VA Husker Fan Posted November 18, 2007 Share Posted November 18, 2007 Veery good question. Depends if we can get 2 bcs bowls in conference. if the big 12 gets 2 bcs, best case scenario is alamo The Alamo is too ambitious. They are locked into the conference #4/#5 team, and we aren't even close. Let's look at who is bowl eligible in the Big XII, and ahead of us in the pecking order - OU, KU, Mizzou, Texas, Tech, OSU (by virtue of tie-breaker), and A&M (by virtue of tie-breaker). That's 7, so at best we are 8th in the conference. KSU won't go even if they beat Fresno St, because that is the one bowl eligible team that we hold a tie-breaker over. If KU beats Mizzou, then loses to OU/Texas in the championship game, there is a good chance the conference will get their 2nd BCS team with a one-loss KU. This is possible even if Mizzou beats KU, and then loses to the south team. It depends on how far KU falls in the polls after the loss. It is doubtful that if KU wins out that there will be a 2nd BCS berth from the Big XII because that will result in, at best, 2 two-loss teams right behind them in the conference standings. With a single BCS team from the conference, we could be left out, depending on what the Gator Bowl does. They have the option of taking the conference #4 team this year, which could be lucrative to them if it is a good travelling team like Texas or OU, or if Daniels is favored to get the Heisman. I think they will look elsewhere if it is Oklahoma State. There are 7 slots (including the BCS) for Big XII teams. There are two variables here - whether the conference gets two BCS slots or one, and whether the Gator Bowl exercises their option on the conference. Here's the way it looks right now (subject to change without notice the way this football season is going).... BCS (conference #1) OU/Texas or KU/Mizzou Possible BCS At-Large bid - KU Cotton (conference #2) OU/Texas/Mizzou - whoever doesn't win the conference/gets the at-large BCS Holiday (conference #3) OU/Texas/Mizzou Gator (option to take the #4 team) OU/Texas/Mizzou with one BCS slot, OSU (they hold the tie-breaker over Tech to move up in the pecking order) with two Alamo (#4/#5) OU/Texas/Mizzou with one BCS slot and no Gator, OSU with one BCS slot and the Gator takes a team ahead of them, Tech with two BCS slots the Gator taking OSU Insight (#6) OSU with one BCS slot and no Gator, Tech with one BCS slots and OSU going to a higher bowl, A&M with two BCS slots and the Gator taking a team from the conference. Independence (#7) Tech with one BCS slot and no Gator pick, A&M if we only have one BCS slot but the Gator Bowl picks from the conference, the Huskers if the BCS takes two and the Gator takes one Texas (#8) A&M in the worst case scenario (one BCS slot and the Gator picks elsewhere), and we are left out. The Huskers if either the BCS takes two from the conference, or the Gator bowl takes one If we beat CU, there will be at least 8 bowl eligible teams, 9 if KSU wins. There are contracts for 6 slots excluding the BCS. Simple math indicates that if we are 8th best in the conference and only 7 slots are available, our season may be over. There is, however, one other wild card.... Sun (#?) this bowl also has the option to pick from the Big XII. They may chose us if we are left out of the regular tie-ins, or might go with KSU The bottom line is that we need to be rooting for a second BCS bid or the Gator to take one of the teams ahead of us out of the picture.... One and only one of the Sun or Gator must take a Big 12 team. The Big 12 has 7 tie-ins plus one or two BCS bowls. The non-BCS bowls have no requirement to pick teams based on any record or rank. The conference champion must go the Fiesta or championship game, and a second BCS pick must be in the top 14 BCS standings. That's it. No pecking order or tie-breakers. Quote Link to comment
pctopeka Posted November 18, 2007 Share Posted November 18, 2007 I just hope the team plays well and wins the game with Colorado. Remember, it will be Senior Day at CU and they have everything to play for, too. Should NU win and be picked for a bowl game, I don't really care which one it is. The main concerns then would be: Who is going to be coaching the team, and who will be conducting the extra month of practice and recruiting duties? Quote Link to comment
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