I am not sure that is completely true. His last year at Florida 2010, they were 8-5. That was year 6 for him at Florida. That was also first post Tim Tebow year. What that also proves is that with the right QB for your system you can do great things. UM took one look at Braxton Miller and said that is my Qb that is my next TT.
True, but that was Urban's 9th season as a HC. The point I was trying to make was for head coaches at their first school being a head coach. But you make a great point yourself, the fact that UM was an accomplished HC at other locations and still had a "down" season in year 6 goes to show that even great coaches can miss on some guys for their first recruiting class at new school.