the purdue matchup by the numbers + nat'l rankings

[beorach]

Here are the percentile rankings for nine categories using all the games played between FBS teams:

 

Passing Offense: Purdue 54 and Nebraska 49

Passing Defense: Purdue 67 and Nebraska 32

Rushing Offense: Purdue 32 and Nebraska 31

Rushing Defense: Purdue 62 and Nebraska 51

Scoring Offense: Nebraska 42 and Purdue 31

Scoring Defense: Purdue 83 and Nebraska 35

Total Offense: effectively a tie at 43

Total Defense: Purdue 66 and Nebraska 54

Turnover Margin: Purdue 60 and Nebraska 32

 

It bears mentioning that Nebraska has played the 15th-toughest schedule to Purdue's 19th, per footballperspective.com.

 

Here are the percentile rankings for the same categories using just the games between conference teams:

 

Passing Offense: Nebraska 57 and Purdue 27

Passing Defense: Purdue 67 and Nebraska 54

Rushing Offense: effectively a tie at 23

Rushing Defense: Purdue 52 and Nebraska 37

Scoring Offense: Nebraska 28 and Purdue 8

Scoring Defense: Purdue 77 and Nebraska 41

Total Offense: Nebraska 35 and Purdue 21

Total Defense: Nebraska 65 and Purdue 64

Turnover Margin: Purdue 43 and Nebraska 36

 

The teams Nebraska has faced in the conference have put up better stats than those Purdue have faced so far this season (so we have the SOS edge here again).

 

If you average these numbers up, Purdue looks about fourteen percentile points better using the stats that included the out-of-conference games.  If you just look at the games between teams from the same conference, though, the Boilers' numbers to date are practically equal.

 

To sum up, let's just look at the averages of the averages (for all the categories I'm using above - turnover margin only factors in for the "all categories" one, of course):

 

average percentiles for all offensive categories using all FBS games' data: NU 41 and PU 40

average percentiles for all defensive categories using all FBS games' data: PU 70 and NU 43

average percentiles for all categories using all FBS games' data: PU 55 and NU 41

average percentiles for all offensive categories using just conference games' data: NU 36 and PU 20

average percentiles for all defensive categories using just conference games' data: PU 65 and NU 49

average percentiles for all categories using just conference games' data: PU 43 and NU 42

 

Their defense has posted better numbers than ours either way.  Our offensive numbers, though still not even average overall, are markedly better than theirs if you look at the second sample.  You've got to work to be an optimist as a Cornhusker fan nowadays.  I have found a reason to hope.

 

p.s. - They've played Michigan, Minnesota, Rutgers, and Wisconsin for their conference games.  Louisville, Ohio, and Missouri were their OOC opponents.

p.p.s. - Here are the national rankings per these two methods (w/o any SOS adjustment having been made):

 

All FBS Games Sample

Rank	Team	overall
1	Alabama	89.99
2	Ohio State	89.43
3	Penn State	86.98
4	UCF	86.72
5	South Florida	83.76
6	Wisconsin	82.52
7	Virginia Tech	82.13
8	Georgia	81.45
9	Auburn	80.74
10	TCU	80.26
11	Clemson	78.57
12	Oklahoma State	77.44
13	Washington	75.55
14	Notre Dame	75.34
15	Oklahoma	72.89
16	Miami (Florida)	71.66
17	UTSA	70.35
18	Washington State	69.85
19	North Carolina State	69.01
20	Mississippi State	67.98
21	Stanford	66.34
22	Marshall	66.15
23	Arizona	64.28
24	Georgia Tech	64.09
25	Northern Illinois	64.03
26	Iowa State	63.90
27	Toledo	63.78
28	Michigan State	63.25
29	Southern Mississippi	63.11
30	LSU	62.78
31	Fresno State	61.31
32	Texas	60.31
33	Boise State	60.25
34	USC	59.34
35	Michigan	59.31
36	Louisville	59.13
37	Minnesota	59.10
38	Colorado State	58.75
39	Western Kentucky	58.74
40	Ohio	57.84
41	Florida Atlantic	57.59
42	Texas Tech	57.48
43	SMU	57.41
44	Arkansas State	57.19
45	Utah	57.11
46	Wake Forest	56.86
47	Houston	56.44
48	Appalachian State	56.41
49	West Virginia	56.19
50	Virginia	56.08
51	San Diego State	56.02
52	Oregon	55.89
53	Texas A&M	55.81
54	Purdue	55.42
55	New Mexico State	54.19
56	Troy	54.19
57	Massachusetts	54.12
58	Western Michigan	54.06
59	Florida	53.93
60	South Carolina	53.78
61	Northwestern	53.28
62	Memphis	53.26
63	Duke	53.17
64	Iowa	52.34
65	Navy	51.74
66	UAB	51.48
67	Miami (Ohio)	50.93
68	Eastern Michigan	50.89
69	Army	50.53
70	Kansas State	50.31
71	Syracuse	49.33
72	UCLA	48.86
73	Arizona State	48.42
74	Central Michigan	47.13
75	Utah State	46.07
76	Air Force	46.04
77	Louisiana-Monroe	45.92
78	Florida State	45.79
79	Colorado	45.55
80	Tulane	44.33
81	Georgia State	43.84
82	New Mexico	43.69
83	Boston College	42.91
84	Hawai'i	42.74
85	Kentucky	42.34
86	Indiana	42.22
87	Wyoming	42.16
88	Louisiana Tech	41.79
89	Middle Tennessee	40.92
90	Nebraska	40.91
91	Tulsa	40.90
92	Coastal Carolina	40.84
93	California	40.70
94	Buffalo	40.58
95	UNLV	40.10
96	Temple	39.82
97	Pittsburgh	39.52
98	North Texas	38.37
99	Florida International	36.18
100	Mississippi	35.07
101	South Alabama	33.32
102	Louisiana-Lafayette	33.09
103	Connecticut	32.68
104	Illinois	32.27
105	Nevada	32.17
106	Rutgers	31.79
107	Idaho	31.70
108	Missouri	31.19
109	Arkansas	29.41
110	North Carolina	29.05
111	Ball State	28.22
112	Tennessee	27.39
113	Cincinnati	27.20
114	Maryland	26.74
115	Akron	25.85
116	Baylor	24.84
117	Vanderbilt	24.50
118	Charlotte	24.24
119	Texas State	23.81
120	Bowling Green	22.88
121	East Carolina	22.84
122	Kent State	22.16
123	BYU	21.37
124	Oregon State	19.81
125	Rice	19.02
126	Old Dominion	18.30
127	Georgia Southern	17.98
128	Kansas	15.24
129	UTEP	13.58
130	San Jose State	11.57

