kchusker_chris Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 Just some hypotheticals - and because Rivals is slow updating the team rankings We're currently sitting at 1056 (#30). With Moore (#24) -- 1188 With Valentine (#24) -- 1256 With Peat (#19) -- 1497 Quote Link to comment
huskerhill Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 How did you figure out the point values of each recruit? Quote Link to comment
Warrior10 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 As of 10AM we are #6 in the Big Ten...... Quote Link to comment
kchusker_chris Posted February 1, 2012 Author Share Posted February 1, 2012 How did you figure out the point values of each recruit? coded out the formula (i have it from a couple seasons ago) - plugged in this years guys, plugged in our hopefuls in order of my personal confidence, and boom...rivals points. Quote Link to comment
kchusker_chris Posted February 1, 2012 Author Share Posted February 1, 2012 As of 10AM we are #6 in the Big Ten...... Not sure where you're at - I'm at Rivals and we are #3 with no hope of sniffing #2...but little chance of ending up #4. Quote Link to comment
huskerhill Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 How did you figure out the point values of each recruit? coded out the formula (i have it from a couple seasons ago) - plugged in this years guys, plugged in our hopefuls in order of my personal confidence, and boom...rivals points. That my friend, is very impressive. Good luck trying crack 247's formula Quote Link to comment
Warrior10 Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 As of 10AM we are #6 in the Big Ten...... Not sure where you're at - I'm at Rivals and we are #3 with no hope of sniffing #2...but little chance of ending up #4. Was watching ESPNU and they had us at #6 but I like your numbers more! Quote Link to comment
kchusker_chris Posted February 1, 2012 Author Share Posted February 1, 2012 How did you figure out the point values of each recruit? coded out the formula (i have it from a couple seasons ago) - plugged in this years guys, plugged in our hopefuls in order of my personal confidence, and boom...rivals points. That my friend, is very impressive. Good luck trying crack 247's formula The Formula where c is a specific team's total number of commits and Rn is the 247Rating of the nth-best commit Explanation Each recruit is weighted in the rankings according to a Gaussian distribution formula (a bell curve), where a team's best recruit is worth the most points. You can think of a team's point score as being the sum of ratings of all the team's commits where the best recruit is worth 100% of his rating value, the second best recruit is worth nearly 100% of his rating value, down to the last recruit who is worth a small fraction of his rating value. This formula ensures that all commits contribute at least some value to the team's score without heavily rewarding teams that have several more commitments than others. Readers familiar with the Gaussian distribution formula will note that we used the value 6 for σ because this was the standard deviation for total number of commits between schools as they were ranked during the 2011 recruitment year, the year this formula was developed. This standard deviation creates a bell curve with an inflection point near the average number of players recruited per team. Below is a graphical representation of how our formula works. You can see that the area under the curve gets smaller both as the rating for a commit decreases and as the number of total commits for a school increases. The y-axis in this graph represents the percentage weight of the score that gets applied to an overall team ranking. 1 Quote Link to comment
husker B-rent Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 As of 10AM we are #6 in the Big Ten...... Not sure where you're at - I'm at Rivals and we are #3 with no hope of sniffing #2...but little chance of ending up #4. he is on espn-which means he is in a sh#t hole world. Quote Link to comment
HuskerShark Posted February 1, 2012 Share Posted February 1, 2012 How did you figure out the point values of each recruit? coded out the formula (i have it from a couple seasons ago) - plugged in this years guys, plugged in our hopefuls in order of my personal confidence, and boom...rivals points. That my friend, is very impressive. Good luck trying crack 247's formula The Formula where c is a specific team's total number of commits and Rn is the 247Rating of the nth-best commit Explanation Each recruit is weighted in the rankings according to a Gaussian distribution formula (a bell curve), where a team's best recruit is worth the most points. You can think of a team's point score as being the sum of ratings of all the team's commits where the best recruit is worth 100% of