bbeerma2 Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Statistics vs. other MNC contenders as of Oct. 10th Nebraska Scoring: 41.6 Points per Game Points Allowed: 12.8 Points per Game Difference: 28.8 Points per Game Rushing: 7.7 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 3.7 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 4.4) Passing: 9.8 Yards Per Attempt (61%) Pass Defense: 4.7 Yards Per Attempt (50%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 58.5%) TD Throws: 4 Interceptions Thrown: 3 Fumbles Lost: 6 Interceptions: 11 Fumble Recoveries: 2 Takeaways: 13 Giveaways: 9 Margin: +4 3rd Down Conversion: 45.2% Returns: 16.8 Yards per Return Returns Against: 19.7 Yards per Return Alabama Scoring: 35 Points per Game Points Allowed: 13.3 Points per Game Difference: 21.7 Points per Game Rushing: 5.4 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 3.3 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.92) Passing: 9.3 Yards Per Attempt (70%) Pass Defense: 6.4 Yards Per Attempt (54.4%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 62%) TD Throws: 11 Interceptions Thrown: 3 Fumbles Lost: 5 Interceptions: 12 Fumble Recoveries: 2 Takeaways: 17 Giveaways: 8 Margin: +9 3rd Down Conversion: 46.7% Returns: 21 Yards per Return Returns Against: 20.4 Yards per Return Ohio State Scoring: 43.2 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 13.5 Points Per Game Difference: 29.7 Points Per Game Rushing: 5.3 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 2.7 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.9) Passing: 8.6 Yards Per Attempt (67%) Pass Defense: 7.3 Yards Per Attempt (54%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 59%) TD Throws: 17 Interceptions Thrown: 5 Fumbles Lost: 3 Interceptions: 11 Fumble Recoveries: 10 Takeaways: 8 Giveaways: 21 Margin: +13 3rd Down Conversion: 38.3% Returns: 15.5 Yards per Return Returns Against: 20.7 Yards per Return Oregon Scoring: 54.3 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 16.3 Points Per Game Difference: 38 Points Per Game Rushing: 6.5 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 3.5 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.8) Passing: 8.4 Yards Per Attempt (61%) Pass Defense: 5.6 Yards Per Attempt (54%)(D1 Opponents Averaging 57%) TD Throws: 15 Interceptions Thrown: 5 Fumbles Lost: 8 Interceptions: 12 Fumble Recoveries: 10 Takeaways: 22 Giveaways: 13 Margin: +9 3rd Down Conversion: 48.2% Returns: 20.2 Yards per Return Returns Against: 16.5 Yards per Return Boise State Scoring: 47.4 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 14.8 Points Per Game Difference: 32.6 Points Per Game Rushing: 5.8 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 2.1 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.6) Passing: 10.3 Yards Per Attempt (69%) Pass Defense: 6.8 Yards Per Attempt (57%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 58%) TD Throws: 16 Interceptions Thrown: 1 Fumbles Lost: 4 Interceptions: 5 Fumble Recoveries: 7 Takeaways: 12 Giveaways: 5 Margin: +7 3rd Down Conversion: 46.6% Returns: 17.3 Yards per Return Returns Against: 21.1 Yards per Return TCU Scoring: 41.6 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 10.3 Points Per Game Difference: 31.3 Points Per Game Rushing: 5.9 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 3.3 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.8) Passing: 8.6 Yards Per Attempt (67%) Pass Defense: 5.33 Yards Per Attempt (51%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 61%) TD Throws: 9 Interceptions Thrown: 4 Fumbles Lost: 1 Interceptions: 2 Fumble Recoveries: 7 Takeaways: 9 Giveaways: 5 Margin: +4 3rd Down Conversion: 53.7% Returns: 20.4 Yards per Return Returns Against: 17.5 Yards per Return Utah Scoring: 49 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 15.6 Points Per Game Difference: 33.4 Points Per Game Rushing: 5.5 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 2.9 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.5) Passing: 9 Yards Per Attempt (71%) Pass Defense: 5.7 Yards Per Attempt (51%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 57%) TD Throws: 13 Interceptions Thrown: 2 Fumbles Lost: 8 Interceptions: 4 Fumble Recoveries: 2 Takeaways: 6 Giveaways: 10 Margin: -4 3rd Down Conversion: 53.2% Returns: 26.5 Yards per Return Returns Against: 18.7 Yards per Return LSU Scoring: 25.8 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 15.1 Points Per Game Difference: 10.7 Points Per Game Rushing: 4.7 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 2.4 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 4.1) Passing: 6.4 Yards Per Attempt (58%) Pass Defense: 6.4 Yards Per Attempt (56%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 61%) TD Throws: 4 Interceptions Thrown: 8 Fumbles Lost: 7 Interceptions: 8 Fumble Recoveries: 6 Takeaways: 14 Giveaways: 15 Margin: -1 3rd Down Conversion: 43% Returns: 19.3 Yards per Return Returns Against: 18 Yards per Return