All of our computer numbers look good (45 KenPom, 52 NET, 37 ESPN BPI) so if we can finish above .500 there's a chance. One win guarantees a winning record.
I did read today that of the 11 conference tournaments that have ended the #1 seed has only won two. That doesn't help NU since the NIT guarantees a slot to any regular season champ that doesn't make the NCAA's because they lost in the conference tournament. Gonzaga will be in, Belmont should be in, but the other seven will end up in the NIT. That leaves 25 spots.