I don't agree. The Pac-10 was one "yes" from Texas away from becoming a 16-team conference just four months ago. These expansion talks are entirely driven by money, and the money involved in college football is only going to increase. I don't see expansion being done, not by a long shot.
Missouri wants to leave the Big 12 and has been very public about it. Texas A&M was adamant that they get paid in full what they have been promised or they're walking - and it doesn't look like they're going to get the money they were promised. If the TV contract that's allegedly going to be renegotiated with FOX next year either isn't renegotiated (it currently runs through 2012) or the proposal is less than expected (and I can't imagine it will be what Beebe thinks it'll be), you're going to have major unrest from every Big 12 school. Suddenly to continue relevance they're going to have to expand - or they're going to have to disband and seek their separate fortunes in other conferences.
The Big 10 has already expressed interest in Texas. Heck, EVERY conference wants the money Texas brings. If the Big 12 poaches schools from some other conference (like C-USA or more likely the MWC or MAC), the remaining schools in those conferences will start to look around to replace losses or disband.
There are about a dozen scenarios where we can see the dominoes start to fall. Any one of them could be the trigger that leads to Armageddon.
Couldn't agree more. There are way too many scenario's that will cause the demise. A&M not getting their money and going to the SEC is a definite possibility unless UT and OU succumb and give up even more - which in turn pushes them to consider the PAC 10 again.
I also wouldn't rule out Missouri getting an invite down the road from the Big 10. I know they don't bring what some Big East schools might BUT their location and their outright proclamations to the Big 10 that they would accept certainly can't be overlooked by the Big 10. Honestly I would love this scenario because I would love to continue to see the Huskers pound them Tigers every year!