Auburn Scoring: 36.6 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 21.3 Points Per Game Difference: 15.3 Points Per Game Rushing: 5.8 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 2.8 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 4.3) Passing: 10.6 Yards Per Attempt (65%) Pass Defense: 6.6 Yards Per Attempt (65%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 61%) TD Throws: 12 Interceptions Thrown: 5 Fumbles Lost: 6 Interceptions: 4 Fumble Recoveries: 7 Takeaways: 11 Giveaways: 11 Margin: Even 3rd Down Conversion: 47% Returns: 17 Yards per Return Returns Against: 19.5 Yards per Return Oklahoma Scoring: 32.8 Points Per Game Points Allowed: 22.8 Points Per Game Difference: 10 Points Per Game Rushing: 4.6 Yards per Attempt Rush Defense: 2.9 Yards per Attempt (D1 Opponents Averaging 3.8) Passing: 8.7 Yards Per Attempt (69%) Pass Defense: 6.3 Yards Per Attempt (62%) (D1 Opponents Averaging 59%) TD Throws: 20 Interceptions Thrown: 7 Fumbles Lost: 4 Interceptions: 8 Fumble Recoveries: 8 Takeaways: 16 Giveaways: 11 Margin: +5 3rd Down Conversion: 46.1% Returns: 20.3 Yards per Return Returns Against: 28.2 Yards per Return Things to Notice: The Margins of Victory are all in the upper 20s or 30s for the teams we consider to be top contenders. We are near the bottom in margin of victory for the top contenders. Our 17-3 victory the other week is solely to blame for this. This is 2.9 of our average, when it could have been as high as the 7 from Thursday's game. We lost 4 points here which would have put us squarely up there with the top contenders in margin of victory. The last SEC contenders (LSU and Auburn) show an abysmal margin of victory, much worse than Alabama and therefore susceptible to losses later in this season. Auburn's Pass Defense is atrocious (allowing better efficiency than their opponent's average). LSU's defense looks a little scary, but the luck they have been granted to date and their poor margin of victory don't make me worry terribly much that they will win out. Oklahoma (for the CCG) has a pretty terrible margin of victory and horrible rushing statistics. I'm more worried about Oklahoma State. They are week in pass defense and defending returns, but they are fairly solid in other areas. I am home alone today, the wife and kid won't be around until 8 P.M. and needed a break from work so I decided to relax by crunching some numbers including this week's statistics to see how we rank compared to other MNC contenders. The above is the result. Quote Link to comment
Haspula Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Thanks for posting. I'm really tired of people saying big 12 has overrated teams when Nebraska stacks up really well, in fact better than other SEC teams. Quote Link to comment
kansas husker Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 very detailed thank you, I did think our turnover margin would be better. Quote Link to comment
RedDenver Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Too bad you can't put that into a table and make it easier to compare. However Sagarin ranks NU's schedule far behind everyone else in the top 10 right now. NU has a rank of 76 while the next lowest is 56 by TCU. link Oops, that's the worst out of Sagarin's top 10. Ohio St. has a 117 and Utah has a 137 schedule rank. Quote Link to comment
bbeerma2 Posted October 10, 2010 Author Share Posted October 10, 2010 Too bad you can't put that into a table and make it easier to compare. However Sagarin ranks NU's schedule far behind everyone else in the top 10 right now. NU has a rank of 76 while the next lowest is 56 by TCU. link Oops, that's the worst out of Sagarin's top 10. Ohio St. has a 117 and Utah has a 137 schedule rank. That's why I compared the offensive production of their opponents vs. their norm Quote Link to comment
Enhance Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Thanks for posting. I'm really tired of people saying big 12 has overrated teams when Nebraska stacks up really well, in fact better than other SEC teams. Alabama has also played three ranked teams so far though, if I'm not mistaken. Regardless of what happened yesterday, I still think Alabama is the best team in the nation. I think Alabama beats South Carolina 9 out of 10 times, they just got that low percentage shot yesterday. Quote Link to comment
JOEY Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Thanks for posting. I'm really tired of people saying big 12 has overrated teams when Nebraska stacks up really well, in fact better than other SEC teams. Alabama has also played three ranked teams so far though, if I'm not mistaken. Regardless of what happened yesterday, I still think Alabama is the best team in the nation. I think Alabama beats South Carolina 9 out of 10 times, they just got that low percentage shot yesterday. Yeah they could be the best team but they sure did get manhandled the other day,I watched thw whole game. My friend and I were yelling at the tv when garcia threw the ball out of the back of the endzone.I have a bad hangover today Quote Link to comment
