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Courtesy Flush

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Everything posted by Courtesy Flush

  1. I really like this guy. This is an exciting get!
  2. We got Greene and Blaise G. That’s freaking awesome! Add in the other LBs and I think we have a pretty amazing class! This kid would have been a nice addition, but we got our cake and we got to eat it too. GBR! Most importantly these kids didn’t waiver the way KJ did. They want to be a apart of this program and that is exciting!
  3. I was hoping he’d be N, but I’m excited about other recruits too and we’re running out of spots. Sign those letters gents!
  4. I’ve always wondered if Danny Woodhead had walked on how well he would have done. He was so great at Chadron State, and I think he would have done awesome and earned a scholarship in no time. Granted, Billy Callahan May have had other ideas. I’m sure there are parts of the story I don’t know.
  5. I am still in shock. This is amazing. Best Christmas in years.
  6. This picture looks so strange to me. Specifically the head to shoulder ratio of the gentleman circled in red. Maybe it’s time to switch to water...
  7. We know Frost doesn’t like the media involving his family either, so I’m guessing (hoping) this isn’t anyone related to our program.
  8. 100% Miami Vice. - “Hey Tubbs! Where’s Crockett?”
  9. QBR isn’t based on passing stats alone. That’s what makes this a good measure of comparison. It incorporates all of a quarterback's contributions to winning, including how he impacts the game on passes, rushes, turnovers, and penalties. Since QBR is built from the play level, it accounts for a team's level of success or failure on every play to provide the proper context, then allocates credit to the quarterback and his teammates to produce a clearer measure of quarterback efficiency. As I mentioned above, QBR takes into account the entire performance of the QBs game/series of games. During the games, the plays are rarely the same or in the same order. Defensive sets are rarely the same from play to play. Therefore the process is inherently random. Also, we are looking at a snap shot in time of a players performance through these randomly selected circumstances. All meet the criteria for using CLT. You can obtain a confidence interval based on that QBR as a ranking in the same way you would with the percentage of highest recorded responses on a survey. With that established, a t-test can be conducted as well, and you can also identify standard error from play to play. As you probably know, standard error of a statistic is the estimated standard deviation of a sampled distribution. That’s as close as you get with incomplete samples. Three principles at play - CLT, Standard Error and Law of large numbers.
  10. I think I peed a little. This cracked me up. Oh man... too good. I’ll admit it, I drink about as much Koolaid as @Nebfanatic and typically agree with 95% of what he says about the rest of the team. We just disagree about 2AM.
  11. I’ll stand by my out on a limb prediction on this one. I think you’re all going to be pleasantly surprised by Nash in his true freshman year. He’s wicked smart, and obviously a freak physically. He’s going to absorb the coaching like a sponge. Not sure who you’re referring to? Like a thirsty sponge, Coach. Gulp!
  12. You lectured another member about not providing statistics in their argument with you about defensive improvement. I agreed with you and even gave you a “+1”. Now you have the audacity to show up on a superior statistics post and just say no? @Nebfanatic, I’m so disappointed in you. Try again, this time with statistics...
  13. QBR leaders for 2019 according to ESPN - 1. Tagovailoa - 94.4 2. Fields - 93.2 3. Burrow - 92.9 4. Hurts - 92.1 5. Huntley (Utah) - 88.7 6. Morgan (Minn) - 84.3 71. Martinez - 58.2 McCaffery didn’t have enough games to show up on the list, but he did have enough plays (30+) to have 95% confidence that his QBR would have been roughly the same throughout the season. Luke has an 89.2 QBR As with any set of statistics, there is variability and correlation components that need to be taken into consideration. However; Central Limit Theorem, The Law of Large Numbers and Standard Error suggest that Luke’s sample size is enough for a comparison. Therefore: 1. Tagovailoa - 94.4 2. Fields - 93.2 3. Burrow - 92.9 4. Hurts - 92.1 5. McCaffery - 89.2 6. Huntley (Utah) - 88.7 7. Morgan (Minn) - 84.3 72. Martinez - 58.2 Based on inferential statistical analysis, Luke won By a landslide this year (5% error allowed). I’ll leave the eye test arguments to everyone else.