his rating value, the second best recruit is worth nearly 100% of his rating value, down to the last recruit who is worth a small fraction of his rating value. This formula ensures that all commits contribute at least some value to the team's score without heavily rewarding teams that have several more commitments than others. Readers familiar with the Gaussian distribution formula will note that we used the value 6 for σ because this was the standard deviation for total number of commits between schools as they were ranked during the 2011 recruitment year, the year this formula was developed. This standard deviation creates a bell curve with an inflection point near the average number of players recruited per team. Below is a graphical representation of how our formula works. You can see that the area under the curve gets smaller both as the rating for a commit decreases and as the number of total commits for a school increases. The y-axis in this graph represents the percentage weight of the score that gets applied to an overall team ranking. Quote Link to comment
Nexus Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Rivals Avg. Star Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State = 25 (3.72) 2. Michigan = 25 (3.56) 3. Nebraska = 17 (3.35) 4. Michigan State = 17 (3.12) 5. Wisconsin = 12 (3.08) 6. Purdue = 25 (3.00) 7. Iowa = 24 (2.96) 8. Penn State = 19 (2.79) 9. Northwestern = 21 (2.76) 10. Illinois = 19 (2.74) 11. Indiana = 25 (2.72) 12. Minnesota = 27 (2.70) Scout Avg. Star Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State (3.76) 2. Michigan (3.64) T3. Michigan State (3.17) T3. Wisconsin (3.17) 5. Nebraska (3.00) 6. Penn State (2.95) 7. Northwestern (2.76) 8. Illinois (2.67) 9. Iowa (2.62) 10. Purdue (2.60) 11. Indiana (2.60) 12. Minnesota (2.33) 24/7 Avg. Team Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State (90.76) 2. Michigan (90.48) 3. Nebraska (87.76) 4. Michigan State (86.11) 5. Wisconsin (86.00) 6. Penn State (84.68) 7. Iowa (83.28) 8. Northwestern (81.62) 9. Indiana (81.36) 10. Purdue (81.23) 11. Illinois (80.44) 12. Minnesota (80.15) ESPN Avg. Team Rankings in B1G N/A Quote Link to comment
Nexus Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Here is Nebraska's avg. star ranking for 2012. 24/7 = 18th Rivals = 20th Scout = 30th ESPN = N/A Quote Link to comment
PaulCrewe Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Just futher proof that Scout couldn't evaluate the chances of a square peg fitting into a round hole. Quote Link to comment
robsker Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Rivals Avg. Star Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State = 25 (3.72) 2. Michigan = 25 (3.56) 3. Nebraska = 17 (3.35) 4. Michigan State = 17 (3.12) 5. Wisconsin = 12 (3.08) 6. Purdue = 25 (3.00) 7. Iowa = 24 (2.96) 8. Penn State = 19 (2.79) 9. Northwestern = 21 (2.76) 10. Illinois = 19 (2.74) 11. Indiana = 25 (2.72) 12. Minnesota = 27 (2.70) Scout Avg. Star Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State (3.76) 2. Michigan (3.64) T3. Michigan State (3.17) T3. Wisconsin (3.17) 5. Nebraska (3.00) 6. Penn State (2.95) 7. Northwestern (2.76) 8. Illinois (2.67) 9. Iowa (2.62) 10. Purdue (2.60) 11. Indiana (2.60) 12. Minnesota (2.33) 24/7 Avg. Team Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State (90.76) 2. Michigan (90.48) 3. Nebraska (87.76) 4. Michigan State (86.11) 5. Wisconsin (86.00) 6. Penn State (84.68) 7. Iowa (83.28) 8. Northwestern (81.62) 9. Indiana (81.36) 10. Purdue (81.23) 11. Illinois (80.44) 12. Minnesota (80.15) ESPN Avg. Team Rankings in B1G N/A Nexus... thanks for putting that together for us. Quote Link to comment
bshirt Posted February 2, 2012 Share Posted February 2, 2012 Rivals Avg. Star Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State = 25 (3.72) 2. Michigan = 25 (3.56) 3. Nebraska = 17 (3.35) 4. Michigan State = 17 (3.12) 5. Wisconsin = 12 (3.08) 6. Purdue = 25 (3.00) 7. Iowa = 24 (2.96) 8. Penn State = 19 (2.79) 9. Northwestern = 21 (2.76) 10. Illinois = 19 (2.74) 11. Indiana = 25 (2.72) 12. Minnesota = 27 (2.70) Scout Avg. Star Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State (3.76) 2. Michigan (3.64) T3. Michigan State (3.17) T3. Wisconsin (3.17) 5. Nebraska (3.00) 6. Penn State (2.95) 7. Northwestern (2.76) 8. Illinois (2.67) 9. Iowa (2.62) 10. Purdue (2.60) 11. Indiana (2.60) 12. Minnesota (2.33) 24/7 Avg. Team Rankings in B1G 1. Ohio State (90.76) 2. Michigan (90.48) 3. Nebraska (87.76) 4. Michigan State (86.11) 5. Wisconsin (86.00) 6. Penn State (84.68) 7. Iowa (83.28) 8. Northwestern (81.62) 9. Indiana (81.36) 10. Purdue (81.23) 11. Illinois (80.44) 12. Minnesota (80.15) ESPN Avg. Team Rankings in B1G N/A Well done my kind sir. Thank you! Quote Link to comment
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