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Dr. Strangelove

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Everything posted by Dr. Strangelove

  1. And also if he believed in the peaceful transition of power. Honestly this is all hilarious, Republicans are going to win elections because of worldwide inflation because voters don't care about Democracy. I say let it die, it had a good run. Hopefully the authoritarian model can improve poverty and tackle the world's problems.
  2. Read any @Archy1221 post and then dramatically lower your expectations for voters and what motivates them. He has an R next to his name. Nothing else matters.
  3. I'm shocked they were concerned about crimes. Have they had more than a 10 second conversation with their voters? Even they underestimated the already low-bar Republican represent. Their hatred of America descends to a new low everyday. They aren't even close to the floor.
  4. This has more than 3 words on it and has therefore been lost on Republican voters.
  5. I'd be shocked if it has a meaningful impact on the midterms. I can see it costing Republicans a House seat or two, but overall they're still going to win 35-40 House seats and 3-5 Seante seats.
  6. I'm sure Republicans would totally vote to end gerrymandering and institute Ranked-Choice voting. This isn't a shot at you, just pointing out the undemocratic nature of one major political party.
  7. The youth most certainly are liberal, but they always have been. They're also the least likely to vote. Furthermore, after graduating college they're moving to cities, increasing the urban rural divide. By 2040, 70% of Senators will be elected by 30% of the population. I'm not sure what this means, but it's not good for America.
  8. Worldwide inflation > Attempted subduing of Democracy.
  9. I've explained this a few times in other posts, but basically getting more votes does not win you the Presidency. Yes, Trump is likely to perform the same or slightly worse relative to 2020. But frankly, he doesn't have to do any better. In fact, he can perform worse nationally by 1% or more and still win. This is because the PVI (Partisan Voting Index) is trending towards Republicans rapidly, because the electoral college rewards geography over raw votes. In 2016, to win Democrats needed to win the popular vote by 2.2%. They won by 2.1% and lost. By 2020, the PVI increased such that a Democrat had to win the popular vote by 4.3% (an increase of 2.1% over 2016). They won by 4.4% and won. By 2024, it's likely this trend continues. The Democratic candidate probably needs to win the popular vote by 5-5.5%, a nearly impossible margin, in order to win. This trend is worse in the Senate - which Democrats are unlikely to win back for two decades - and is something that will get worse in the electoral college until Texas turns blue in the 2032 or 2036 election cycle.
  10. This is probably incorrect: Joe vs Trump - Trump favored (55% chance or so) Joe vs DeSantis - 50/50 race Any other Democrat would perform worse than Joe Biden against all other candidates. Incumbency advantages play a role and people over estimate their personal feelings towards politicians and assume they're shared by everybody. Which is why you and others think Joe would perform worse than another D candidate. Decades of political science research tells us that isn't true.
  11. He's basically saying it should be left to the states. Now, because of aggressive erosion of Democracy (see the State of Wisconsin), it's borderline impossible for the people to effect legislation in states anyway. I hope the bloated Cheeto was worth it. Also, don't forget, blame Biden for inflation effecting the entire world. Vote for Rs in November.
  12. His plan was to decrease Russias border with NATO countries, by taking over all of Ukraine and Moldova, the vulnerability of Russia is greatly reduced since the terrain to invade Russia would be protected by the Carpathian Mountain range. Furthermore, he hoped that Western Democracies would not be able to handle the resulting spike in energy prices, with countries like Germany particularly vulnerable leaving them less likely to intervene with aid. His hope was also that Trump would destabilize NATO enough that he would also be able to take back the Baltic states eventually. Luckily that didn't happen, but it's not out of the question in the future. His plan has mostly been a catastrophic failure. Instead of decreasing his border with NATO, it's likely to more than double once Finland joins the alliance. And because Russia is likely to only take a small amount of territory, their vulnerability on that flank has not changed from where it was pre-war. Putin sought to return Russia to the glorious boundaries of the superpower days of the Soviet Union. Now Russia is going to become a glorified gas station and a puppet state for China.
  13. Hmm, I wonder why he didn't mention Loving v Virginia? I guess it's all fine until the laws would affect him. What a hack.
