Bama has zero quality wins and a paddycake non-con schedule. Oregon, Oklahoma, Baylor, Minnesota (ugh), and Utah should all get in above Bama if they win out. A 1-loss conference champ should get precedence over a 1-loss team that won't even play in their CCG, will have only 1 quality win (assuming they beat Auburn), and has to play 1 less conference game in the regular season.
LSU on the other hand played Texas in non-con, and had a couple quality wins already. Had they lost, I'd have a hard time saying the same given their body of work.