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Dr. Strangelove

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Everything posted by Dr. Strangelove

  1. Because they faced Obama who ran on a considerably less progressive policy goals.
  2. I understand that being grifted into voting for Trump twice had caused you to undergo bizarre, reality altering views of the world in order to reconcile your support for embarrassing morons who hate America and also happen to be anti-democracy criminals. But my God, posting RFK Jr. videos after Trump is facing 14 criminal indictments for interfering in Georgia's election and in federal elections. The cases are ongoing... and guess who's fault it is? VOTERS LIKE YOU for supporting him. We need to collectively stop coddling these voters who live in rural states and collectively place proper blame that they've given rise to Trump. These people need to be regarded with mocking and derision.
  3. This isn't really true. The problem with MAGA candidates without Trump is that the horde of morons refuse to trust any non-Trump candidate. MAGA is convinced Trump is their savior. Any non-Trump candidate is one Q-anon post away from being labeled a pedophile and a RINO. DeSantis entire candidacy revolved around the word "woke" and losing a PR battle with Disney, and this was a terrible candidate. If you wanted to dominate elections, my advice would be to first not vote for embarrassing candidates like Trump in 2016 and 2020. If you continue to participate in politics - which you have no business doing and should avoid at all costs - nominate normal candidates. If Republicans nominated Mitt Romney types for all their races, they would control the Presidency, House, and probably 57 Senate seats. Republicans play politics on easy mode but they punch themselves in the face repeatedly.
  4. Yes, Republicans are excellent stewards of financial prudence and have very little responsibility for this. In all seriousness, it's impossible to fix. I'm genuinely in awe of this being a repeated worry on the Right when their "fix" is meaningless spending cuts and massive regressive tax policy.
  5. At least of trends continue as they were from 2012->2016->2020. Political realignment on education has caused former swing states like Iowa, Ohio and Florida to no longer be competitive. It seems that, unless something drastic happens, other states like Wisconsin will soon be as competitive as Iowa. The question is when Wisconsin crossesover to "unwinnable". It may be there now, but certainly by 2028 is going to be a hard state for Democrats to win. I think it's a pretty well known phenomenon that Americans are moving to a small handful of cities, mostly in the south. Cities like Atlanta, Phoenix, and huge swaths of Texas are exploding. As a result, they are turning the partisan lean of those states Blue. The question is if the red tilt of the states in the upper Midwest is happening faster than the blue tilt in the south.
  6. The problem is those swing states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada - are increasing their Republican tilt. They were more Republican in 2020 than they were in 2016, and they'll be even more Republican in 2024 than they were in 2020. Trump isn't going to win over many Biden voters, but he will handedly win low propensity disaffected voters. Combine that with an enthusiasm advantage - Biden has massive enthusiasm problems - and I see it being very difficult for him to win enough swing states to win an Electoral College victory.
  7. This seems so extremely unlikely. I'm really trying to figure out how and why people think Joe Biden is going to win. It seems to me that there's a decent chance that the electoral college bias is so strongly against Democrats that it may not be possible for them to win. Joe Biden will probably need to win the national popular vote by nearly 5% to win the electoral college, which is a margin that may not be possible given how deeply polarized the electorate it and how impossible it is to sway political opinions. It seems likely that we're heading towards a 2016 environment where Biden wins the popular vote by ~2.5-3%, leading to a decisive electoral college loss. There's a reason Trump's electoral strategy isn't even trying to sway opinion - they don't need to. They need to drum up the base to turn out and cruise to victory because they have tremendous built in advantages.
  8. It's a fair question, and @Moiraine gave a good answer. Identifying genocide in real time is difficult. But signs of actual genocide are: using state resources to systematically round up all members of a minority group, state resources to indiscriminately kill that minority group, and propaganda messaging that says the aforementioned minority group needs to be annihilated. Employing a poor military strategy that gets civilians killed is not the same thing.
  9. If Trump wins, Democrats need to let this sort of policy through with no opposition. Democrats need to stop protecting Republican voters from their own catastrophic policy desires.
  10. Literally that they think they'll win in November and they can secure larger Business Tax Breaks and that they don't want to hand Biden a "victory" before the election.
