I wouldn't touch this line.
We're going into the game with a short week, Illinois is coming off of a bye. I expect Illinois to sell out to stop the run. If they're successful, then we are going to have to rely on Lee to make plays with his arm. If Lee continues to hang around a 50% completion percentage and continues to throw the ball to the other team, then they're going to stay in the game - they may even win the damn thing.