beorach Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 I'm taking all the stats for nine categories from all the games played this season between FBS teams. I'm calculating z-scores and turning them into percentiles for individual stats within those categories and then averaging all those to come up with rankings (based on the average percentile ranking for the stats within those categories). No adjustment has been made for strength of schedule (SOS). Let's start with all the Nebraska stats in these nine categories (with the number on the right being the percentile, relative to the national average for that statistic): Pass D stats completions per game 27 percentage 13 yards per attempt 55 touchdowns per game 53 rating 40 yards per game 54 Pass O stats completions per game 75 percentage 50 yards per attempt 57 touchdowns per game 69 rating 52 yards per game 81 Rush D stats yards per carry 9 touchdowns per game 14 yards per game 21 Rush O stats yards per carry 17 touchdowns per game 24 yards per game 14 Scoring D stats touchdowns per game 16 points per game 18 Scoring O stats touchdowns per game 44 points per game 44 Total D stats yards per play 23 yards per game 31 plays per game 58 Total O stats yards per play 50 yards per game 48 plays per game 46 Turnover Margin stats fumbles gained per game 9 interceptions gained per game 46 turnovers gained per game 19 fumbles lost per game 94 interceptions lost per game 11 turnovers lost per game 54 turnover margin per game 30 Average % for all these stats 39 Here is how we measure up, in terms of statistics, within our conference (considering all games played vs. FBS teams, not just conference ones like I sometimes do): PD 1 Michigan 2 Wisconsin 3 Ohio State 4 Michigan State 5 Minnesota 6 Iowa 7 Penn State 8 Indiana 9 Purdue 10 Illinois 11 Maryland 12 Rutgers 13 Northwestern 14 Nebraska PO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Nebraska 4 Wisconsin 5 Indiana 6 Purdue 7 Northwestern 8 Iowa 9 Michigan State 10 Michigan 11 Maryland 12 Illinois 13 Minnesota 14 Rutgers RD 1 Wisconsin 2 Ohio State 3 Northwestern 4 Penn State 5 Michigan State 6 Michigan 7 Purdue 8 Iowa 9 Indiana 10 Minnesota 11 Rutgers 12 Maryland 13 Illinois 14 Nebraska RO 1 Ohio State 2 Wisconsin 3 Michigan 4 Penn State 5 Minnesota 6 Northwestern 7 Michigan State 8 Maryland 9 Rutgers 10 Purdue 11 Nebraska 12 Indiana 13 Iowa 14 Illinois SD 1 Wisconsin 2 Penn State 3 Michigan 4 Purdue 5 Iowa 6 Ohio State 7 Michigan State 8 Northwestern 9 Minnesota 10 Indiana 11 Rutgers 12 Illinois 13 Nebraska 14 Maryland SO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Wisconsin 4 Northwestern 5 Nebraska 6 Indiana 7 Iowa 8 Michigan 9 Minnesota 10 Purdue 11 Maryland 12 Michigan State 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers TD 1 Wisconsin 2 Michigan 3 Ohio State 4 Michigan State 5 Minnesota 6 Penn State 7 Indiana 8 Purdue 9 Iowa 10 Northwestern 11 Rutgers 12 Illinois 13 Maryland 14 Nebraska TO 1 Ohio State 2 Penn State 3 Northwestern 4 Wisconsin 5 Indiana 6 Nebraska 7 Purdue 8 Michigan State 9 Michigan 10 Iowa 11 Minnesota 12 Maryland 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers Turnovers 1 Penn State 2 Purdue 3 Wisconsin 4 Northwestern 5 Maryland 6 Ohio State 7 Iowa 8 Minnesota 9 Michigan 10 Michigan State 11 Nebraska 12 Indiana 13 Illinois 14 Rutgers The average Nebraska ranking, for all the categories above, is effectively 10th (but, as you can see below, Minnesota gets the official nod for that slot). I guess that says something about our offense, given how poor the defensive numbers are. The season could have been even worse? Here are the overall rankings for the B1G stats (based on the average of all the category averages): 1 Ohio State 87.67 2 Wisconsin 82.09 3 Penn State 81.17 4 Michigan 64.03 5 Northwestern 60.82 6 Purdue 57.90 7 Michigan State 57.29 8 Iowa 51.89 9 Indiana 51.70 10 Minnesota 48.71 11 Nebraska 35.29 12 Maryland 29.73 13 Rutgers 25.54 14 Illinois 25.06 The number on the right is calculated by taking the average of all the averages for the individual categories. In other words, I average all the stats I listed above for NU for each B1G team by category and then average those averages to get the overall ranking. I'm almost certainly laboring the point now. The average % I shared for NU up top was a straight percentage of all, regardless of category, in contrast to what I've done for the B1G rankings. Here are the national rankings, per this method of averaging category averages, considering all games between FBS teams, and not adjusting for SOS: 1 Alabama 89.59 2 Ohio State 87.67 3 Auburn 86.12 4 UCF 84.76 5 Wisconsin 82.09 6 South Florida 81.74 7 Penn State 81.17 8 Georgia 79.68 9 Clemson 78.50 10 Washington 77.25 11 Oklahoma 73.93 12 Miami (Florida) 73.49 13 Virginia Tech 73.40 14 Notre Dame 