 

Conference Games Only Sample

Rank	Team	overall
1	Ohio State	90.73
2	Alabama	90.10
3	Georgia	86.98
4	Fresno State	79.47
5	UCF	79.42
6	South Florida	79.33
7	Auburn	78.93
8	Toledo	78.65
9	Penn State	78.54
10	TCU	77.10
11	Marshall	74.93
12	Northern Illinois	74.41
13	Washington	73.95
14	Arkansas State	71.85
15	Wisconsin	71.41
16	Florida Atlantic	70.28
17	Clemson	69.80
18	Western Michigan	68.01
19	Oklahoma State	67.13
20	Virginia Tech	67.03
21	Ohio	66.79
22	Boise State	66.75
23	North Carolina State	65.61
24	Colorado State	64.73
25	Utah State	64.29
26	USC	64.15
27	Miami (Florida)	63.65
28	Georgia Tech	63.31
29	Washington State	62.47
30	Tulane	61.97
31	Western Kentucky	61.79
32	Iowa State	60.87
33	Southern Mississippi	60.81
34	Stanford	59.81
35	Oklahoma	59.38
36	Florida	59.34
37	Miami (Ohio)	59.25
38	Appalachian State	58.69
39	SMU	57.97
40	Michigan State	57.80
41	Arizona	56.33
42	South Carolina	56.24
43	Troy	55.88
44	UTSA	55.21
45	Arizona State	55.11
46	Texas Tech	54.45
47	Memphis	53.36
48	LSU	53.29
49	South Alabama	52.58
50	Texas	52.41
51	West Virginia	51.71
52	Central Michigan	51.71
53	San Diego State	51.57
54	Louisiana-Monroe	51.26
55	Georgia State	51.26
56	Mississippi State	50.93
57	UAB	50.43
58	Rice	50.38
59	Houston	50.07
60	Navy	50.07
61	Louisville	49.28
62	New Mexico State	49.09
63	Michigan	48.81
64	Idaho	48.74
65	Texas A&M	48.57
66	Northwestern	47.86
67	Florida State	47.84
68	Wake Forest	47.41
69	Air Force	45.58
70	Syracuse	45.54
71	UCLA	45.09
72	Nevada	44.95
73	Georgia Southern	44.78
74	Virginia	43.85
75	Wyoming	43.81
76	Temple	43.66
77	Akron	43.58
78	Eastern Michigan	43.53
79	Boston College	43.29
80	Iowa	43.06
81	UNLV	42.92
82	North Texas	42.83
83	Purdue	42.56
84	Louisiana Tech	42.43
85	Hawai'i	42.06
86	Nebraska	41.90
87	New Mexico	41.90
88	Buffalo	41.73
89	Utah	40.13
90	Minnesota	39.83
91	Tulsa	39.63
92	Oregon	39.25
93	Middle Tennessee	39.17
94	Louisiana-Lafayette	39.11
95	Florida International	39.07
96	Coastal Carolina	38.38
97	Pittsburgh	37.98
98	Duke	37.75
99	Kentucky	36.77
100	Texas State	35.98
101	Kansas State	35.86
102	Charlotte	35.62
103	California	35.52
104	Colorado	35.38
105	Connecticut	34.85
106	Kent State	34.16
107	Bowling Green	33.71
108	Illinois	33.47
109	UTEP	33.40
110	Indiana	31.27
111	Baylor	30.07
112	Mississippi	29.65
113	Rutgers	28.89
114	East Carolina	28.75
115	Cincinnati	26.48
116	Missouri	26.07
117	Maryland	25.56
118	Old Dominion	25.29
119	Oregon State	24.92
120	Tennessee	24.74
121	Arkansas	23.98
122	North Carolina	22.32
123	San Jose State	17.94
124	Ball State	17.17
125	Vanderbilt	13.52
126	Kansas	10.82

[HuskerPerson07]

For anyone looking at the overall lists:

 

All FBS:

Purdue - 54

Nebraska - 90

 

Conference:

Purdue - 83

Nebraska - 86

[beorach]

7 minutes ago, HuskerPerson07 said:

For anyone looking at the overall lists:

 

All FBS:

Purdue - 54

Nebraska - 90

 

Conference:

Purdue - 83

Nebraska - 86

 

Thanks!  I thought of doing that but I was so verbose already. 

[Dansker]

Glaring stat - Riley is I believe 5-7 in true road games thus far.