  14. What should we do, meet them in the middle? Mexicans are only rapists, not murderers too? Democracy is only okay to overthrow part time? Assault Rifles are okay to shoot children with, but maybe you should think really hard before letting them do it? Sorry, we don't need to engage in fantasy just to string along rural people because their feelings get hurt when confronted with reality. Let them form their own country so they can ruin it. Secede from the union already, they won't be missed.
  15. That link never claimed he did. What he did do was hold a press conference with city employees who made those statements and he stood there and didn't correct them, knowing it's false and knowing it's causing unnecessary harm. It's not as important as other groups, but still necessary to curb the spread to older people as much as possible. A sitting governor making a specific announcement that he's not going to order them to even make them an option is idiotic, dangerous, and further plays into the distrust that is a mainstay of the GOP base.
  16. I agree, it's at the margins. The coalition of Democrats is easily fractured, so I can see small portions - mostly college educated White men - breaking rank. Not many others though. But don't be mistaken: we don't have to ask ourselves what Democrats would hypothetically do if huge swaths of their base wanted to overturn an election because it would never happen.
  17. Ha, can't help but notice you had to clarify "adults" because he sowed distrust for vaccines in children. Which makes sense, Republicans don't care if they get mowed down by assault rifles, why protect them from infectious disease? Vaccine disinformation is why counties that vote for Trump has the highest death rates. Its why Trumpy hopefuls like DeSantis held a press conference full of vaccine disinformation. Instead of blaming just Trump, I'm better served to blame the entire Conservative media arm for killing hundreds of thousands of Americans. Wow, you really got me with that one!
  18. Difficult to say. With ideological sorting, my best guess is that moderate candidates like the ones you mentioned would do better with college educated whites, especially men, and worse with the black coalitions of the Democrats. The net gain may not be much, but maybe a few percent? In a hypothetical where the Democratic Party were the ones destroying American Democracy motivated by conspiracy, I'd guess the college educated portions would not tolerate it. It's why individuals with Bachelors Degrees overwhelmingly vote for Democrats in the first place.
  19. Biden can't force the hordes of brainwashed Trumpers to get vaccinated, despite making them free. I mean, the next crazy idiot leader of your party is currently not ordering vaccines for children. Nice try going for the ignorance play though. It's your go to move when confronted with reality. Maybe layoff the hydroquinone or stop injecting bleach, might help you drum up better responses.
  20. Yeah, that graph is referring to the unvaccinated. Who did they vote for? Which party ran a campaign of vaccine distrust? You play the clueless game far to often.
  21. They were referring to voters like you who will vote for Republicans even if they destroy Democracy. Hispanic voters voting for Republicans does not make what Trump said - and what you supported twice with your vote - any less racist and vile. As for your Cheetos handling of Covid, that analysis was reported here. According to the latest data from Johns Hopkins, found here, the US is second in the world in deaths per 100k people. The vast majority of those deaths are among the unvaccinated, as shown in the first link. Comparing it to the Eurozone is difficult, but the average deaths per 100k people in Italy, the UK, Portugal, France, Spain, and Germany would be an average number of deaths: 234 in the Eurozone vs 308 (per 100k) in America, nearly 25% less. Extrapolated out to the 1,000,000 or so people who've died so far, that's 250k more people than Europe.
  22. Yeah, Republicans like you are never going to vote any other way. You'll twist anything to rationalize your vote for the party. When they say "nobody gives a s#!t" they're referring to voters like you who'd rather vote to tear down the 250 year old American experiment of Liberal Democracy rather than let a Democrat win. Now, I get it: when the bloated Cheeto said Mexicans are rapists and murderers you percolated in your seat with excitement. But the last time you voted we ended up with a pandemic that unnecessarily killed 320,000 Americans, so maybe sit the next one out, please?
  23. If you read a few sentences regarding his Jurisprudence, he's absolutely beyond bat s#!t crazy.
  24. This guy is going to win because he has an R next to his name. He's obviously extremely unequipped to handle the job. But Republican voters have absolutely no standards.
  25. I know. Trying to overthrow a democratically elected President is absolutely a NOTHING-burger even with well documented proof and testimony from Republicans and members of Trumps inner circle. Just MOVE ON Liz Cheney. I mean, the Founding Father's wrote the constitution so we could just violate it. DemoRATs are dumb for not doing it first. What about that is so hard for these RINOs to understand. #MAGA #MexicansAreRapistsAndMurderers #injectbleach #stopthesteal Regards, -Trump Voters
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