HS_Coach_C

Here are some teams to root for in conference tournaments so at-large bids aren't stolen. If any team not listed below wins a conference tournament, it will make the bubble smaller for teams like Nebraska. Power 6: ACC: Virginia, Duke, Clemson, North Carolina, NC State, Miami, Virginia Tech (Florida State is also probably a lock) Big 12: Kansas, West Virginia, Texas Tech, TCU Big East: Xavier, Villanova, Seton Hall, Butler (and if you can stomach it - Creighton) Big Ten: NEBRASKA, Michigan State, Purdue, Ohio State (Michigan is a lock for the tourney but we need to beat them) Pac-12: Arizona (probably USC also if they beat UCLA this week and Arizona State if they beat Cal & Stanford) SEC: Auburn, Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida, Arkansas (probably Texas A&M or Missouri as well) Other conferences with possible At-Large teams: America East: Vermont American: Cincinnati, Wichita State, or Houston Atlantic 10: Rhode Island (St. Bonaventure is probably also in so that won't hurt either) Conference USA: Middle Tennessee (they'll be on the bubble if they lose) Missouri Valley: Loyola-Chicago (they'll be on the bubble if they lose) Mountain West: Nevada Summit: South Dakota State (probably doesn't matter) Sun Belt: Louisiana (probably doesn't matter) West Coast: Gonzaga or St. Mary's Western: New Mexico State (probably doesn't matter) Conferences with only 1 bid no matter what: Atlantic Sun: doesn't matter Big Sky: doesn't matter Big South: doesn't matter Big West: doesn't matter Colonial: doesn't matter Horizon: doesn't matter Ivy: doesn't matter Metro Atlantic: doesn't matter MAC: doesn't matter MEAC: doesn't matter Northeast: doesn't matter Ohio Valley: doesn't matter Patriot: doesn't matter Southern: doesn't matter Southland: doesn't matter Southwestern: doesn't matter

Sorry, I meant to add that to my reasoning of why head to head results matter very little... don't know how/why I ended up quoting you

1 game doesn't determine who gets in the tournament... St. John's should be in over Villanova, Boston College in over Duke, and Oklahoma State in over Kansas using that argument. If Nebraska had played at Michigan it would be a better argument. They win tomorrow that should leave no doubt. If they lose, it basically invalidates our only good win of the year.

NVM

#1 - Nebraska beat Iowa once, it'll be twice if they win in the tournament #2 - Head to Head results matter very little when there are so many games in a season and so many variables to consider #3 - Look at the resumes for each team, Michigan's is better on paper RECORD VS. DI = 23-7 / 22-9 CONF. RECORD = 13-5 / 13-5 SOS = 87 / 126 RPI = 25 / 55 VS. TOP 50 = 2-4 / 1-5 VS. 100+ = 16-1 / 18-1 Which team looks better on paper? Michigan is currently projected as a 5 seed. If they lose to Iowa, they might drop to a 6 or 7, but they're not getting left out.

It says it's for today, but absolutely nothing changed on it. I'm thinking that Syracuse should drop a bit, but other than that yesterday's results don't affect much. Maybe Butler slides from an 8 to a 9, but Providence and Florida State losing to ranked teams shouldn't drop them.

For the most part I agree. There is also a chance that some teams win their conference tournaments and steal bids, or some of the teams around Nebraska on the bubble make runs deep in their tournaments, which would improve their resumes. Not overly likely. Control what they can control - just win tomorrow.

Either the no sit Sunday Wisconsin game, the big ten tourney game vs Ohio State, or the NCAA tourney game vs Baylor in 2014. Coincidentally, we were the 4 seed in the big ten tourney and lost to the 5 seed and had to sweat out the selection process. The Big Ten was viewed much better that year and Nebraska had better wins. Let's not repeat that result.

