I will give it a 5. Even with good stats next year it will only take one game with not so impressive numbers that will ruin his chances. The media spotlight around our program and how much ESPN tends to nitpick at Nebraska/Taylor's flaws will go against him. There are a lot of players each year that have that Heisman swagger to them and I don't think Taylor has it.
Honestly I could see Abdullah making it before Taylor does.