  14. I’ll go out on a limb with predictions: 1. Sevion Morrison will play as freshman, and we will forget about Mo Washington because of it. 2. Marvin Scott will also show us some huge upside, but will only play in 4 games next year. 3. Will Nixon will be the second option behind Wan’Dale. 4. You’re nuts if you don’t think Nash Hutmacher doesn’t make the rotation in every game, or you’re just not paying attention. He’s been on the optimal weight training regime since he was 14. This will be a huge get for this staff. I’m excited to watch Ty and Nash together this next year. 5. Linebacker play will be drastically improved next year so long as the RS freshman stay healthy. (Domann isn’t leaving... that is just as ridiculous as the Wan’Dale rumors) 6. Noa Pola Gates will end up the starter at FS. 7. Cam Taylor-Britt will be an All-American corner. 8. The O-line will reduce sacks allowed by 12 from 2019 to 2020. Going from 28 allowed to 16. 9. The offense will score > 465 points across 12 games, and the defense will allow < 300. 10. We will have 5 additional defensive scores. 11. Fumbles lost will drop from 12 in ‘19 to 7 in ‘20. 12. They finish regular season with 9 wins.
  15. It does, but he’s got 4 for 3. We could bring him in this summer and give him a full season and 4 games experience to adapt to B1G ball. I think this kid has a chance to make a name for himself. If they use him as an OLB with low 4.6 speed... he’s going to eat. Average NFL OLB 40 is 4.65.
  16. My thoughts exactly. His coach said “ "He's improved a ton, but he's still a pup," Forchtner said. "He's got a long way to go and he can improve a ton. And he will. … "He's got a size/speed combo that's pretty rare. He ran a low 4.6-second (range) on the laser (in the 40-yard dash), so that's his strong point," Here is the article I read: https://journalstar.com/sports/huskers/recruiting/huskers-land-a-pair-of-juco-defenders-in-junior-aho/article_bbeddd6a-8563-554c-bc75-e8e272b217ae.html
  17. Hey Eeyore, take your downtrodden analysis back to the Hundred Acre Wood. You’ll be screaming this kids name in 3 years, just like the rest of us.
  18. 4.6 on laser according to coach who contacted Held. That’s exciting if true!
  19. Both Fleck and Frost are great coaches. Why did we beat nearly the same Minnesota team by 4 scores last year? Buying in to a culture mean everything. PJ and Scott would both tell you the same thing. For those seeking instant gratification - get lost. Nobody wants your whining a$$ on the board anyway. This is going to take time.
  20. I was at the Mizzou game in 2009. It was one of my favorite Husker moments of my life. It rained 2.5” during the game. It was crazy. That defense was so good, it overshadowed how bad Lee was. Those were fun years.
  21. It’s wild that they went from the worst in team history in 2007 to the best in 2009.
  22. Year - Rank - Opp points/game 1990 - 14th - 16.0 1991 - 36th - 19.2 1992 - 21st - 16.6 1993 - 13th - 16.2 1994 - 3rd - 12.5 1995 - 4th - 14.5 1996 - 4th - 13.4 1997 - 12th - 16.5 1998 - 12th - 15.8 1999 - 4th - 13.2 2000 - 20th - 19.2 2001 - 10th - 17.4 2002 - 45th - 23.9 2003 - 2nd - 14.5 2004 - 72nd - 27.1 2005 - 25th - 21.0 2006 - 24th - 18.3 2007 - 115th - 37.9 2008 - 81st - 28.5 2009 - 1st - 10.4 2010 - 9th - 17.4 2011 - 42nd - 23.4 2012 - 58th - 27.6 2013 - 50th - 24.8 2014 - 60th - 26.4 2015 - 76th - 27.8 2016 - 34th - 23.9 2017 - 84th - 25.8 2018 - 88th - 31.2 2019 Ytd - 80th - 29.1
  23. I seriously wonder if I just missed all of 2009.
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