2/28 Boston College over Syracuse - check Xavier over Providence - check Clemson over Florida State - check Pitt over Notre Dame (not a big deal if Notre Dame wins) - miss Texas A&M over Georgia (not a big deal, but Georgia isn't too far off the bubble) - check UCONN over Temple (Temple is still close to the Bubble according to some) - check 5/6 on the night is great BONUS - St. John's over Butler

I think we'd like to have him, but I also don't think he's top on the board. I would say he's probably in the top group of QB's we'd want for sure.

Iowa up 9 with 1:45 to go. Illinois could be good next year if they actually put it together. They just couldn't get in a rhythm. I hope Iowa can push Michigan (I have my doubts) because I want Michigan to have to play a full game and be tired on Friday. Edit: Iowa wins 96-87

Iowa leads 35-31 at the half. I expect Illinois to pull this out. They are also the tougher matchup for Michigan.

Iowa leading Illinois 20-8 with just under 10 minutes to go in the 1st half, because I know lots of people care.

Of the 22 teams I listed, Nebraska is 2nd (behind NC State) in Strength of Record, which is basically a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve given the schedule that they faced. I think this should be a pretty big deal - we'll see if the committee thinks so.

...and some kids just really love the rah rah rah used car salesmen.

Here is today's version of some numbers for at-large teams slotted as a 9-seed or lower in Lunardi's updated bracket today. The comments and projection are my opinions: Miami & VA Tech move to locks, Boise drops off the bubble with a loss. Our most likely hopes of teams dropping out: Texas, Alabama, Louisville, Loser of Baylor/Kansas State, Providence, USC Teams that are the most danger of getting in over Nebraska: Syracuse, Washington, UCLA, Utah, Marquette Rooting interests (in order of how much it would help Nebraska): 2/28 Boston College over Syracuse Xavier over Providence Clemson over Florida State Pitt over Notre Dame (not a big deal if Notre Dame wins) Texas A&M over Georgia (not a big deal, but Georgia isn't too far off the bubble) UCONN over Temple (Temple is still close to the Bubble according to some) 3/1 Michigan over Iowa/Illinois winner Virginia over Louisville Cal over Arizona State Oregon State over Washington Georgia Tech over NC State Arkansas State over Louisiana (take away any chance of Louisiana getting an at-large bid) 3/2 NEBRASKA over Michigan/Iowa/Illinois winner (none of this matters if they don't win this game) Iowa State over Oklahoma If you think Nebraska needs another good win, then root Michigan State, if you want an easier path to the championship, root against them 3/3 NEBRASKA over Michigan State/Wisconsin/Maryland winner West Virginia over Texas St. John's over Providence Stanford over Arizona State LSU over Mississippi State Texas A&M over Alabama NC State over Louisville Clemson over Syracuse Virginia over Notre Dame St. Louis over St. Bonaventure Oregon over Washington Colorado over Utah Creighton over Marquette Boston College over Florida State Tennessee over Georgia Kansas State over Baylor (I don't know if it matters which way this one goes, I just hope the loser gets bumped out) 3/4 NEBRASKA to win the Big Ten Championship Game No low RPI teams to win their conference tournaments and steal at-large bids 2018 Bubble Teams.pdf

No that would be logical, that doesn't work for the selection committee. Baylor may have done enough tonight to get in, so hopefully only one of Oklahoma, Texas, and Kansas State get in. I'm sick of the Big XII lovefest.

Yeah but that wouldn't knock either out, but now that Kansas State lost maybe they'll get bumped out with a loss to Baylor

If K State and Baylor both win tonight we very well could see 8 Big XII teams in the tournament...

Pretty good so far. Mississippi State didn't come close to the big win they needed. Alabama didn't come close to getting their lock. Rhode island got crushed by a bad team, but their RPI was 8 before tonight. They'll likely get in. Missouri got pushed by Vandy but avoided the bad loss.

I think both will get in, but K State's resume is very blah and they aren't far from the bubble. TCU's only non con loss was to Vanderbilt, which isn't great, but it's only one.

Those are my opinions, not Lunardi's. Sorry if I wasn't clear. I was just using the teams he had listed on the Bubble.

This had to hurt. I wonder how it happened. Hopefully he can have a quick and full recovery.