watch Ty and Nash together this next year. 
 

5. Linebacker play will be drastically improved next year so long as the RS freshman stay healthy. (Domann isn’t leaving... that is just as ridiculous as the Wan’Dale rumors)

6. Noa Pola Gates will end up the starter at FS.

7. Cam Taylor-Britt will be an All-American corner.

8. The O-line will reduce sacks allowed by 12 from 2019 to 2020. Going from 28 allowed to 16.

9. The offense will score > 465 points across 12 games, and the defense will allow < 300. 
 

10. We will have 5 additional defensive scores.

11. Fumbles lost will drop from 12 in ‘19 to 7 in ‘20.

12. They finish regular season with 9 wins.

2 minutes ago, theknife said:

So this says a summer graduate. 

It does, but he’s got 4 for 3. We could bring him in this summer and give him a full season and 4 games experience to adapt to B1G ball. I think this kid has a chance to make a name for himself. If they use him as an OLB with low 4.6 speed... he’s going to eat. Average NFL OLB 40 is 4.65. 

6 minutes ago, Nebfanatic said:

4.6 laser is cookin for a guy his size. We need that kind of speed strength combo on the edge

My thoughts exactly. His coach said “

"He's improved a ton, but he's still a pup," Forchtner said. "He's got a long way to go and he can improve a ton. And he will. …

"He's got a size/speed combo that's pretty rare. He ran a low 4.6-second (range) on the laser (in the 40-yard dash), so that's his strong point,"

Here is the article I read:

https://journalstar.com/sports/huskers/recruiting/huskers-land-a-pair-of-juco-defenders-in-junior-aho/article_bbeddd6a-8563-554c-bc75-e8e272b217ae.html

38 minutes ago, Dr. Strangelove said:

That is hilarious, you got me there.

 

But what is not legit is Nebraska and taking players that they should not be taking.

Hey Eeyore, take your downtrodden analysis back to the Hundred Acre Wood. You’ll be screaming this kids name in 3 years, just like the rest of us. 

40 minutes ago, flatwaterfan said:

He will be a OLB (RE-OLB) IMO and to me is very similar to Garrett Nelson.    Reported as running in the low 4.6 range which I would assume is hand-timed so runs a 4.8 electronic.   I do not see him as a 3-4 DE but I suppose they might have him do that in third and forever?   He can put his hand down as a 4-3 RE for sure if they want him to play that technique.  Don't we do that on occassion?  We need OLB's that are physically ready to play so okay with this pickup.

 

I like the fact that he is a former soccer/boxer/mixed martial arts guy.    Soccer players learn how to take good angles.   They are always running so they understand conditioning and they have good feet.  Boxing is a good indicator that the guy is not afraid to hit and take a blow.   Mixed martial arts is the same plus it adds the wrestling aspect where leverage concepts come into play as well as shooting for legs which translates to a quick first step in football.     

4.6 on laser according to coach who contacted Held. That’s exciting if true! 

Both Fleck and Frost are great coaches. Why did we beat nearly the same Minnesota team by 4 scores last year? Buying in to a culture mean everything. PJ and Scott would both tell you the same thing.

For those seeking instant gratification - get lost. Nobody wants your whining a$$ on the board anyway. This is going to take time. 

1 minute ago, deedsker said:

It was a wild ride of mixed emotions. It and 2010 are beautiful tragedies that are big in the lexicon of recent hustler football.

I was at the Mizzou game in 2009. It was one of my favorite Husker moments of my life. It rained 2.5” during the game. It was crazy. That defense was so good, it overshadowed how bad Lee was. Those were fun years.

11 minutes ago, B.B. Hemingway said:

That 2009 defense was one of the best in CFB history.

It’s wild that they went from the worst in team history in 2007 to the best in 2009. 

On 11/6/2019 at 4:55 AM, deedsker said:

http://m.zimbio.com/photos/Zac+Lee/Nebraska+v+Missouri/GehqJhKA1zK

I seriously wonder if I just missed all of 2009. 

On 11/6/2019 at 5:19 AM, The Dude said:

 

Uhh... 

It’s hard to fathom.