72.32 15 TCU 71.32 16 Boise State 70.68 17 San Diego State 69.84 18 Washington State 69.45 19 Toledo 67.67 20 Mississippi State 66.68 21 USC 66.23 22 Oklahoma State 65.62 23 LSU 65.41 24 Louisville 64.80 25 UTSA 64.44 26 Texas 64.38 27 Michigan 64.03 28 Southern Mississippi 63.98 29 Arkansas State 63.13 30 Northern Illinois 62.64 31 Stanford 62.50 32 Florida Atlantic 62.31 33 Memphis 61.36 34 Northwestern 60.82 35 Fresno State 60.58 36 North Carolina State 60.04 37 Troy 59.42 38 Ohio 58.86 39 Iowa State 58.44 40 Appalachian State 58.15 41 Colorado State 57.96 42 Purdue 57.90 43 Marshall 57.88 44 Houston 57.44 45 Missouri 57.44 46 Michigan State 57.29 47 Wake Forest 56.97 48 Oregon 56.70 49 Texas A&M 56.03 50 Western Michigan 55.49 51 Georgia Tech 55.48 52 Army 55.40 53 Massachusetts 55.38 54 Utah 54.15 55 UAB 54.09 56 Central Michigan 53.52 57 South Carolina 53.33 58 Eastern Michigan 53.28 59 Western Kentucky 52.70 60 West Virginia 52.04 61 Iowa 51.89 62 Wyoming 51.85 63 Indiana 51.70 64 Navy 51.67 65 Boston College 51.29 66 Texas Tech 51.11 67 Duke 50.90 68 Arizona 50.71 69 SMU 50.05 70 Miami (Ohio) 49.61 71 Georgia State 49.15 72 Arizona State 49.08 73 Buffalo 48.95 74 Kansas State 48.78 75 Minnesota 48.71 76 North Texas 48.32 77 Louisiana Tech 48.30 78 Utah State 48.22 79 Virginia 48.11 80 New Mexico State 47.25 81 Middle Tennessee 47.11 82 Florida 46.37 83 UNLV 45.18 84 Pittsburgh 43.50 85 Colorado 43.10 86 UCLA 43.07 87 Mississippi 42.46 88 Louisiana-Monroe 42.26 89 California 42.24 90 Tulane 41.87 91 Kentucky 40.80 92 Air Force 40.38 93 Temple 38.97 94 Idaho 38.81 95 Florida State 38.34 96 Louisiana-Lafayette 37.48 97 Tulsa 37.36 98 Florida International 35.44 99 Syracuse 35.35 100 Nebraska 35.29 101 Nevada 34.15 102 Hawai'i 32.36 103 Coastal Carolina 32.34 104 New Mexico 31.82 105 Arkansas 31.51 106 BYU 31.50 107 Akron 31.02 108 South Alabama 30.56 109 Tennessee 29.91 110 Baylor 29.87 111 Maryland 29.73 112 North Carolina 29.53 113 Georgia Southern 29.10 114 Texas State 28.51 115 East Carolina 27.89 116 Cincinnati 27.80 117 Old Dominion 27.79 118 Bowling Green 26.53 119 Vanderbilt 25.68 120 Connecticut 25.64 121 Rutgers 25.54 122 Illinois 25.06 123 Rice 20.38 124 Charlotte 19.49 125 Ball State 18.98 126 Kent State 18.54 127 Oregon State 18.16 128 Kansas 13.93 129 UTEP 13.73 130 San Jose State 7.84 We're consistent in that we've retained the 100th spot we were at ahead of the Penn State game. I'm looking forward to the UCF-South Florida game this Friday. Lastly, I figured I'd share the yards per carry given up by the Blackshirts going back to 2008 (because that's how far back cfbstats.com allows me to go and filter out games versus lower division teams): 2017 - 5.44 2016 - 4.44 2015 - 3.77 2014 - 4.82 2013 - 3.61 2012 - 4.96 2011 - 4.13 2010 - 3.90 2009 - 2.78 2008 - 3.67 Only six teams have posted a stat below 3 this season. 42 teams (including the aforementioned six) have posted a stat below 4. Get well, Big Red! 1 Quote Link to comment
Nebfanatic Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 Wow our defense is really bad! And our offense is really average except we would probably fair alot better if our strength was rushing instead of passing 1 Quote Link to comment
TGHusker Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 We are officially in the bottom 3rd of the conference. Get Well Big Red Indeed. 1 Quote Link to comment
MichiganDad3 Posted November 20, 2017 Share Posted November 20, 2017 The offensive stats, passing and scoring, are misleading. We have been getting most of our production against the oppositions 2nd and 3rd string after the game is out of hand. It is remarkably similar to Billy C's last year. The stats don't show it, but our offense is just as pathetic as our defense. 3 Quote Link to comment
beorach Posted November 20, 2017 Author Share Posted November 20, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, MichiganDad3 said: The offensive stats, passing and scoring, are misleading. We have been getting most of our production against the oppositions 2nd and 3rd string after the game is out of hand. It is remarkably similar to Billy C's last year. The stats don't show it, but our offense is just as pathetic as our defense. I was thinking the same. I have generally been commenting on how our stats in the passing defense category have been inflated by how many teams choose to simply run on us but, with those both having bottomed out, the new head-scratcher is our having a "good" passing offense. We have to do something with all those possessions after our opponents kick off. p.s. - The other misleading stat is the one for 2015 rushing yards per carry. Opponents chose to throw on the NU defense that season. Edited November 20, 2017 by beorach Quote Link to comment
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