RedDenver Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Too bad you can't put that into a table and make it easier to compare. However Sagarin ranks NU's schedule far behind everyone else in the top 10 right now. NU has a rank of 76 while the next lowest is 56 by TCU. link Oops, that's the worst out of Sagarin's top 10. Ohio St. has a 117 and Utah has a 137 schedule rank. That's why I compared the offensive production of their opponents vs. their norm I saw that. I was including the Sagarin schedule rank to highlight why people say we haven't played a tough schedule. Quote Link to comment
bbeerma2 Posted October 10, 2010 Author Share Posted October 10, 2010 Thanks for posting. I'm really tired of people saying big 12 has overrated teams when Nebraska stacks up really well, in fact better than other SEC teams. Alabama has also played three ranked teams so far though, if I'm not mistaken. Regardless of what happened yesterday, I still think Alabama is the best team in the nation. I think Alabama beats South Carolina 9 out of 10 times, they just got that low percentage shot yesterday. They also beat us in nearly every statistical category other than win-loss. Our pass defense is where we excel by the numbers. Quote Link to comment
schuhbdoo Posted October 10, 2010 Share Posted October 10, 2010 Too bad you can't put that into a table and make it easier to compare. However Sagarin ranks NU's schedule far behind everyone else in the top 10 right now. NU has a rank of 76 while the next lowest is 56 by TCU. link Oops, that's the worst out of Sagarin's top 10. Ohio St. has a 117 and Utah has a 137 schedule rank. Sorry, I think I call BS on this Sagarin's system. He has Stanford as number 4 in his rating. Stanford had a hard time beating a so so USC team. LSU=Les Miles, enough said. When you look at his top 20 look at the pac 10 and how many multiple loss teams are in the top 20. Cal-2 losses, OSU-2 losses, ASU with 3 losses. Arizona at number 7 with one loss. It is amazing that Cal is ranked 9th in the system with 2 losses but Nevada hung 50 on them and is undefeated and is ranked 14th. OU is ranked 12th and they beat FSU by 40 and FSU is ranked 10th. Not buying this pole/system. NU hasn't played a lot of highly ranked teams but NU can't control that Washington and KSU are not dominate anymore. We had the Calahan years. College Football 2010 through games of October 9 Saturday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.91 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 1 Oregon A = 92.22 6 0 70.33( 39) 1 0 | 2 0 | 91.17 4 | 91.87 1 2 TCU A = 90.79 6 0 68.85( 56) 0 0 | 1 0 | 91.64 2 | 88.72 5 3 Boise State A = 90.71 5 0 72.15( 28) 0 0 | 2 0 | 93.33 1 | 87.60 7 4 Stanford A = 90.39 5 1 74.69( 14) 0 1 | 1 1 | 88.94 7 | 90.52 3 5 LSU A = 87.56 6 0 73.56( 20) 0 0 | 2 0 | 88.09 8 | 85.72 11 6 Nebraska A = 87.50 5 0 67.01( 76) 0 0 | 0 0 | 87.60 10 | 86.01 9 7 Arizona A = 87.30 4 1 74.63( 16) 1 0 | 2 1 | 87.24 11 | 85.95 10 8 Alabama A = 87.13 5 1 72.25( 27) 0 0 | 2 1 | 83.37 17 | 91.54 2 9 California A = 86.46 3 2 75.99( 12) 0 1 | 0 2 | 83.85 16 | 88.27 6 10 Florida State A = 86.29 5 1 69.50( 45) 0 0 | 0 1 | 83.15 19 | 89.10 4 College Football 2010 through games of October 9 Saturday the BCS uses the ELO_CHESS from here HOME ADVANTAGE= 3.91 RATING W L SCHEDL(RANK) VS top 10 | VS top 30 | ELO_CHESS | PREDICTOR 11 Oregon State A = 86.17 3 2 85.02( 1) 1 2 | 2 2 | 89.74 6 | 82.47 18 12 Oklahoma A = 85.80 5 0 74.66( 15) 1 0 | 2 0 | 91.47 3 | 81.29 26 13 South Carolina A = 85.48 4 1 72.71( 24) 1 0 | 1 1 | 84.07 15 | 85.54 12 14 Nevada A = 85.10 6 0 67.00( 78) 1 0 | 1 0 | 86.78 12 | 82.42 19 15 Ohio State A = 85.08 6 0 63.45( 117) 0 0 | 0 0 | 82.27 23 | 87.21 8 16 Missouri A = 84.92 5 0 66.53( 84) 0 0 | 0 0 | 84.41 14 | 83.99 14 17 Auburn A = 84.80 6 0 67.17( 74) 0 0 | 1 0 | 87.62 9 | 81.44 25 18 Michigan State A = 83.09 6 0 65.15( 95) 0 0 | 2 0 | 90.12 5 | 77.97 34 19 Virginia Tech A = 82.74 4 2 72.84( 23) 0 1 | 1 1 | 81.72 24 | 82.35 20 20 Arizona State A = 82.18 3 3 77.90( 6) 0 1 | 0 3 | 79.47 29 | 84.03 13 Quote Link to comment
RedDenver Posted October 11, 2010 Share Posted October 11, 2010 I can't find the article right now, but Sagarin himself calls BS on his own ratings until enough games have been played. If I remember right, he said the beginning on Nov. is when his system starts becoming more accurate. Quote Link to comment
sd'sker Posted October 11, 2010 Share Posted October 11, 2010 i really do not think there is an overrated team this year. maybe bsu or tcu, but as the season goes along, if we stay undefeated along with OU, tOSU, and oregon, along with any undefeated sec team, they will jump bsu or tcu. i could even see a one loss sec team jumping tcu or bsu. should good be a good season. nu just needs to keep winning, and they will do fine. Quote Link to comment
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