nic Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Not sure what attrition will be like for the teams, but Ohio State plays 2 of the 4 teams in this year's playoffs next season. Both of those are away games for OSU. Plus they are going to break in a bunch of new starters next year. It will be interesting what the team will look like when they travel to Oklahoma. Not sure anyone else in FBS has a tougher out of conference sched. tOSU's 2016 SOS must be through the roof. OSU has Bowling Green, Tulsa and @ Oklahoma, with crossovers of NW, NU and @ Wiscy Quote Link to comment
nic Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Based on the current z-scores for all teams on the B1G team schedules for 2016, only considering games against FBS teams (such that there's no penalty for playing lower division teams), and applying no adjustment for home/away...here's the order I came up with - the numbers given are the average z-scores for the 2015 teams' stats: Wisconsin 0.255 Northwestern 0.217 Rutgers 0.213 Illinois 0.203 Ohio State 0.197 Michigan State 0.167 Purdue 0.088 Penn State 0.073 Nebraska -0.015 Maryland -0.073 Michigan -0.099 Iowa -0.119 Indiana -0.126 Minnesota -0.131 Maryland only has ten games scheduled against FBS teams so far - I think they need to add another game yet (as they're only at 11 when you count Howard). I think it bears mentioning that Michigan's 2016 out-of-conference slate features three of the worst-performing teams of this season in Hawai'i, UCF, and Colorado...though the Buffaloes' numbers are respectable next to those of the Rainbow Warriors and Golden Knights. p.s. - A z-score close to zero, like Nebraska's, means the average 2015 z-score of all the teams on Nebraska's 2016 schedule is...pretty much average. The difficult part of Michigan's schedule is @ MSU, @OSU, @Iowa and Wiscy Quote Link to comment
beorach Posted January 7, 2016 Share Posted January 7, 2016 Based on the current z-scores for all teams on the B1G team schedules for 2016, only considering games against FBS teams (such that there's no penalty for playing lower division teams), and applying no adjustment for home/away...here's the order I came up with - the numbers given are the average z-scores for the 2015 teams' stats: Wisconsin 0.255 Northwestern 0.217 Rutgers 0.213 Illinois 0.203 Ohio State 0.197 Michigan State 0.167 Purdue 0.088 Penn State 0.073 Nebraska -0.015 Maryland -0.073 Michigan -0.099 Iowa -0.119 Indiana -0.126 Minnesota -0.131 Maryland only has ten games scheduled against FBS teams so far - I think they need to add another game yet (as they're only at 11 when you count Howard). I think it bears mentioning that Michigan's 2016 out-of-conference slate features three of the worst-performing teams of this season in Hawai'i, UCF, and Colorado...though the Buffaloes' numbers are respectable next to those of the Rainbow Warriors and Golden Knights. p.s. - A z-score close to zero, like Nebraska's, means the average 2015 z-score of all the teams on Nebraska's 2016 schedule is...pretty much average. The difficult part of Michigan's schedule is @ MSU, @OSU, @Iowa and Wiscy Yeah, but Wisconsin plays all those teams it can plus LSU, Michigan, and Nebraska. Quote Link to comment
nic Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Based on the current z-scores for all teams on the B1G team schedules for 2016, only considering games against FBS teams (such that there's no penalty for playing lower division teams), and applying no adjustment for home/away...here's the order I came up with - the numbers given are the average z-scores for the 2015 teams' stats: Wisconsin 0.255 Northwestern 0.217 Rutgers 0.213 Illinois 0.203 Ohio State 0.197 Michigan State 0.167 Purdue 0.088 Penn State 0.073 Nebraska -0.015 Maryland -0.073 Michigan -0.099 Iowa -0.119 Indiana -0.126 Minnesota -0.131 Maryland only has ten games scheduled against FBS teams so far - I think they need to add another game yet (as they're only at 11 when you count Howard). I think it bears mentioning that Michigan's 2016 out-of-conference slate features three of the worst-performing teams of this season in Hawai'i, UCF, and Colorado...though the Buffaloes' numbers are respectable next to those of the Rainbow Warriors and Golden Knights. p.s. - A z-score close to zero, like Nebraska's, means the average 2015 z-score of all the teams on Nebraska's 2016 schedule is...pretty much average. The difficult part of Michigan's schedule is @ MSU, @OSU, @Iowa and Wiscy Yeah, but Wisconsin plays all those teams it can plus LSU, Michigan, and Nebraska. Yeah Wiscy is screwed. LSU, @UofM, @Mich St., OSU, NU, @ Iowa....now those are cross over games. Quote Link to comment
Michiganball Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Wiscy no doubt has the hardest schedule, almost a stupid schedule. LSU first, which may be a sign of Armageddon as a sec team is actually playing up North. Then as if Wisconsin has moved to the east conference and all in a row @MSU @UM, OSU, then @Iowa, Nebraska, @NW. Finally in their last three games, whatever is left of them will play the fluffier teams. The only good that will come out of this is that they will get under seeded for a bowl game. Quote Link to comment
Kiyoat Husker Posted May 25, 2016 Share Posted May 25, 2016 So ESPN came out with their "Power Rankings" in Early April, and the SOS predictions are very different compared with the article in the OP. Not sure why, but it IS ESPN, so... 30 Ohio St 40 Wisc 42 Illinois 46 Mich St 53 Penn St 54 Northwestern 55 Rutgers 57 Indiana 58 Iowa 62 Nebraska 63 Maryland 64 Purdue 65 Michigan 66 Minnesota http://espn.go.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings/_/sort/sosRemainingRank/order/false (you have to sort by SOS) Quote Link to comment
NUance Posted May 27, 2016 Author Share Posted May 27, 2016 Not sure what attrition will be like for the teams, but Ohio State plays 2 of the 4 teams in this year's playoffs next season. Both of those are away games for OSU. Plus they are going to break in a bunch of new starters next year. It will be interesting what the team will look like when they travel to Oklahoma. Not sure anyone else in FBS has a tougher out of conference sched. tOSU's 2016 SOS must be through the roof. They now have a record 9 underclassmen declared for the draft Some of those guys are getting bad advice. There's just no way all nine will go in the first two rounds. UPDATE: Wow, tOSU wasn’t far away from having nine picked in the first two rounds. They had five go in the first round and two more in the second round. Twelve picked overall. Not too shabby. Round 1, pick 3: Joey Bosa Round 1, pick 4: Ezekiel Elliott Round 1, pick 10: Eli Apple Round 1, pick 16: Taylor Decker Round 1, pick 20: Darron Lee Round 2, pick 16: Michael Thomas Round 2, pick 30: Vonn Bell Quote Link to comment
Kiyoat Husker Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 Really I think our schedule works in our favor this year. If we win 3 of 4 in our games against Wisconsin/Iowa/Minnesota/Northwestern, We are in the CCG IMO. If we win just one game out of Oregon/Wisc/tOSU that would be icing on the cake. No way Wisconsin has less than 3 conference losses this year. They could sweep the West and still not win it. Iowa is the tiebreaker this year, and could set up for an exciting Thanksgiving. Can't wait. Quote Link to comment
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.