  11. The thing that makes me angry about these morons throwing the word genocide around is that it deeply devalues history and the important lessons to be learned from actual genocide in the past. Genocide as a word losses it's meaning the more tik tok activist theater throws it around when civilians are killed in war.
  12. Spending the 1990s sexually assaulting numerous women makes one have a pro-choice stance, who knew! If you think that the average Republican voter cares about America being a guardian of Democracy, I have penthouse in Pyongyang to sell you. These voters stupid behind saving and believe our Democracy is rigged. There is truly no hope for these people.
  13. If they have a referral bonus - a bigger stake in the commune or something - let me know.
  14. I'm always tickled when ardent right wing supporters unknowingly embrace left wing ideas.
  15. This is wild to have sustained unemployment rates sub 4% for the first time in 60 years considering the job killing, America hating, economic catastrophe inducing economic policies of the President.
  16. I mean, firstly, I don't live in constant fear. I do think that people on the left - or young people having extreme fear over climate change - is a problem because the effect on people isn't going to lead to the extinction of humanity or anything like that. It's going to cause deaths, sure, but in the form of increased natural disasters which will predominately affect poor people in 3rd world countries who nobody cares about. Climate change is going to affect life in all kinds of ways - it already has. Increasing insurance rates - making states like Florida increasingly uninsurable - weather patterns changing causing agricultural economies to change, etc. All of these things cost money. The issue we're facing now is that these changes are happening MUCH faster than previously expected and are costing A LOT more money than previously thought. You have a fundamental misunderstanding of how I view climate change - it's not the loss of life I worry about; I do not care about people that much. It's the political instability rapidly shifting economics are going to cause. If you think our politics are toxic now, wait until homeowners insurance premiums increase massively by the end of the decade. And that will be just the start.
  17. Kind of insane if you consider the unfriendly business and tax increases (not to mention America hating) policies passed in the Inflation Reduction Act.
  18. While I don't think anybody disagrees with this, I do think this is an extremely simple view. I'd be curious to see any studies that control for poverty levels, working hours of the mother figure, and what school districts these kids come from. Fortunately the rates of single parent households has fallen after peaking in 2005. Although I don't think it's because we've gotten better at helping these families, it's more in line with decreasing birthrates and decreasing marriage rates overall. I'm not sure what pro-family policies will actually work to address the above problems.
  19. Nothing says Law and Order like being charged with 88 felonies and being found liable for sexual assault. This guy is going to win because his constituency are complete morons.
  20. Pretty good considering the job killing, capital sucking, and manufacturing ending Economic Policies of the President.
  21. The ocean temperature in the North Atlantic has set a record high every day in 2024. And not by small margins. I never said that. What I said was that the planet warming has far surpassed worse case scenarios, predictions made by scientists years ago. No scientific projections predicted ocean temperatures where they are today - hence the meaning of passing even the worst scenarios because that's true. I say that because reactionary politics of people on the right are in large part because of paranoia and fear. Archy1221 and other right wingers deny climate change because denying reality is comforting to them. Because the truth scares them, and they'd have to reconcile support for destructive politics.
  22. Don't switch parties, stop participating in politics. Spend time with your family, pick up a new hobby, whatever it is stop spending time on politics and worse taking that time you've spent cultivating political opinions to the voting booth. You don't understand the world around you, and that's okay. It's a big scary place, and reactionary and angry politics that you vote for isn't the answer. I get it man, but for the sake of everybody, disengage all together.
  23. Please, for the love of God, stop voting. You are entirely unequipped for it. If you think that legislation like the Inflation Reduction Act - which fully paid for climate investments in the bill and has actively raised more money than it has spent on climate tax credits - has or will bankrupted the country... well, honestly that actually tracks with voters like you. So completely hopeless and disconnected from reality that our only hope is to keep people like this disconnected from politics all together.
  24. You make a lot of good points, in a lot of ways Democrats are doomed because of the stupidity running rampant across rural America. My advice to them would be to continue to push for and campaign on what has made them successful: labor movements, taxing the wealthy to support welfare programs, and to push for popular job creating economy policies. Joe Biden has done most of this but instead of taking credit for the largest manufacturing investment boom in decades, they have to put out a press release saying they're going to fight a pride flag ban at embassies. Republicans are dragging them down into the mud needlessly.
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